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Monday, October 15, 2018
Carville-Greenberg Memo

Inside The GOP: Why Boehner Is Halting Immigration Reform

Just a year ago, the GOP appeared poised to rebrand itself as a more moderate and inclusive party. When the party released its “post-mortem” report on the 2012 election, one of the key findings was that the Republican Party “must embrace and champion comprehensive immigration reform.” And if you look at the numbers — demographic data and opinion […]

February 7, 2014
Democrats have sorted themselves into clusters in blue states.

What Swing Voters Care About Now

1.   The economy is still very difficult for voters at the pocketbook level. This economy is still very painful for people. In focus groups with swing voters who watched the president’s speech with us, participants were very graphic about their personal financial situations and economic outlook.  They are very much on edge financially, which is […]

March 7, 2013

Voters Sick Of Crisis Politics, Want A Balanced Solution To Sequester

The public wants Congress to put aside crisis-to-crisis politics and start acting on behalf of the middle class, seniors, and working families, rather than the wealthiest Americans. Two weeks ago, we watched President Obama’s State of the Union address with 44 swing voters (including 11 unmarried women) in Denver, Colorado. As they watched the speech, […]

February 27, 2013

James And Stan Dissect The Rubio Debacle

In a post-speech phone conversation between New Orleans and Washington, James and Stan expressed amazement at the State of the Union response delivered by Florida senator Marco Rubio, touted as a top contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016. They were not impressed. To James, Rubio’s speech demonstrated that the Republicans “are literally, totally […]

February 15, 2013

Obama Regains National Lead In Our New Pre-Debate Poll — And We’ll Tell You Why

Today, just hours before the final debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, we’re unveiling a new Democracy Corps poll that shows the president with a 3-point lead. But we have a lot more to say than that. We explore in detail just why we think our new national survey means more than many others—especially […]

October 22, 2012

How The Republicans Blew Their Traditional Tax Advantage

In our first video conversation for the Carville-Greenberg Memo, Stan and I talk about the big campaign issue that usually helps Republicans a lot more than Democrats — taxes. This year, however, the GOP has no detectable advantage on this issue, according to our polling data. But why would that be? How has Mitt Romney […]

September 17, 2012

Where’s The Bounce? Democrats In Charlotte Can Still Boost Obama

In the midst of dueling party conventions, scheduled back to back in a very tight presidential race, it is clear that a convention “bounce” can make an important difference this fall. Here’s how and why…  

September 6, 2012

Stan Greenberg Lays Out Obama’s Mission In Charlotte [Video]

In this new video, Stan Greenberg previews the strategy memo that he and James Carville are preparing on what President Obama needs to accomplish at the Democratic Convention – and how Democrats can win in November. “We can move back in the lead by doing some pretty clear things that take advantage of the structure […]

September 4, 2012

WATCH: Top Democratic Pollster Stan Greenberg Lays Out Obama’s Mission In Charlotte

In this new video, Stan Greenberg previews the strategy memo that he and James Carville are preparing on what President Obama needs to accomplish at the Democratic Convention – and how Democrats can win in November. “We can move back in the lead by doing some pretty clear things that take advantage of the structure […]

September 3, 2012

Carville: With Cardinal Dolan At GOP Convention, Democrats Should Invite ‘Nuns On The Bus’

Reflecting on Cardinal Timothy Dolan’s decision to deliver a closing invocation in Tampa next week, James suggests that Democrats invite Sister Simone Campbell and her “Nuns On The Bus” anti-poverty protest tour to their convention. He plans to measure the “favorability scale between bishops and nuns in the next Democracy Corps poll. I think I […]

August 24, 2012

Bad Numbers Budget: Why The Ryan Nomination Isn’t Helping Romney

Nearly a week has passed since Mitt Romney announced Paul Ryan as his running mate, with no evidence so far that choosing the Wisconsin Congressman boosted the Republican campaign. If the Ryan choice falls flat, that won’t surprise us at all – because in selecting him, Romney adopts the principles and priorities of Ryan’s radical […]

August 17, 2012

The Phony “Courage” Of Paul Ryan

In this video, James Carville pushes back against the notion that Paul Ryan’s budget plan is brave. “There is nothing more courageous than taking away from people trying to make it and giving to people who already have it made,” he says sarcastically. “Please have the courage not to be courageous.”

August 14, 2012

“The Truth Of The Matter Is, Mitt Can’t Release His Tax Returns”

In this video, James Carville discusses Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s assertion that a Bain investor told him Mitt Romney had paid no income taxes for ten years. “Don’t you just love this Republican response?” he says, adding that he suspects Senator Reid is having the time of his life — because James certainly is. […]

August 6, 2012

Greenberg To Democrats: Wake Up! We Can Win The Health Care Debate

In a special national survey conducted with Women’s Voices, Women Vote Action Fund, Democracy Corps found new evidence that the health care debate has shifted to the left. “Democrats, wake up!” says Stan Greenberg.  As the election moves toward November, “We want to have this battle.” Stan Greenberg on Health Care Issue from Carville Greenberg […]

July 31, 2012

New Battleground Poll Finds GOP In Danger Of Losing The House [VIDEO]

In this video Stan Greenberg discusses surveying voters in 54 “battleground” Congressional districts. Stan says up to 30 “very weak” GOP incumbents risk losing their seats come November — enough for a Democratic takeover. More than 60 percent of those voters believe Republicans should cooperate with Obama, who won most of those districts in 2008, […]

July 31, 2012
Will there ever be a left equivalent of the Tea party?

Final 100 Days: Romney And GOP Brand Dragged Down By Tea Party

Despite “systematically biased” polls produced by Gallup and Rasmussen and the conventional idiocy of mainstream political discourse, Stan Greenberg explains why Republicans face serious trouble as the campaign enters the final 100 days. And why, despite unfavorable economic conditions, he believes President Obama’s lead is larger than other polls suggest.See the complete Democracy Corps report […]

July 31, 2012