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Sunday, March 24, 2019

4 Reasons Rick Santorum Will Never Be The 2016 GOP Frontrunner, And 1 Reason He Could Be

It’s a question that may not be as absurd as it sounds: Why isn’t Rick Santorum the GOP’s 2016 frontrunner?

The Washington Examiner‘s Byron York took this provocative query and spent about 1,000 words explaining why the former senator from Pennsylvania might just be the answer for Republicans who are trying to find the “missing white voters” who stayed home in 2012, even though Santorum’s proposed tax giveaways for millionaires may have have been even larger than what Mitt Romney proposed.

There’s a simple reason Santorum — who is visiting Iowa this week and is “open” to a 2016 run — should be the frontrunner for the 2016 GOP presidential nomination: tradition.

The GOP tends to engage in a sort of primogeniture in which the runner-up from the last GOP primary, when he runs, tends to become the nominee the next time the slot is available. The last time this didn’t happen was in 2000 after Bob Dole steamrolled his competition and didn’t really have a runner-up in 1996.

Rick Santorum was the runner-up in 2012, just barely edging out Newt Gingrich for that title.

History already seems to have forgotten how close the hero of the fundamentalist movement came to defeating Mitt Romney in Michigan, the state where Romney was born, and potentially becoming the GOP nominee. Romney himself feared a “Waterloo” in Michigan.

Santorum likely would have won the state if he hadn’t told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos that John F. Kennedy’s speech about the separation of church and state made him want to “throw up.” Romney only won his home state by 3 percent — and Santorum, a devout Catholic, lost the Catholic vote by 6 percent, according to exit polls.

Could this proud defender of the sanctity of marriage and all sorts of other sanctities end up pulling off the upset he teased last time around in 2016? Here’s why that’s not likely — and one reason it could happen.

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17 responses to “4 Reasons Rick Santorum Will Never Be The 2016 GOP Frontrunner, And 1 Reason He Could Be”

  1. charleo1 says:

    Sure! Why not Santorum, Paul, Cruz, Gohmert? Don’t laugh. Just because you think
    Louie is a little daft. He seems pretty sure to me he knows exactly what he’s talking about. A little S-Pac money could make him shine! Look at Sarah. More of the GOP base still believes she’d make a fine President, than those within the base that do not. Yes, Santorum’s social agenda is a little, “ahem,” Conservative, true. But just because the State starts enacting religious law, doesn’t necessarily mean we’ll devolve into shooting little girls in the head for wanting an education. At least not right away. And certainly not, if it’s a private school, funded with taxpayer money, she wants to attend. Of course, Gays, illegal immigrants, and abortion will be pushed back in the shadows, where many of the GOP faithful believe is their
    proper place. Santorum, and his version of the Bible, would work to make that happen. His tax policy would please much of the base. Although, would be not austere enough for many. Besides bringing back all of the Bush cuts, and ending ObamaCare. Additional cuts he talks about for Corps. and those earning over 1 million per year, might bring them on board. To pay for these cuts of course, most
    of the services the middle, and lower income Americans depend on, would be eliminated. Or like Medicare, and Social Security, be privatized. But, the real message form the GOP base seems to be, if food stamps, healthcare, housing, and child care, for the desperately poor, are completely defunded, we’ll gladly cut our own economic throats if we have to, to make that happen. So they say. Now Rick,
    or any of the above, could definitely make that happen.

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  2. Sand_Cat says:

    So Torquemada Santorum is likely to be with us again.
    I’d say I can’t wait, but I’m still afraid one of these days he might win!

    • FredAppell says:

      You shouldn’t worry too much about Santorum. He’s too loony to be able to hide it for long.

      • MJRinPA says:

        We feel that he’s too loony to hide it, however, the ultra-right wing fundamentalists don’t consider him loony at all. They believe that he makes perfect sense. That’s what the middle, moderates, willing to compromise voters need to understand. The TP/GOP/Republicans would vote for Santorum in a heartbeat. How frightening is that?

        • FredAppell says:

          Good call, it never occurred to me that there are enough Americans who find his policies normal. You’re right, it is frightening.

  3. FredAppell says:

    Whatever happens in 2014 will more than likely determine who the GOP 2016 frontrunner will be. It is a bit of a stretch to even suggest that Santorum could be that person. It’s hard to imagine that Santorum could ever win over one of the largest growing voting demographics (women voters) in the nation.

  4. michaelross says:

    There’s another reason he could win: Because the G.O.P. has nobody better to offer.

    Essentially, that was how Mitt Romney won last year. With the exception of John Huntsman, at one time or another, Mitt Romney trailed in the polls behind every single candidate. But as soon as a new frontrunner was announced, people started actually paying attention to him/her, realized what an absolute disaster of a candidate they would be, and then promptly dropped them like lead turds.

    Right now, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Scott Brown might be the frontrunners. But once they have a debate and actually start hearing words come out of their mouths, even the hardline conservatives they routinely pander to will figure out that their chances of defeating Hillary Clinton are practically nonexistent.

    And don’t assume it will be Chris Christie either. He might not be crazy like the others, but he pissed everyone off with his handling of the special election. He’s the one all the other candidates will try to destroy right out of the gate, then think pandering to extremism is the way to go after he drops in the polls even though he was never that high to begin with.

    So yeah, Santorum is a possibility. My prediction is this: He’ll win a couple of Heartland states, then all the other candidates will be pressured to end their campaigns ASAP to keep the primary damage to an absolute minimum.

  5. Dominick Vila says:

    Considering what makes social conservatives tick, the fact that the current candidates are either a bunch of nuts or may not be eligible for the presidency on constitutional grounds, the likelihood of someone like Santorum being the GOP nominee is not out of the question. I am rooting for a Santorum-Limbaugh ticket. The choices will be the pyre or free coke.

  6. Bill Mohon says:

    He’s not very “even-tempered” – He would probably let his emotions get the best of himself and pull an “oops” … a la Rick “Aggie-Cheer-Boy” Perry

  7. ococoob says:

    Never underestimate the power of the women’s vote! We have the NUMBERS!

  8. Kelleron says:

    Isn’t it fascinating to see how we waste our time debating something that we all have NO VOTE in… Educate yourselves as to what is revealed about our country and it’s foundation.
    There are no “free elections” there are no free choices.
    This is all set up by the powers of control and even “who” you will select your choices from.
    All predecided…all selected through the private discussions and decisions made by the men( and a few women) that serve on the Council of Foreign Relations.
    Obama is merely a puppet. He is no different than any of the others that came before him.
    Learn what direction this country has been designed to move toward and you will be enlightened. Look up “One World Order”…. then start digging on Youtube.
    What a surprise for a middle American that grew up thinking we were such a powerful world influence…sad but yet all of the clues, videos and evidence is right under our noses.
    We don’t even have a chance.
    The media, the government, the USA in all, is controlled by a powerful group of decision makers, always has been and always will.
    Why Hell, even our OWN BANK is owned by these men.
    We do NOT own the Federal Reserve Bank….
    Look it up.

  9. ococoob says:

    What kills me about voters is that some of them are wedge voters and to hell with the nation going down the tubes or going bankrupt. It’s disgusting!

  10. AmusedAgain says:

    OK. You won your bar bet. You got the words “reason” and “Rick Santorum” not only in a sentence, but in a headline.

  11. howa4x says:

    All is not well on the far right, and the push that way will mean trouble for any candidate that has to appeal to the middle to win a presidency. New polls have shown that 53% of Americans support same sex marriage and that number is climbing since religious conservatives now are beginning to see it as a way to save marriage since hetro unions are on the decline. Seniors are turning away from the GOP since the privatize Medicare and social security ramblings of Paul Ryan and are beginning to see the GOP as a danger to their welfare. Younger evangelicals are now embracing the true message of Jesus and are supporting immigration reform, want social justice and have a different view of the poor. All this is added to Latinos who still don’t support the GOP in large numbers and the house probably not passing immigration reform or watering it down, will permanently turn them away. Minorities see them as trying to suppress their vote, and if they don’t authorize the voting rights act again that will be it. Women see the GOP in the states as more concerned with taking away reproductive decisions than anything else, and the LBGT community see the GOP as a roadblock to their happiness. Millennial’s concerned with climate change are totally opposed to them as every thinking person on the issue is, and the independents are wary of their far right policies. So while the GOP candidates are scrambling to appeal to a shrinking base, the rest of the country is moving away from them. The fact that the insurgent Tea party has captured the primary machinery assures that the only candidate that will emerge will be far to the right, and very far from the center.

  12. johninPCFL says:

    The LGBT community didn’t invent a “dirty word” to call him, the medical profession did in the 1800s. He just reminds everyone of it every time he speaks.

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