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Friday, December 9, 2016

Oct. 25 (Bloomberg) — See if you can make sense of this. Somehow, in the space of seven months, U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder has gone from being:

1) The defeatist law-enforcement chief who told the Senate Judiciary Committee that some banks are too big to prosecute because of the economic damage that might ensue, to

2) The crackdown artist who presided over a meeting in which his team told JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon that the bank would need to enter a guilty plea in order to end a criminal investigation by prosecutors in California.

What gives? Maybe Holder will let JPMorgan skate once the probe is completed. Yet clearly a new approach is afoot. After that meeting, the Justice Department proposed that JPMorgan plead guilty to making false statements related to sales of defective mortgage bonds. The bank proposed a non-prosecution agreement, which Holder rejected, according to an Oct. 22 article by Bloomberg News.

Not long ago, large banks could be fairly confident they wouldn’t face criminal charges in the U.S. no matter what they got caught doing. Now the Justice Department is keeping the threat of such charges hanging over JPMorgan while the bank wraps up $13 billion in civil settlements with various government agencies.

Holder said in an interview that the department’s new aggressiveness on bank investigations was a top priority for both President Barack Obama and himself. (Holder didn’t talk about JPMorgan specifically.) Obama promised in his 2012 State of the Union address to hold banks accountable for their role in helping cause the worst recession since the Great Depression. A task force was set up, and it played a significant role in the pending JPMorgan deal.

Other important questions remain unanswered. For instance, what about before 2012? Why did the Justice Department do so little to go after banks during Obama’s first term?

Here is one way to look at it: For about five years, there were entire categories of wrongdoing by large financial-services companies that were all but deemed exempt from criminal prosecution. We’ve never gotten a satisfactory explanation from anyone in the government as to why.

But it wouldn’t be a surprise if someday we learned that a conscious policy decision was made during the Obama administration’s early days that aggressive investigations of too-big-to-fail banks and their senior executives would be contrary to the national interest because of the threat that prosecutions posed to financial stability and the economic recovery.

Even if this isn’t what happened, the White House and Justice Department must know this is the outward impression they created by their unexplained inaction. What’s more, the facade of trying to look tough while doing almost nothing was coming undone. In August, for example, the Justice Department admitted to grossly inflating how many mortgage-fraud prosecutions it had brought in years past.

A crucial difference between now and when Obama took office is that the stock market has rebounded and the financial-services industry has stabilized after much help from the government, especially the Federal Reserve. Even so, public anger over the lack of accountability has failed to subside, and cynicism about Wall Street’s pull in Washington has skyrocketed. The government didn’t want to be seen as giving the banking industry a pass.

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