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Wednesday, October 26, 2016

Here are some interesting stories on the midterm campaigns that you may have missed on Tuesday, October 7:

• As Republican Senate nominee Terri Lynn Land falls further behind in Michigan, the National Republican Senatorial Committee is pulling the plug on its planned TV ad spending in the final two weeks of the campaign. The move, which will allow the NRSC to invest in more competitive races, is a tacit acknowledgement that Land no longer has a path to victory over Democrat Gary Peters.

• In Minnesota, another state where Republicans hoped to expand the Senate map, Senator Al Franken (D) has opened up an 18-point lead over GOP challenger Mike McFadden, according to a new KSTP/SurveyUSA poll. Franken now leads by 11.5 percent in the Real Clear Politics poll average, and appears to have re-election in the bag.

• Mayday PAC, the SuperPAC that hopes to limit the influence of money in politics, will spend $1 million over the next four weeks on behalf of South Dakota Senate candidate Rick Weiland (D). Two recent surveys have suggested that the race is getting tighter, although Republican Mike Rounds still leads comfortably in the poll average.

• According to three new polls, Florida Democrat Charlie Crist holds a narrow lead in his race against incumbent Republican governor Rick Scott. Crist is ahead by just 1.4 percent in the poll average.

• And this won’t help Senator Mark Pryor’s re-election campaign: The embattled Arkansas Democrat stumbled badly after being asked about the Obama administration’s response to the Ebola crisis. He has previously run ads attacking his opponent on the issue. Pryor trails by 3.7 percent in the poll average.

Photo: Jimmy Emerson, DVM via Flickr

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  • Dominick Vila

    After what happened in 2012, when most polls predicted a Romney landslide, and Republicans were busy booking ballrooms to celebrate his victory, my faith in polls is almost non-existent. In the end, it is all about personal preference and turnout, and both are as unpredictable as ever.
    I believe Democrats have a slight chance to keep control of the Senate, but if we pull that off, it will be by the slightest of margins.
    I would not be surprised if the GOP increase the majority they currently have in the House. The big question for me is what will the GOP do if that happens? Will they raise obstructionism to a new level, or will they reach across the aisle as part of a strategy to win the White House in 2016? The other question mark is the future of the Tea Party, which at the moment does not look too bright…

    • 4sanity4all

      I also have doubts about how accurate polls are. I also think that when they are announced, it often makes people who were not planning to vote come out and cast a ballot. So you cannot rely on them, they just show which way the wind is generally blowing, that’s all.

  • Eleanore Whitaker

    I think many blood red states have had just about enough of the hardship and struggle. How long should a Great Recession that affects just the Middle and lower classes last? It’s been 10 years since the first stroke of the Great Recession hit in 2004..when the first 10,000 Americans lost their jobs. Not even the Great Depression lasted that long. If anyone with a brain in their heads in red states can’t, by now, see the load of BS they were handed by today’s CONs all scrimping and saving tax dollars to pile into Big Businesses that don’t hire or create jobs in the US, they need a lobotomy.

    • 1standlastword

      Kansas republicans are done with Sam Brownback…have you heard. He consulted Mr. Laffer and adopted tax cuts and waited for the trickle….No trickle and soon no Sam Brownback.
      For grins and giggles see the movie documentary: What’ s Wrong with Kansas

    • Allan Richardson

      I think “BLOOD red” is a good description of right wing policies and states. Thanks for the metaphor.

  • plc97477

    Unfortunately, polls are done over the telephone and they have not figured out a way to poll those who have done away with the land lines so the polls are not completely true.