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Sunday, September 25, 2016

According to a new Public Policy Polling poll, embattled Republican Mark Sanford has reclaimed the momentum in the special election in South Carolina’s 1st congressional district, and now holds a narrow lead over Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch.

The poll finds Sanford leading Colbert Busch by a razor-thin 47 to 46 percent margin, with 4 percent supporting Green Party candidate Eugene Platt and 4 percent undecided. The poll, which surveyed 1,239 likely voters on May 4th and 5th, has a +/- 2 percent margin of error — making the race a statistical toss-up.

This represents a dramatic shift from PPP’s previous poll on April 23rd, which found that Colbert Busch had opened up a 9 percent lead on Sanford in the wake of the revelation that the former governor had trespassed on his ex-wife’s property.

Sanford’s comeback can be at least partially attributed to his successful effort to tie Colbert Busch to the national Democratic Party. Although some of Sanford’s tactics — particularly his decision to debate a cardboard cutout of Nancy Pelosi on a Columbia street corner — were widely mocked, they appear to have had a tangible impact. A 47 percent plurality now says that Colbert Busch’s positions on the issues are too liberal, and her favorability rating has dropped a net 19 percent in the past two weeks.

Sanford’s best asset remains the strong rightward lean of the district, which voted for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama by a 13 percent margin in 2012. Although Sanford remains quite unpopular personally — just 43 percent view him favorably, compared to 54 percent who view him unfavorably — a 48 percent plurality says that his positions on the issues are “about right.” Furthermore, Sanford is significantly more popular than the Democratic leaders to whom he has tied Colbert Busch. Voters say they have a higher opinion of Sanford than of President Barack Obama by a 48 to 44 percent margin, and they overwhelmingly prefer Sanford to Pelosi, 53 to 37 percent.

The PPP poll is the second recent survey to show the race coming down to the wire; on Thursday, a Red Racing Horses poll found the candidates locked in a 46 to 46 percent deadlock.

Although Sanford holds the momentum in the polls, Colbert Busch did receive some good news over the weekend. On Sunday, the Charleston Post And Courier endorsed the Democrat, writing that “Ms. Colbert Busch’s resolve to reach across the aisle would serve the 1st District — and the nation — well.” The Post And Courier, which is the largest newspaper in the district, has historically supported Republican candidates, including Romney and South Carolina senator Tim Scott.

AP Photo/Rainier Ehrhardt, File

  • FredAppell

    This is a clear reminder that the conservatives feel we are at war for the soul of America. They know Sanford is a deeply, deeply flawed man and yet they rally behind him anyway. It also doesn’t help that Colbert Busch is losing votes to the Green Party
    candidate Eugene Platt. On the one hand, I applaud Platts supporters for sticking with their principles but they need to understand that they are throwing away their votes and hindering the Democratic Party’s ability to beat the conservatives. The Green party is way to small right now to be able to win important elections (though I agree with their philosophies), it would make much more sense to give that support to the Democratic
    candidates instead. Now is not the time to have divisions in the ranks.

    • adler56

      The Green party is among the stupid. They cost us the Gore-dumbya election.
      They’re not Americans- they’re like the racist, greedy repugnants but with different goals- they’re just not realistic goals- they’d sooner screw all Americans
      rather than settle for half a loaf.

      • FredAppell

        I agree with some of what you say. Yes, their priorities are different. I wouldn’t call them racist or greedy though but you’re right, they did cost us an election. Remember what I said about divisions in the ranks, you’re doing the very same thing. Would it surprise you to know that I am actually a supporter of the Sierra Club? I don’t actively picket or volunteer, but I am more than happy to donate as much as I can when
        I’m able to do so. Their philosophy is simple, what good is anything else
        if our environment is unsustainable. As for the Green candidates, they would be much better off running strictly on the Democratic ticket versus
        running as their own separate party. They simply lack the necessary support to be effective on their platform. They need to realize that by merging with the Democrats, they would be able to accomplish much more with the money and votes to back them up.

        • adler56

          I agree- that’s what the tea baggers did and look how they’ve managed to screw the country- not saying that’s what the Green party would do – at least they’d have input if they won as Democrats instead of allowing Repugnants to win.

          • FredAppell

            Yep, Reagan’s big tent strategy has worked well for them. We need something like that now for our side. Our problem is that we have so many left of center splinter groups, the Democrats
            aren’t effectively getting the message out to them all, so these groups feel like they don’t have any representation.

      • Sand_Cat

        Sorry. The Democrats are going further and further to the right. Why should we keep voting for them?

        • [email protected]

          Maybe they are finally finding some decency : )

        • adler56

          to keep repugnants from killing the country anymore than they already have. Does “half a loaf is better than none” not make sense to you?

      • [email protected]

        Seems to me Ross Perot caused GeorgeH W Bush to loose. And we ended up with the rapest Bill Clinton

        • adler56

          It was dumbya’s old man that lost- not dumbya.

  • It doesn’t say much for the voters in SC and I guess they are too busy fighting the civil war.If they elect Can’t Keep It In Your Pants Sanford,they deserve him.Too bad the rest of us have to suffer.

    • adler56

      They got their butts handed to them in the first Civil War- no change expected in Civil War II.

    • [email protected]

      Seems to me can’t keep in your pants, Clinton was kept in!!

    • neeceoooo

      I just shake my head and wonder “how can they be so stupid”.

    • Inthenameofliberty

      Exactly HOW was Clinton any different? You are a hypocrite (be nice now, I voted for Clinton back then).

  • adler56

    South Carolina has the dumbest people in the country- no surprise that a normal person is having trouble winning them over. She’s not a fat white guy in overalls, and she’s not a guy. They prefer the numbnut who lied to them and skipped “school” for a few days and lied about where he was. Who wouldn’t want a redneck like themselves doing things for them or to them? Normal people- that’s who.

  • CrankyToo

    Now I know there are a fair number of dumbass rednecks in SC, but can there actually be enough to re-elect that dirtbag Sanford? C’mon SC, tell me it isn’t so. You can’t really be that stupid, can you?

  • You know, Sanford lied to his wife, his family, and his staff when he vacated his governance to the people of South Carolina, therefore, he abandoned the people he was sworn to represent. He had people worried to death about his whereabouts, calling, searching, fretting about where he might be or even worse, only to find out that he was on a trick in South America. He got caught with his dick in his hand and his nuts buried in the sand. . . And somebody like that has a big following in the polls in South Carolina? Is ALEC behind this too? May God help South Carolina.

    • [email protected]

      You know, Clinton lied to his wife, his family the whole country about Monica, Jennifer, and how many others and he didn’t have enough decency to step down. Apparently Mark Sanford really loves his mistress, Bill Clinton used all of his for sex!!!!!

      • adler56

        Bill Clinton wasn’t a hypocrite about it like Sanford and all the gay republicans that vote against gay issues like Lindsey Graham. He’s from SC and those rednecks apparently can’t spot a gay guy unless he actually tells them he’s gay.

        • neeceoooo

          And Sanford billed the people of SC for his trip to Argentina and I don’t think there was a financial cost for Bill Clinton and I do believe that Monica was a willing partner.

          • cats33

            All of the others weren’t. He raped them!!—Mark Sanford beat Busch!!!

        • cats33

          Bill Clinton is a rapest. Mark Sanford won!!! : )

          • adler56

            Wrong. SC and America lost. Sanford still sucks.

  • rigdum_funidos

    ha. ha. ha. now that it is over–we see again how the liberal main-stream press deceives itself.