Smart. Sharp. Funny. Fearless.
Wednesday, October 26, 2016

Today’s Ruling: Obama +

The Numbers

RCP Average                 Obama +1.2
TPM Poll Tracker        Obama +2.7
HuffPo Pollster            Tied
NYTimes 538                Obama +2.1

Memo Average              Obama +1.5

You know the cliché: The only poll that counts is on Election Day. But until then, what we have are opinion polls and the daily drama of the campaign. In “Up Today (Down Tomorrow)” we’ll chronicle the big wins and bigger fails as they occur — and like it or not, we’ll name a winner of the day based on everything we can gather by sticking a finger in the air.


On Wednesday, President Obama scored a rare election year legislative victory as Democrats in the Senate passed an extension of the Bush tax cuts on all income under $250,000. Majority Leader Harry Reid outmaneuvered his GOP counterpart Mitch McConnell by keeping the Democratic caucus together—with the exceptions of Jim Webb  (D-VA) and Joe Lieberman (I-CT). Vice President Biden showed up in the Senate to cast the tiebreaking vote if necessary — but Republicans Scott Brown and Susan Collins joined Democrats to pass the bill.

Takeaway: President Obama can now spend the campaign demanding that House Republicans pass the middle-class tax-cut extensions that passed the Senate.


Less then 24 hours into his tour through Europe and Israel, Mitt Romney is already reeling from two major flubs. First an unnamed advisor played the race card by touting Romney’s connection with America’s “Anglo-Saxon heritage” in a UK paper. Then Romney himself publicly questioned whether London was ready for the 2012 Olympics — prompting snark from British Prime Minister David Cameron who  mocked Romney’s Olympic experience: “Of course it’s easier if you hold an Olympic games in the middle of nowhere.”

Takeaway: Lacking in foreign policy experience, Romney needs this trip to go well. Alas, that already looks doubtful.


Click here for reuse options!
Copyright 2012 The National Memo
  • Trying to determine what is going to happen in November based on the fluctuations of daily polling is like trying to determine the health of the economy based on daily DJI fluctuations. There are many variables in presidential elections, and last minute mood swings are not uncommon. Both candidates must be cautious and avoid major gaffes as public opinion in the USA is more likely to decide who to vote for after listening to a cute or persuassive political ad or an unintended blunder than because of the qualifications or political platforms of the candidates.

  • Am I the only one who can not read the comments or is the National Memo having technical problems?

    • joyscarbo

      I have had problems too….yesterday they were all blank!

      • old_blu

        I had problems too it works now.

  • Is this going to be daily event?

    How honest will you be in reporting?

    I would expect to see more polls.

  • TheOldNorthChurch

    Interesting numbers – the questions is on these polling sources what were these companies results in a final election? The most accurate polling group in the last 10 years has been Rasmussen. I checked his numbers this morning and it has Obama – 44 Romney-49. Interestingly is that the numbers are close to the polling on who is better equipped to handle the economy: Romney-49 Obama-43

    Foreign Policy means very little in this election. Next weeks employment picture means everything and if reported accurately is going to be very dismal. Medical Device manufacturers are already starting their layoffs do to the 2.8% excise taxing hitting them on January 1st.

  • This is an expample of what he would look like on the world stage, he should be advised to keep his mouth shut & just smile charmingly. Othersize it’s “Open mouth insert foot and bit down hard. He can’t seem to put 2 words together witout stuttering.

  • keeping the Democratic caucus together—with the exceptions of Jim Webb (D-VA) and Joe Lieberman (I-CT)./// these are the to say it nicely the back stabing ppl. that are in office . what should happen is thy should get voted out of there places and sits . by there actions thy both are GOP ding dong . the dems dont need ppl. in there places that are two faces . well some maybe say thy just think different . well there thinking is just that thinking that sides with the GOP if thats where there vote gose then take the D and I off and put in the R . thats why the GOP is powerful for no matter what most may think thy stand together . ok brown a clear R voted with the DEMS . as good as a good thing that is .i feel he did that to gain support in his MA . fight for he may lose his sit . as it is after TED K. passed away (rest in peace ) the ppl. them selfs from MA. turned two face on the DEMS and on TED,S and belifes good name . whats need in offices and in the house is people in office that are for thr 98% of the ppl. one thing i see and look next time . when i belive his name in CANTON one of the GOP TOP DING DONGS just look at his face when he talks he seem to always have a crap eating goofy smerk or grin on his face almost like he ready to laugh . and thats because he know very well how much a joke is what he,s doing and want to do to this country with the GOP.

    • Are you from another country just trying to learn English? I could not understand anything you wrote.

  • Gammaanya

    Lieberman was always a traitor- changed his political party like dog sheds his fur besides he is out so he doesn’t care anymore. Will retire with nice pension and healthcare on our dime. J. Webb is wishy washy and not too smart and should go away on next election. He is DINO. Before you vote for any party due diligence and check how they voted in the past on issues important to you not party. As for Brown – he is doing it because his job is on the line and if not a winner – unemployment for him (he can always join strip clubs- Chippendale?) if he wins bad for most of us.

  • ObozoMustGo

    Even foreigners can see that which the useful idiots on the left in America cannot.

    This quote was translated into English from an article appearing in the Czech Republic as published in the Prager Zeitung of 28 April 2011.

    … “The danger to America is not Barack Obama but a citizenry capable of entrusting an inexperienced man like him with the Presidency. It will be far easier to limit and undo the follies of an Obama presidency than to restore the necessary common sense and good judgment to a depraved electorate willing to have such a man for their president. The problem is much deeper and far more serious than Mr. Obama, who is a mere symptom of what ails America . Blaming the prince of the fools should not blind anyone to the vast confederacy of fools that made him their prince. The Republic can survive a Barack Obama. It is less likely to survive a multitude of Idiots such as those who made him their president.”

    Have a nice day!