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Midterm Roundup: A New Frontrunner In Florida?

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Midterm Roundup: A New Frontrunner In Florida?

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Here are some interesting stories on the midterm campaigns that you may have missed on Thursday, October 9:

• Another survey of Florida’s gubernatorial race suggests that Democrat Charlie Crist is close to reclaiming his old job. The University of North Florida poll, released Thursday, shows Crist with a 5-point lead over incumbent Republican Rick Scott. Crist only leads by 1.4 percent in the Real Clear Politics poll average, but Tampa Bay Times political editor Adam C. Smith has seen enough to declare that “Crist may have become the clear frontrunner.”

• Senator Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) continues to lead Republican challenger Scott Brown in New Hampshire’s Senate race. A new WMUR Granite State Poll finds Shaheen up 47 to 41 percent. Democrats’ strategy of aggressively attacking Brown appears to be paying off; his net favorability rating has plummeted to a startling negative-19 percent, down from negative-2 percent in August. Shaheen now leads by 6.5 percent in the poll average, and Brown’s odds of a comeback appear increasingly long.

• A CNN/ORC poll released Thursday shows Republican Dan Sullivan leading Democratic senator Mark Begich, 50 to 44 percent, in Alaska’s Senate race. Sullivan is now up 4.8 percent in the poll average, although it must be noted that polling in Alaska is notoriously unreliable.

• Larry Pressler, whose surging Independent campaign has turned South Dakota’s Senate race upside down, won’t say which party he’d caucus with if he scores an upset victory. But he did tell The Hill that he’d be a “friend of Obama” if he wins, creating another headache for Republican nominee Mike Rounds.

• And Senator Mary Landrieu (D-LA) continues to dominate the tailgate scene in Louisiana. After helping a fan do a kegstand at LSU two weeks ago, video has now emerged of Landrieu doing the wobble at a Southern University tailgate. The campaign trail isn’t all fun for the Democratic incumbent, however; she trails Republican Bill Cassidy by 5.6 percent in the poll average, and on Thursday she replaced her campaign manager — a move that bodes poorly so late in the race.

Photo: Mike Cohen via Flickr

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Henry Decker

Henry Decker was formerly the Managing Editor of The National Memo. He is currently an Online Associate at MRCampaigns.

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22 Comments

  1. Dominick Vila October 9, 2014

    Charlie Crist, the Democrat running for governor in Florida, was trailing Gov. Rick Scott until Democrats began airing political commercials highlighting Scott’s activities as founder and CEO of Columbia HCA, the company found guilty of defrauding MEDICARE. Columbia paid over $800M in fines for its executives to avoid jail time.

    Reply
    1. Independent1 October 9, 2014

      It’s about time the Democrats started finding the true weaknesses of their opponents; and then started actually airing commercials that let the electorate in their states know just how devious many of these Republican candidates are.

      And It also amazes me, that it appears anyway, that many Democrats aren’t making more of the many outright gaffes that come out of the mouths of so many Republican candidates. I’m actually aghast that Joni Ernst can be leading Bruce Braley in Iowa given the absolutely idiotic things that she says. How can he not be making her look like an absolute fool!!! He should be leading her by at least 10 points in the polls.

      Reply
      1. joe schmo October 10, 2014

        Huh! My only hope is that the Repubs can fight as dirty as the Liberals have. Millions have been pumped into this election by your side. I heard today that the Dems are pulling their funding out of some of the races because it is a lose lose situation. We can only wait and see what happens next…..

        Reply
        1. jmprint October 10, 2014

          The only ammunition the repugs have are LIES, LIES, LIES and…more LIES, and frankly the world is tired of them. Except for a few blow hards like you.

          Reply
          1. Independent1 October 10, 2014

            If you don’t get the DailyKos and want to see a good example of how a Democrat should confront a nefarious GOP candidate, take a look at this DailyKos article on Wendy Davis’ lengthy speech really taking it to Greg Abbott:

            http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/10/02/1333915/-Wendy-Davis-Delivers-Address-on-Austin-s-Culture-of-Corruption-and-Abbott-s-Role-in-TEF-Scandal?detail=email

            Reply
        2. Independent1 October 10, 2014

          There’s a BIG DIFFERENCE in pouring millions into political activities with the intent of doing everything you can to help and support people who really need help in their lives, and doing what many of the Conservative donors like the Koch Bros are doing which is to fund projects purely intended to do all they can to make the lives of the middle class and poor even MORE MISERABLE.

          Here’s an excerpt from an article on just HOW EVIL the Koch Bros REALLY ARE!!!!

          The Bridge Project recently released a 16 page report [pdf] detailing the some of the most egregious of the Koch brothers’ political efforts to make life as miserable as possible for minorities, the elderly, and pretty much everyone who isn’t rich. Alternet distills it down to the seven worst among their “efforts to dismantle years of civil rights progress.”

          Alternet highlights the Kochs’ union-busting efforts. That includes most recently their support for Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (including dirty tricks in the recall election), the poster child for destroying labor. Unions have been credited with raising many out of poverty and solidly into the middle-class, but particularly minorities who gained much-needed job protections. It almost goes without saying that in addition to crush labor, the Kochs are also steadfastly opposed to raising the minimum wage. “Since the 1990s, the Kochs have given at least $23.3 million to think tanks focusing on attacking the minimum wage. Raising the minimum wage would create a ‘culture of dependency,’ they claim.”

          http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/10/08/1335246/-Yes-the-Koch-brothers-really-are-that-nbsp-evil?detail=email#

          And I realize the article is from a left-wing biased website BUT FACTS ARE FACTS!!!!!!!

          Reply
        3. highpckts October 10, 2014

          The Repubs have always fought dirty!!! We will fight fire with fire!

          Reply
        4. Independent1 October 10, 2014

          Talk about fighting dirty – what do you call what Greg Abbott the GOP Attorney General of Texas has taken part in over the past few years???

          These words from Wendy Davis in a lengthy speech that lays it all out – and Greg Abbott is not unique of today’s totally nefarious GOP candidates.

          Excerpts from Wendy’s speech as documented in the DailyKos:

          Because the creeping corruption that victimized veterans after World War II is the same kind that caused our Attorney General to accept $300,000 from payday lenders and give them the green light to victimize veterans today by charging them more than three or four times what credit card companies charge.

          It’s the same kind of creeping corruption that caused him to accept $100,000 from the Koch family and Koch Industries, a chemical company, and then deny you the right to know if there are hazardous chemicals near your homes and schools. The only reason you don’t know if there are deadly chemicals stored in your neighborhoods is Greg Abbott. And on Tuesday we learned that one in three Texas students go to a school that’s within range of a hazardous chemical zone.

          And it’s the same creeping culture of corruption that led Greg Abbott to take $700,000 from Farmers Insurance, its lawyers and its lobbyists to protect their interests while they gouged millions from homeowners.

          That led him to accept nearly half a million dollars from his donors and then prompted him to abdicate his role on the cancer research oversight committee and look the other way while they got tens of millions in taxpayer dollars for cancer research despite the fact that their applications were never even reviewed or given low scores.

          That caused him to accept $350,000 from the chairman of a Texas hospital and intervene in court against the victims of a surgeon who maimed, paralyzed and even killed patients while he was high on cocaine, even though the hospital knew the surgeon had a history of misconduct but let him keep operating anyway.

          And the only reason why we know about the culture of corruption in the Texas Enterprise Fund is because of a bill I authored to audit it and protect taxpayer money for the first time since the fund was created.
          Greg Abbott is our Attorney General. He is our state’s chief law enforcement officer. He is supposed to be the people’s lawyer. And it was his responsibility to make sure that the millions of dollars going to companies were resulting in jobs. Not only did he fail to do that, but he covered up the fact that they weren’t.

          Reply
        5. Wedge Shot October 10, 2014

          My hope is that you will increase your brain power and not just repeat the Republican party line. Remember, it is you money that is being stolen right in front of your eyes.

          Reply
          1. Independent1 October 11, 2014

            That’s what amazes me; is that idiots like Joe Schmuck can’s see that the GOP is stealing them blind.

            Who does Joe think is pocketing all the billions of taxpayer dollars every time the GOP starts a war just to feed taxpayer money to the rich billionaires who own companies that profit from wars like Halliburton, Blackwater and others?

            Who does Joe think is paying ‘the piper’ when the GOP constantly cuts taxes so the rich can pay even less of their fair share requiring that towns increase property taxes or the state increase sales taxes??

            Who does Joe think is paying for the millions of dollars in federal subsidies when the GOP keeps legislation in place that allows companies like Wal-Mart, McDonalds, Target and countless others to get away with paying poverty level wages so their employees have to suck on welfare and food stamps??

            I could go on and on with examples of how the GOP is sucking the middle class and poor blind and Idiots like Joe Schmuck sit there and support the GOP’s absolute ROBBERY of America!!!

            Reply
        6. jmprint October 13, 2014

          My hope is that you stumble nock your head on the ground, shake up those brains cells in your head, and hopefully bring you back to life with better senses.

          Reply
      2. sigrid28 October 12, 2014

        There was a debate last night between Ernst and Braley. He ran circles around her, making very few mistakes. Ernst just shuffled talking points from her campain, repeating many lies about Braley as if they were truths and spreading half-truths about the state of the economy.

        She had a great deal of help from the television network airing the debate, however. (We have several far-right media outlets in the state.) In this case, there was no two-shot showing the two debaters on screen at the same time: the camera wasn’t placed far enough back to allow us to watch the other candidate react while his or her opponent was speaking. Viewers without wide-screen televisions saw a curtain with a logo projected on it for many minutes of the 60-minute debate.

        The rules were also rigged, allowing the journalists running the debate to spend a great deal of time acknowledging each other (boosting the careers of local celebrities) and identifying people from the audience and the Internet supplying questions: yet another way to give Ernst as little screen time as possible. Otherwise, her inability to answer questions being asked or to argue were on public display.

        Reply
        1. Independent1 October 12, 2014

          Thanks for the rundown on the Ernst/Braley debate. It’s really unfortunate that Democrats, who among other media biases(even like refusing to publish or make much of anything good that the Dems try to accomplish) have to also contend with media people who do everything they can to make a bunch of GOP idiots look less clueless and stupid than they really are.

          Reply
    2. Independent1 October 10, 2014

      Dominick, I’m not sure if you’ve come across the article in the Daily Kos about Wendy Davis’ speech that really took it to Greg Abbott.

      In case you haven’t seen it, here’s a short excerpt from her speech that is more like what other Democrats should be doing to their often nefarious opponents (like Scott):

      From the DailyKos:

      I chose to run for Governor because I believe that the old insider network in Austin has taken Texas as far as it can. I believe that their dealings undermine our ability to give our children the education they deserve; that they break our promise not to waste taxpayer dollars; and that we need a renewed effort, like generations of Texans before us, to root out the culture of corruption that is shortchanging hardworking Texans and selling out their future.

      Because the creeping corruption that victimized veterans after World War II is the same kind that caused our Attorney General to accept $300,000 from payday lenders and give them the green light to victimize veterans today by charging them more than three or four times what credit card companies charge.

      It’s the same kind of creeping corruption that caused him to accept $100,000 from the Koch family and Koch Industries, a chemical company, and then deny you the right to know if there are hazardous chemicals near your homes and schools. The only reason you don’t know if there are deadly chemicals stored in your neighborhoods is Greg Abbott. And on Tuesday we learned that one in three Texas students go to a school that’s within range of a hazardous chemical zone.

      And it’s the same creeping culture of corruption that led Greg Abbott to take $700,000 from Farmers Insurance, its lawyers and its lobbyists to protect their interests while they gouged millions from homeowners.

      That led him to accept nearly half a million dollars from his donors and then prompted him to abdicate his role on the cancer research oversight committee and look the other way while they got tens of millions in taxpayer dollars for cancer research despite the fact that their applications were never even reviewed or given low scores.

      That caused him to accept $350,000 from the chairman of a Texas hospital and intervene in court against the victims of a surgeon who maimed, paralyzed and even killed patients while he was high on cocaine, even though the hospital knew the surgeon had a history of misconduct but let him keep operating anyway.

      http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/10/02/1333915/-Wendy-Davis-Delivers-Address-on-Austin-s-Culture-of-Corruption-and-Abbott-s-Role-in-TEF-Scandal?detail=email

      Reply
      1. Dominick Vila October 11, 2014

        Thank you for sharing. It is hard to believe that behavior like this is going on in the United States, and that perpetrators are getting away with it. The worst part, however, is that a lot of people continue to vote for crooks like this guy.

        Reply
        1. Independent1 October 11, 2014

          Yeah! What’s amazing to me is that millions of Texans will more than likely, go ahead and vote for a crook like Abbott, even though Wendy has come out and listed several absolutely nefarious things he’s profited from while he’s been AG of Texas.

          Reply
          1. Dominick Vila October 11, 2014

            Perhaps not surprisingly, many Republicans consider the political ads that remind voters of the fraudulent or downright criminal acts committed by people like Abbot in Texas, and Scott in Florida, as examples of despicable Democratic negativism…and a lot of people buy it!
            Bear in mind that the primary GOP goal is not to advertise facts or the truth, but to win elections, and they will do whatever it takes to accomplish that. If voting for a crook to keep Democrats out of office, that is exactly what they will do, without the slightest hesitation or compulsion.

            Reply
          2. Independent1 October 11, 2014

            Well, if Wendy’s long and very pointed speech about Abbott profiting handsomely at the taxpayers’ expense (not just with money but lives) via all his many nefarious activities as AG, doesn’t get enough press to change enough people’s minds to get her elected, then I’m not sure what else any Democrat could do in the obviously backward, low education red states to get themselves elected.

            And unfortunately, if that’s true, then maybe there’s really nothing that the Obama Administration could have done with respect to education on Obamacare, that would have changed the mindset of millions of Americans, who as you point out, are determined to not buy anything liberals may say or try to accomplish.

            And maybe that’s why the Obama Administration hasn’t made more of an effort to do that – provide more explicit beneficial information on Obamacare, maybe they knew it would be a waste of time and effort; knowing that the only way millions of Americans are going to buy into all the benefits ACA has brought to our country, is if they experience those benefits themselves or hear of the benefits from one of their family or friends.

            Reply
          3. Dominick Vila October 11, 2014

            I have very close relatives who are not only registered Republicans, but who are enthusiastic Tea Party supporters. When we discuss politics (I try to avoid it), and the topic is Obamacare, I explain how beneficial that program was for my eldest son and for my handicapped grandson. Believe me, it doesn’t matter what we say or how much facts we provide. Their response is that anything that is presented to promote the ACA are either LIES or evil manifestations of socialism.
            Things such as getting rid of the pre-existing condition clause, or insurance policy premiums being less than half of what they were before the ACA for comparable insurance coverage is simply ignored and replaced with rants.
            Like I said in an earlier post, the only hope for the ACA in the long run involves the GOP making it their own cause. After a few changes to rid the program of overt “socialism”, Republican governors will embrace the MEDICAID expansion and the ACA, which would cause in participation doubling, and they will claim victory.

            Reply
          4. Russell Byrd October 11, 2014

            I do not mean to offend (your family), but stupid people seem to thrive on hate, and never seem to understand that the truth has to actually be true.

            My family is very much the same way.

            Reply
          5. jmprint October 13, 2014

            Looks like we all have a few of them as friends and family, don;t argue with just print the facts and hopefully they will read it before casting their vote.

            Reply
          6. Russell Byrd October 13, 2014

            The tragedy is, I hear time and again about good people avoiding their families. Whether i am good or not, I also avoid them like the plague.

            Reply

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