If these polls are anywhere near correct, it shows Trump is still ahead in reliably red counties—reliably red in that a majority voted for a Republican presidential candidate in 2012. However, a majority of voters in crossover counties, who previously supported Obama, have abandoned Trump.
Less than four weeks before Iowans kick off the 2016 presidential contest with their Feb. 1 caucuses, the early road to the White House appears to be shaping up as a slippery and uncharted one for the Republican Party.
The fortunes of the wonder fuel that promised to help clean the environment, secure America and save small family farms have steadily dwindled. Now fuel, corn-based ethanol, finds itself threatened with a defection that was once unthinkable: Iowa voters.
The crops have been harvested and snow has already fallen multiple times, signs in Iowa that it will soon be time to start the process of picking a new president — and begin winnowing the crowded Republican field.
Candidates inevitably face two fall challenges: Voters start looking more closely at them and discover flaws, and they start considering who they want as president, not just as messenger. Here are the tests Trump faces in the four months between now and the Feb. 1 Iowa caucuses.