Smart. Sharp. Funny. Fearless.
Saturday, December 3, 2016

Getting Real

Poll Call Change Who’s Up
Real Clear Politics
Average
Obama
+.4
Obama
+3.4%
Talking Points Memo PollTracker No change Romney
+.6%
HuffingtonPost
Pollster
Romney
+.4
Romney
+.4
New York Times
FiveThirtyEight
No change Obama
+2.6
Memo 
Average
 No change  Obama
+.1.3

The big news today is that the President is now up 2% in Rasmussen Reports, the most conservative tracking poll. Rasmussen calls it a bump based on positive poll numbers but it represents a 6% swing toward from Romney in a week. If this holds until November, then even if the turnout resembles 2010 when Democrats in large numbers stayed home, the President would still win at least the popular vote.

But only Dick Morris has seen the ‘real’ poll numbers

Dick Morris has seen the battleground polls of an organization he trusts but won’t name. And he says it’s looking very good for Romney. Based on Dick Morris’ track record, Republicans should be very alarmed and Democrats reassured.

Obama still ahead of ’08 fundraising

Mitt Romney raised more money than the President for the second month, raking in over $100 million. Something to keep in mind is that the President has still raised over $600 million, about twice what Romney has raised, and is on pace to beat his 2008 total of $750 million. But you can still expect desperate fundraising emails each month from the Obama campaign, which relishes being seen as the underdog–at least by its supporters.

What’s going on in Ohio?

The Romney campaign over the weekend said the President’s campaign is trying to undermine military voters by opening early voting to all Ohioans, as it has been in the past. The President’s supporters call this a despicable lie and in turn charge the Romney campaign with trying to deny early voting to veterans. Even the conservative blog Hot Air sides with the President’s campaign on this one.

The Verdict: Until we see the numbers cited by Dick Morris, the fact that Rasmussen has swung dramatically toward the President give him the day.

Click here for reuse options!
Copyright 2012 The National Memo