By Henry Decker

Polls: Warren Surges Ahead Of Brown In Massachusetts Senate Race

September 19, 2012 12:46 am Category: Memo Pad 11 Comments A+ / A-

Elizabeth Warren has surged into the lead over incumbent Republican Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race, according to three new polls.

Two surveys released on Sunday show Warren holding narrow leads over Brown. The first, from Public Policy Polling, shows Warren leading Brown by a 48 to 46 percent margin. This represents a seven point swing from PPP’s previous poll, which had Brown leading 49 to 44 percent on August 21.

The second, conducted by Western New England University’s Polling Institute (WNEU) and the website MassLive.com, shows Warren holding a 50 to 44 percent lead over Brown.

Warren has surged by improving her numbers among Democratic voters. The WNEU polls shows Warren leading among Democratic voters by an 89 to 6 percent margin. In the PPP poll, Warren’s lead within her own party has improved from 73 to 20 percent in the August poll to 81 to 13 percent today.

One likely reason for this shift is that according to PPP, 53 percent of Massachusetts voters want the Democrats to control the Senate, compared to only 36 percent who want a Republican majority leader. As Public Policy Polling’s Director Tom Jensen wrote in a press release, “More and more Democrats who may like Brown are shifting to Warren because they don’t like the prospect of a GOP-controlled Senate.”

On late Monday night, a third poll found Warren pulling ahead of Brown. The survey, by Suffolk University/WHDH-TV, shows Warren leading Brown by a 48 to 44 percent margin — that’s within the poll’s margin of error, but a reversal of the last Suffolk University/WHDH survey (which had Brown leading Warren 48 to 44 percent in May.)

Warren’s much-praised speech at the Democratic Convention in Charlotte appears to be a key factor in her surge in the polls.

As pollster David Paleologos said in a statement, “The Democratic National Convention appears to have connected the dots for some voters in Massachusetts…They’ve linked Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, and congressional candidate Joseph Kennedy, whose district includes southeastern Massachusetts.”

Taken together, these polls raise a serious red flag for Brown. Although he maintains solid job approval ratings, the Republican fails to crack 46 percent in any of the polls — usually a very bad sign for incumbents.

The polls are also bad news for the Republican Party. If Brown is unable to hold onto his Senate seat, then the GOP will face an even steeper uphill battle to claim a majority in the Senate.

Like Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, Brown will soon get a chance to reverse his slide in the polls through debates. He and Warren will face off in the first of four planned debates on Thursday.

Polls: Warren Surges Ahead Of Brown In Massachusetts Senate Race Reviewed by on . Elizabeth Warren has surged into the lead over incumbent Republican Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race, according to three new polls. Two surveys rele Elizabeth Warren has surged into the lead over incumbent Republican Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race, according to three new polls. Two surveys rele Rating:

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  • http://www.facebook.com/dominick.vila.1 Dominick Vila

    After listening to Elizabeth Warren speak during the DNC, I would say that comparing her to Scott Brown is like comparing day to night. She is, without a doubt, an intelligent, articulate, and charismatic candidate that deserves to be elected because we need people like her in Congress. Brown has been a moderate senator, but he has not contributed anything insofar as trying to solve our economic and fiscal problems.

  • http://www.facebook.com/wendy.gilson Wendy Gilson

    Obama get relected as president, there will be more demecrate control in house and senate, since gop will be sent packing. We had 12 yrs with regan and bush sr, think we deserve our chance as demecrates in world. This makes me so proud if Elizabeth Warren does get elected in her home state it will send strong meessage about demecratic party. We knew Carter was a so so president back in day, thanks should go to his grand son for exposing romney in video. When John Mccain says Obama is weekening country, that is why Obama is president Mccaine is still asking people vote in senate.

    • http://www.facebook.com/dominick.vila.1 Dominick Vila

      President Carter was a victim of circumstances. The hostage crisis, and the failed rescue attempt, caused irreparable damage, and the mess he inherited from Nixon-Ford was not something anyone could fix in 4 years. He was blamed for interest rates rising to 16%, ignoring that the Fed had to do that to bring inflation down. I suspect that some of his decisions, and indecisiveness, in foreign affairs were influenced by his deep religious beliefs. One thing is certain, his accomplishments since he left office should serve as a model for other ex-presidents to emulate.

  • William Deutschlander

    Brown will be blown off the stage by Elizabeth Warren!

  • Chamunda

    Ordinary mediocre representative Scott Brown has been a very ordinary and mediocre representative of the people in his area. He vacillates on all major issues and never preformed as the bright spark he projected in his campaign. In short a big disappointment…Thank goodness Elizabeth has come forward…at least to show what can be achieved.

  • Chamunda

    Scott Brown has been a very ordinary and mediocre representative of the people in his area. He vacillates on all major issues and never preformed as the bright spark he projected in his campaign. In short a big disappointment…Thank goodness Elizabeth has come forward…at least to show what can be achieved.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/M3M67LIRBIRCOGRGVTQOAPNIVU G

    Warren is a goof.

    • Sand_Cat

      The pronouncement of one truly qualified to judge, at least if it takes one to know one. Nothing like a good old issue- / fact-free announcement from the throne.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_OLT3BBICDAFJXQAHHKXXLJUCH4 Stella53

    Yahoo! Go Elizabeth Warren!

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_KWMCTLJJ2FHD3NPDJG6TAD467I Jesse Fell

    Brown is not a moderate — he toes the party line on all but largely symbolic votes that give him something to point to as evidence of his bipartisanship. The votes of Massachusetts are finally starting to catch on — in the nick of time! Let’s hope tomorrow’s debate between Brown and Warren will expose him for the political fraud that he is.

  • ayayaboy

    Massachussetts is ready to throw out all Republicans because of their craziness, lies and “politics of deception”. Ryan Belzebul fiscal politics is suicidal thought founded upon wickedness and decimation of ordinary people. God forbids.

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