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Thursday, October 27, 2016

Vice President Joe Biden is gaining ground in national polls, as well as in the early primary states, making more viable a potential late entry into the Democratic presidential race against heavy hitters Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders.

It should be noted, of course, that Biden does have a unique advantage over the others right now: He isn’t actually running at the moment, and thus is not being put through the intense media scrutiny that comes with a real candidacy. All of that could change if he were to enter — but for now, at least, it does seem like he could find some fertile ground.

The new Monmouth University poll shows Clinton ahead nationally with 42 percent, then Biden at 22 percent, edging out Sanders with 20 percent.

The poll found that Biden has a personal favorability rating among Democratic voters of 71 percent, and an unfavorable rating of only 9 percent — even better than Clinton’s ratings of 71 percent to 17 percent. Sanders, having much less overall public recognition than the other two, has a favorable rating of 41 percent, against a very low 14 percent unfavorable.

The poll also asked respondents if they would be more or less likely to support Biden if he were to announce that Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) as his running mate. (Biden recently met with Warren, which kicked off some media speculation.) Overall, 23 percent said they would be more likely to back a Biden-Warren ticket, 7 percent would be less likely to vote for Biden, and for 66 percent it would make no difference.

“However,” the pollster’s analysis says, “current supporters of Bernie Sanders (43 percent) are more likely than Hillary Clinton voters (18 percent) to say that naming Warren to the veep slot would make them more likely to support Biden.”

In addition, a set of NBC News/Marist College polls released on Sunday showed Biden making a significant showing in the key early primary contests.

In Iowa, Clinton is ahead with 38 percent, then Sanders at 27 percent and Biden at 20 percent. In New Hampshire, Sanders is ahead with 41 percent, then Clinton at 32 percent, and Biden with 16 percent.

(In all of these polls, the three other candidates — Martin O’Malley, Jim Webb, and Lincoln Chafee—were in the low single digits.)

Interestingly, Marist also tested these two races without Biden as a choice, and it would appear that the vice president’s supporters are split pretty evenly between Clinton and Sanders: In Iowa, Clinton now gets 48 percent support to Sanders’ 37 percent, and in New Hampshire Sanders leads with 49 percent over Clinton’s 38 percent.

The poll also shows Biden running better in a general election than Clinton does, against either Jeb Bush or Donald Trump:


  • Bush 50 percent, Clinton 39 percent
  • Trump 48 percent Clinton 43 percent
  • Bush 46 percent, Biden 44 percent
  • Biden 49 percent, Trump 45 percent.

New Hampshire

  • Bush 48 percent, Clinton 43 percent
  • Clinton 46 percent, Trump 45 percent
  • Bush 46 percent, Biden 45 percent
  • Biden 50 percent, Trump 41 percent

Photo: U.S. vice president Joe Biden speaks prior to the kickoff of the Allegheny County Labor Day Parade in Pittsburgh, PA on September 7, 2015. REUTERS/Aaron Josefczyk

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Copyright 2015 The National Memo

    So much for the media’s coronation story!

  • DIE_BankofAmerica_PHUKKING_DIE

    I’ll feel better about Biden when I see him garrote Lloyd Blankfein on TV and take a long, slow Ballantine Ale piss on his cold face.

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  • jabber1

    Bernie Sanders 2016!!

  • Eleanore Whitaker

    I would vote for Sanders in a heartbeat if this was any other point in US history. Sanders is a crusader, not a fighter. There’s a difference. A crusader doesn’t always don his armor and fight to the finish. That’s my wariness of Sanders. He is on point on all of the issues. Sadly, he is viewed as the weakest link in the Dem chain and represents no threat to the GOP SS ready to waste him politically.

    Whether you like Hillary Clinton or not, you have to face the fact that it IS Hillary the GOP is after, not Sanders and not Biden. It should be clear why the GOP has spent more than 3 decades trying to destroy Hillary Clinton. It should be clear that, despite claims of her Teflon finish, in more than 3 decades nothing the GOP has tried to lob on her has ever done more than waste taxpayer money. And, never will. These guys just don’t get it.

    Men in the US are most at risk in terms of their futures. They own top business men are sabotaging their right to earn living wages. Once you demolish one gender’s ability to earn a living without endless hardship and struggle, the other gender goes down for the count too. How men miss this about the GOP agenda is mystifying.

    The difficult job for men now is to refortify their rights in a unified, bi-partisan, non-ideological manner. Before, not after, they become pawns in the Neo-Robber Barons games.