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Monday, October 24, 2016

Here are some interesting stories on the midterm campaigns that you may have missed on Friday, September 19:

• Democrat Chad Taylor is officially off the ballot in Kansas, leaving the Senate election as a head-to-head matchup between Republican incumbent Pat Roberts and Independent Greg Orman. The latest poll of the race, from Rasmussen Reports, finds Orman up 5 percent.

• Terri Lynn Land, the Republican Senate candidate in Michigan, released a cheesy new ad slamming Washington, D.C. But she’ll need more to pull herself back into the race; she trails the Democratic nominee, Rep. Gary Peters, by 5.4 percent in the Real Clear Politics poll average.

• National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Greg Walden (R-OR) believes the GOP can expand its House majority to as high as 245 seats.

• The Senate Majority PAC released a new ad warning that Iowa Republican Joni Ernst would try to privatize Social Security if she wins election to the Senate. The attack lands on the same day as a Rasmussen poll finding Ernst and Braley deadlocked at 43 percent (mirroring the Real Clear Politics average).

• Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate Mary Burke (D) is at least the fourth 2014 candidate to be caught in a plagiarism scandal. But Brian Beutler writes in The New Republic that Burke is only guilty of extreme message discipline.

Photo: Crazy George via Flickr

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  • Don Bryan

    Well it Depends on who you Believe and it’s for sure NOT Fox News or Hannity as they lie everyday on the air and there Polls

  • elw

    The bottom line is it is not over until it is over. Election results can change on one wrong move or word from a candidate. This is clearly a very close race not the waves the GOP is pushing. Just the fact that one of them, at least, thinks they will expand its majority to 245 seats shows what an out of touch, dream world they exist in. We will walk into 2015 in much the same condition we are in now, the balance of power will change little one way or the other. But hold on to your hats guys, because if the GOP continue with its silly, immature behaviors they will be a Democratic President, House and Senate in 2016. In the meantime vote – every single one counts and makes a difference.

    • Dominick Vila

      The odds are in our favor for 2016, but there is no question that this is going to be a tough year for Democrats. The sad part is that it didn’t have to be this way. The DNC should have never allowed the GOP-TP get away with all the hyperbole and outright lies they have used, with absolute impunity, during the last 5.5 years. The worst part, however, is our failure to articulate effectively the contrast between where we were in January 2009 and where we are today. It could be said that a cute 30-second political commercial is effective, and can often influence the opinion of many voters, but most voters are not dumb and what really matters to them is the bottom line: what is best for them and what is best for the country. We missed the boat when it comes to campaign strategy, and we are now paying for our ambivalence or ineptitude.

      • elw

        The media does keep harping on how there is going to be a big GOP take over, I just wonder how right they are? I read a column on the Daily Kos by guy who watches the polls, he seem to think that the so call GOP wave is not really reflexed in the polls and that it is a vey close election that could end up being a big disappointment to the GOP. He will not say that they will not gain some seats, but believes they will not win enough to real make that big of a difference in the balance of power. You know the media always does that and the polls have been so wrong for the last several elections, I am not letting myself get emotionally pushed around by them. Having said that, it really isn’t too late for the DNC to push back, I wouldn’t mind seeing them do that. However, on the other hand, there is a GOP candidate for the House (sorry I cannot remember the State) who just told a crowd that we should go to war with Mexico, so as long as their candidates remain idiots there is hope they will do their own damage to themselves. They have been so good at that.

        • Dominick Vila

          If there is a lesson to be learned about political polls, after the 2012 election, is that they are meaningless. Who can forget all the polls that were predicting a Romney landslide, and all the Republicans that were reserving ballrooms to celebrate his victory?
          The biggest problem for me is that we should not be in a situation like this. I have a hard time believing people have forgotten which party was in control of the WH and Congress when 9/11/01 took place, the lies used to justify the invasion of Iraq, the way our young were sacrificed in the pursuit of sole source contracts and political goals, the fact that the budget surplus that W inherited evaporated in one year and deficit spending and the subsequent accumulation of debt resumed, the deregulation that contributed to the ENRON, Lehman Brothers, AIG and all the other scandals and, ultimately, to the near collapse of the U.S. economy. A party with a record like that should be out of business permanently. Instead, it remains a viable alternative, and the party that helped save the economy, the party that ended the life of OBL and captured al-Libby, the party that saved tens of thousands of jobs at GM, Chrysler, their suppliers and dealerships, the party whose policies resulted in the DOW and S&P being at record highs, and the party that has been fighting for equality, for improvements in infrastructure, for a jobs program for returning veterans and other such causes is the one fighting for its survival. Amazing!

          • elw

            It is amazing, it does leave me speechless at times but really does not shock me. I worked too long in Public Health to be shocked by how easily people ignore facts or information they do not want to hear. I have come to accept that there will always be a percentage of self-righteous people around who are like our present day conservative Republicans. I think they will run out of good will and lose the power they now hold, it been happening slowly but surely. I say even if the GOP takes both Houses, it will hurt them more than help. Most people do not like living with what they preach – have you been watching the governor races – looks like quite a few GOP governors are in danger of losing their jobs – good sign for the future.

      • sigrid28

        I blame the media’s slavish devotion to false equivalency, because they push out Republican lies and obfuscation with every attempt by Democrats to set the record straight.

        • Dominick Vila

          …and most Republicans still refer to our media as being liberal! If our media is liberal, please spare me a conservative media because it is likely to include demands for the establishment of guillotines in public squares.

  • Dominick Vila

    The GOP will keep control of the House in 2016, and may even increase their already sizable majority in the chamber. They are also likely to keep their Senate majority. That is why it is so important for Democrats to vote in 2016. If we lose the White House the GOP will have complete control of the government, the agenda, and will make sure a conservative super majority controls the Supreme Court. If that happens, we can all say goodbye to Roe V Wade, Affirmative Action, Social Security, MEDICARE, MEDICAID, immigration reform, and organized labor. The financial schism between the have and the have not would be so great that the terms plutocracy and oligarchy would have to be redefined. There is more at stake in 2016 than Benghazi, e-mails, charitable foundations, and guns.