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Thursday, October 27, 2016

Here are some interesting stories on the midterm campaigns that you may have missed on Monday, September 29:

• Even in the shameless context of opposition research, this is startling: Republicans are circulating an out-of-context video of Senator Mark Udall (D-CO), in an apparent effort to convince voters that he is a 9/11 truther.

• According to a new Nielsen Brothers poll, Independent candidate Larry Pressler is gaining ground in South Dakota’s Senate race. Republican Mike Rounds now leads with 39 percent, followed by Democrat Rick Weiland at 26 percent, and Pressler at 24 percent. If Weiland dropped out, Pressler — who served three terms in the U.S. Senate as a Republican — would be virtually tied for the lead. Rounds still leads by double digits in the Real Clear Politics poll average.

• Two new CNN/ORC polls have good news for Democratic senators. In North Carolina, incumbent Democrat Kay Hagan leads Republican challenger Thom Tillis among likely voters, 46 to 43 percent. Hagan is up 3.5 percent in the poll average, and has led in every public survey this month. In Louisiana, Democrat Mary Landrieu leads Republican Bill Cassidy, 43 to 40 percent. That lead reverses a negative trend for Landrieu — she trails by 5 percent in the poll average — but would still leave her short of the 50 percent needed to avoid a runoff.

• Massachusetts attorney general Martha Coakley, whom former senator Scott Brown infamously upset in the 2010 special election for Senate, may be collapsing again. Two new polls find that her lead in Massachusetts’ gubernatorial race has evaporated; she leads Republican Charlie Baker by 1 percent in a Western New England University poll, and the candidates are deadlocked at 43 percent in a Suffolk University poll.

• And although most Democrats would rather avoid President Obama on the campaign trail, Illinois governor Pat Quinn is apparently happy to have his help. The president and his wife will both stump for Quinn before Election Day, in an effort to turn around his re-election bid against Republican Bruce Rauner. Quinn trails by less than 1 percent in the poll average, although a Chicago Tribune poll showing Quinn up by 11 appears to be an outlier skewing the numbers.

Photo: Mark Udall via Flickr

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  • Stuart

    One article I’ve never seen anywhere but one that needs to be published: why are Republicans leading ANYWHERE? Nobody ever seems to know.

    • cosliberal

      You begin to think that the reports of the GOP being ahead are a media fabrication because that it what the media wants. However, unlike GOP unskewers of 2012, I don’t want to think that there is a real probability that we are about to enter a two year period of absolute chaos in DC as the GOP passes crazy bill after crazy bill, forces Obama to accept cuts to Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and Obamacare (and blames him for it), and brings us to the brink of financial and social collapse, all to satisfy their masters in the .0001%

    • DurdyDawg

      Could it possibly be lack of voter participation? I hope not. I do know that for some reason a substantial number of Dems believe the only meaningful election to get out and vote is president and in a sense I can see this is the reason pubs win because their following will vote in any election regardless. What needs to be done is remind lib voters that we must come out in force during EVERY election in order to even have a chance of winning. To rely solely on the presidential election has put us in this situation of stagnation to begin with. Get out and vote Democrats!! The media may also be manipulating us with their skewed poll results as with each broadcast that the pubs are winning by landslides, this causes some Dems to concede even before election day. Don’t listen to anyone on these pre- election suppositions, only votes count and the truth will be revealed at it’s conclusion and no earlier. The media says that certain shows on TV are very popular but there are many that I don’t care for nor anyone I know nor they know cares for them so it’s a subtle manipulation like if you think your side is winning then you want to also be a winner and get on the bandwagon and vote but if they say your side is losing then your attitude changes as you give up and say, “What’s the use?”.. Remember, poll results change every time they’re given because in almost every case they’re generally selective in who actually takes them.. If they are for a certain party, they know not to seek out opposition voters if at all possible but rather stay within the frame of those who would vote their way. They can not predict how a state or nation will vote by polling a small portion of anonymous voter percentage. A thousand Kansas voters can not predict how I will vote but giving the impression that a thousand pollsters will vote one way or the other can cause some voters to follow suit (falsely believing they will be part of the winning side). THIS is the manipulation gone viral in this country.. And politicians’ pat winning strategy is making the sheeple choose the “lesser of two evils” and how right they are, with emphasis on the word ‘evil’ (rightfully defined as manipulative corruption).

    • Whatmeworry

      WHY??? Try Harry Reid and Barak Obama

  • Buford2k11

    con man cory is losing in Colorado…as are most gop/baggers not in gerrymandered safe districts…