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Tuesday, December 12, 2017
Jonathan Bernstein
Scott Walker, Iran, Wisconsin, Obama, Deal, Foreign Policy, Politics

Scott Walker Faces Higher Hurdles Than Polls

Here’s how you’ll be able to tell if Scott Walker is a serious presidential contender.

February 26, 2015
rudy giuliani

Don’t Blame Liberal Media For Giuliani Gaffe

Rudy Giuliani has no one to blame but himself.

February 24, 2015
Americans for Prosperity, Duke Energy, GM, Koch brothers, Pat McCrory, Toyota

How The Kochs Wasted A Fortune On Campaigns

What if the fuss over big money in elections is mostly over nothing?

February 20, 2015

Obama Hypocrisy On Gay Marriage Was Ethical

Why Barack Obama was right to lie about gay marriage in 2008.

February 11, 2015

Don’t Mess With Iowa As First Caucus State

The current nominating process may not be completely fair — but it works.

February 6, 2015
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie

Christie’s Measles Vaccine Madness Explained

Christie and his 2016 rivals will do almost anything to stand out from the pack.

February 3, 2015

Lift The Blockade On Confirming U.S. Judges

How to fix the filibuster once and for all.

January 29, 2015

Romney Is The Only One Who Thinks He’s Reagan

Mitt Romney is no Ronald Reagan — and Republicans know it.

January 15, 2015

Congressional Dealmaking Isn’t Extortion

Is Elizabeth Warren the new Ted Cruz? Not exactly.

December 12, 2014

Rand Paul Isn’t Leading The Republican Pack

Don’t believe the hype — Rand Paul will not be the next president.

December 5, 2014

The Curious Case of McConnell’s Genius

Is Mitch McConnell really the political mastermind that liberals fear?

December 2, 2014

Here’s The 2016 Republican Nominee

The next leader of the Republican Party is somewhere on this list.

November 24, 2014

Boehner’s Lawsuit Is Betrayal Of Congress

House Republicans are committing institutional treason.

November 21, 2014

Boehner Wants To Expand Magic Obama Lawsuit

How long can Speaker Boehner get away with this charade?

November 14, 2014
Voting provisional ballot

Republicans Aren’t Rigging The Electoral College

Republicans could rig elections to keep themselves in power indefinitely. But they won’t.

November 13, 2014

Jobs Report Is Good News For 2016 Democrats

Democratic policies are proving to help the economy–so when will voters take notice?

November 7, 2014

How Reporters’ Bias Is Helping Republicans

If Republicans capture the Senate, they should thank the media.

November 3, 2014

Why Voter ID Isn’t Causing Mass Anger

Don’t count on a new Freedom Summer for voting rights.

October 31, 2014

Five States Where Senate Polls May Be Wrong

Are we in for some surprises on election night?

October 28, 2014
Obamacare, Republicans

To Know Obamacare Is To Love It?

Explaining the latest polls on the Affordable Care Act.

October 10, 2014

How To Grade Obama’s Performance on Economy

Socialist, or centrist? History won’t judge Obama the way Republicans hope.

October 3, 2014

Five Undercovered Midterm-Election Stories

Sept. 12 (Bloomberg View) — It’s terrific that we have six polling aggregators and forecasting models, each giving us rapidly updated odds for every Senate seat. It’s nice to have the chances of a Republican majority in the next Senate (continued aggregation-of-aggregation odds: tossup, very slight edge to Republicans). But as many have noted, things […]

September 15, 2014

Rick Santorum Is A 2016 Contender

Feb. 21 (Bloomberg) — Is Rick Santorum a viable presidential candidate? Santorum has been making audible presidential noises this week, so it’s time to consider the question. In my view, it’s a worthwhile question, and not just for the vanity of predicting what’s going to happen. Both party actors and the media need to decide […]

February 21, 2014

Obamacare Unpopularity And Predicting 2014

Feb. 19 (Bloomberg) — Yes, it’s the middle of the week, but it’s not too late for a little Monday Cranky Blogging, especially when some journalist is being especially obtuse. This time? It’s Josh Kraushaar, who is absolutely certain that Obamacare is going to be a major electoral factor in 2014. How does he know? […]

February 19, 2014

Will The Senate Filibuster Be Nuked In 2015?

Over at the Monkey Cage yesterday, former Senate staffer Richard Arenberg worried that in the case of a tied Senate after the 2014 elections (with Vice President Joe Biden serving as the Democrats’ tie-breaker), the filibuster might be doomed. In this view, the Democrats would go nuclear, reorganizing the Senate to allow legislation to pass […]

February 13, 2014