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Saturday, July 21, 2018

Reprinted with permission from AlterNet. 

Very few pollsters predicted Donald Trump even clinching the nomination and it took months for some to accept his run as anything other than a publicity stunt. Still, when he did win the nomination, Trump’s chances of becoming president never hovered above 30% according to Nate Silver, until approximately 8:30pm on Election Day.

However, Washington, D.C.-based professor Allan Lichtman explained why Trump would win in September 2016.

“Based on the 13 keys, it would predict a Donald Trump victory,” he told the Washington Post.

Lichtman’s system of “keys” is detailed in his book, Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016. In short, it was the political climate surrounding President Obama’s second term that laid fertile ground for an upset from the Republican side.

While 90 percent of Republicans voted for Trump, Lichtman insisted that this marriage between establishment Republicans and Donald Trump is doomed.

“I’m going to make another prediction,” Lichtman said. “This one is not based on a system; it’s just my gut. They don’t want Trump as president, because they can’t control him. He’s unpredictable.”

Lichtman then explained what he believes the House is planning.

“They’d love to have Pence — an absolutely down-the-line, conservative, controllable Republican. And I’m quite certain Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment, either by doing something that endangers national security or because it helps his pocketbook.”

And he’s not the only one making this prediction.

 

Alexandra Rosenmann is an AlterNet associate editor. Follow her @alexpreditor.

IMAGE: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump (R) and vice presidential candidate Mike Pence speak in an overflow room at a campaign event in Roanoke, Virginia, U.S., July 25, 2016. REUTERS/Carlo Allegri

14 Responses to Will Trump Soon Be Impeached?

  1. So Democrats ought to vote against impeachment for no other reason than to foil the Republican plans?

    I’m okay with that, particularly with what bogus claims the republicans have viewed as impeachable offenses in the past.

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    • As much as I despise Trump and everything he represents, I agree. Pence is just as bad as Trump and worse in some ways and on some issues. If we have to put up with one devil, there is no reason to trade it in on another.

    • You mean keep Trump stuck in a job he actually never wanted ? Hmmmmmm ???? But what if he wants to resign before any impeachment is proposed. I’m all in favor of letting him be stuck in boring cabinet meetings that actually requires his attention for more than 5 minutes. If we the people have to suffer so shall he ????

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      • Very possible. of course Palin quit because she saw it would be more lucrative to be a right wing bobble head than serve in the office that the gullible elected her to do. Would that be true of Trump? Maybe but he can probably serve his financial empire better as president.

        Impeachment is possible though the GOP majority may protect him there. It is true though that many repubs would be very happy to be calling Pence Mr. President. That may hinge on whether the vindictive Trump seeks payback on those in the GOP who didn’t support him and in some cases opposed him. It wouldn’t be smart but I don’t think Trump is very smart and his ego is huge, though fragile.

        There is also his health. We all know the bill of health he claimed came form his doctor was written by himself and he doesn’t look healthy now.

        We’ll see. Pence would be more stable but not an improvement as far as policy is concerned.

  2. What is the likelihood of a Republican House voting for Teflon Donnie’s impeachment? Pretty slim. What’s the odds of getting a conviction in a Senate Trial? Probably better than most. In addition to all the Democrats, you would probably have Rubio, Cruz, McCain, Graham and a number of other Republicans who he dissed supporting them. Unfortunately, then we would have President Pence to deal with.

  3. It’ll never happen. Republicans won’t want to anger the base, as they’re all ready mad at insiders (no draining the swamp, it in the transition team). If Democrats try, they’ll be labeled sore losers.

  4. It is a safe bet Drumpf will be impeached and/or brought up on treason charges. He burned more bridges than he built during the election and then appointed more alligators to fill the proverbial swamp. He will be history before the end of FY17.

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