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No, Hillary Clinton Isn’t Going Anywhere

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No, Hillary Clinton Isn’t Going Anywhere


If Hillary Clinton did not have a problem, it would be necessary for the chattering classes to invent one.

Nature abhors a vacuum, journalists hate a “sure thing,” and besides, nobody wanted the Democratic nomination to be a coronation in the first place. Even so, the handwringing from Democrats that Clinton’s “sure thing” status is under threat from forces both inside and outside her camp seems at odds with the fact that she is running a very solid, effective campaign: She is leading the endorsement game by a huge margin, made a strong showing in Iowa last weekend, where she won the ringing endorsement of former senator Tom Harkin, and was reported to be “stealing the show” and “swaying doubters.”

But when you’re the frontrunner, you have nowhere to go but down. And so a dip in the polls becomes a national headline, and a narrative begins to form that Clinton could be headed for another defeat — and what’s more humiliating, a defeat that will happen for the same reasons as it did in 2008.

The Washington Post reports that the “New Hillary is hobbled by old weaknesses,” and that her campaign is exhibiting “worrisome patterns,” such as “insularity, rigidity and a sense that the operation is tone-deaf to changes happening around it.” The article continues:

Once again, worried supporters see signs of a bunker mentality in response to bad news about her email server and other controversies, and they see a candidate who can seem strangely blinkered to the threat posed by a lesser-known challenger.

Senator Bernie Sanders is drawing huge crowds with his populist message and a brazen, anti-establishment rhetoric that pundits say Clinton could never pull off. He’s built a grassroots campaign that’s riding an unlikely surge, recalling a certain other candidate who threw a wrench into Clinton’s last “sure-thing” presidential run.

The terror of Clinton’s forthcoming defeat is compounded by Dems’ predicament that her doom is the party’s too, and they live or die next November entirely on her shoulders.

“Dear Democrats: It’s too late to start over,” Chris Cilliza writes, suggesting that Democrats may be experiencing a bit of buyer’s remorse, and that whether or not they believe Hillary Clinton is the candidate they deserve, she is the one they’re stuck with. “If Democrats wanted a serious primary fight between Clinton and someone else — it’s hard to imagine who — that decision needed to have happened a year ago.”

Vice President Joe Biden might have stood a chance, but he is in no place financially to compete with Clinton, the story goes, having dithered so long that the money and talent he would need to mount a credible campaign have been siphoned off by her. Furthermore, Politico reports, the Democratic establishment would really rather the veep quietly step out of the race before he’s even entered it.

Everyone, calm down.

In the gap between press coverage of her actual campaign performance and concerns voiced about her diminishing chances lies a simple truth, which David Horsey, writing in the Los Angeles Times, put rather succinctly: “Hillary is probable, but no longer inevitable.”

Nate Silver, in a post published Monday on FiveThirtyEight, lays out how Clinton’s dip in popularity was a guaranteed thing, and that “everything that’s happened to Clinton so far in the campaign is pretty much par for the course.”

Silver observes that if weren’t for “emailgate,” there would have been another scandal; if it weren’t for Sanders, there would have been another challenger, or at least a candidate who could credibly play the challenger for a time before backing down.

Political media, he says, are guilty of “a certain type of bias: rooting for the story. Inevitability makes for a really boring story, especially when it involves a figure like Clinton who has been in public life for so long.”

“Being ‘inevitable,'” Silver writes, “doesn’t mean you’ll sweep through all 50 states with no opposition.” Furthermore, Clinton is far more “inevitable” now than she was in the 2008 election.

Clinton would rather have stronger favorability ratings than weaker ones, no email scandal, and Sanders behind her in every poll rather than all but one of them. If Joe Biden actually enters the race, I’d lower Clinton’s chances a bit; then again, I’d raise them if Biden doesn’t.

Rather, it’s that the challenges Clinton’s campaign has faced — and the media narrative about an “unexpectedly” competitive race — is exactly what you’d expect relative to the historical experience of campaigns like hers.

As one of the lowlives in David Mamet’s 1975 play American Buffalo said, “God forbid, something inevitable occurs…”

Photo: United States Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton poses for a photo with a woman at the Iowa State Fair in Des Moines, Iowa, August 15, 2015. REUTERS/Joshua Lott

Sam Reisman

Sam Reisman is the former managing editor at The National Memo, where he still writes the weekly "This Week In Crazy" column. His writing has appeared in Flavorpill, The Huffington Post, Columbia Daily Spectator, and Bwog. He was the publisher of the 2010 edition of Inside New York, an annual guidebook to the city for students and young professionals.

Since 2011, he has co-curated and hosted Peculiar Streams, a showcase for NYC-based writers, musicians, comedians, and filmmakers. He is a staff writer at Mediaite, and blogs at SamReisman.com.

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  1. Carolyn1520 August 18, 2015

    I just want to see all her detractors on the day after the election. All the LOSERS on the right. But I do believe for all their talk and the faux scandals they attempt to spin, they know they will remain LOSERS.
    I think I’ll enjoy reminding you of that daily, if you can manage for once to man up and show up.

    1. David August 18, 2015

      Hey…why don’t you remind us of the over 300 (and still rising) classified emails that Hildebeast ran through her private server? I know, “…at this point, what difference does it make?”.

      1. johninPCFL August 18, 2015

        They haven’t been classified even yet. They’ve been sent to the agencies that have the responsibility to classify them if deemed necessary. Don’t get the cart ahead of the horse, Spanky.

        1. David August 18, 2015

          Do you people even care in the slightest that she pulled this cr-p and compromised national security? Do you people even care in the slightest that she has fought tooth and nail not to provide those emails that went through her private server? Do you people even care in the slightest that she unilaterally deleted over 30,000 of them because they were “personal”? What if it were a Republican that was doing this? Obviously, she can do no wrong.

          1. RustysR August 18, 2015

            It has been stated and re-stated that none of these documents was identified as Classified at the time – and are being reviewed to determine if they are now. You’re probably not even aware that the Bush administration utilized a RNC server and over 5 million emails were “lost” and some 22 million were deleted. There is no Hillary Clinton email “scandal”.

          2. David August 18, 2015

            That’s right…deflect the argument to something else. We are not talking about anything done under the Bush administration. The subject is Hildebeast. So, let me get this right…she doesn’t know classified documents when she reads them? She doesn’t know that a possibility exists for classified documents to come to her under her personal server? Oh yes! We need her as POTUS!!!!

          3. Billie August 18, 2015

            I rest my case. You just tried to justify Bush’s actions.

          4. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            I don’t really think Bush cares about David trying to justify his actions.

          5. RustysR August 18, 2015

            I responded to your question ” What if it were a Republican that was doing this?” with facts about Republicans being held guiltless for far more egregious behavior. If you were familiar with Classified documents you’d be aware that the vast majority of them don’t shout SECRETIVE MATERIAL HERE when you’re reading them. That’s why they’re stamped with Classified markings which the government has said were not present on any of the potentially classified documents that may have passed through Hillary’s email account.

          6. David August 18, 2015

            And, apparently she was too ignorant to realize that the emails contained sensitive material? Either she knew and didn’t care, or was too stupid to know. Which do you think it was?

          7. RustysR August 18, 2015

            Apparently you’ve never seen any classified documents or you’d be aware that the vast majority of them make for pretty innocuous reading. It’s been previously explained and confirmed that the documents she had were not marked classified and may not have been classified at the time they were sent to her. (And may not be classified at all.) Apparently that’s too difficult for you to comprehend.

          8. David August 18, 2015

            Please answer the question…

          9. RustysR August 18, 2015

            Neither. Reading comprehension is very important. Anyone with something above a 4th grade level of knowledge would understand that I already answered your question. (Perhaps you’re a Trump fan; it’s been determined that he speaks at a 4th grade level.)

          10. David August 18, 2015

            Well…you said the emails were not classified. They contained sensitive material. Did she not care about them being on her private server, or was she to stupid to realize that. Can you not answer the question? I would guess you mean she deliberately used them through her server? Please say it’s not so!

          11. RustysR August 18, 2015

            I’ve answered your “question” 3x now. “Did she not care about them being on her private server, or was she to stupid to realize that.” For the last time, the answer is NEITHER.

          12. David August 18, 2015

            The what, pray tell, was it?

          13. RustysR August 18, 2015

            Question for you: Are you irredeemably stupid or just incapable of comprehending the facts about documents that were not identified as classified?

          14. guest444555 August 19, 2015

            Get lost you pathetic and desperate LOSER. You GOP scum are GONERS in Nov 2016.

          15. David August 19, 2015

            Hmmm….kind of like the GOP was in 2014?

          16. guest444555 August 20, 2015

            2014 had one of the lowest turnouts ever. You gop scum are DOA in 2016. Conservatism is a mental illness. You right wingers are getting slaughtered next year. ;0

          17. guest444555 August 20, 2015

            I will take great pleasure in watching your racist party get slaughtered out of existence.


            Your party is receiving a SHELLACKING like no other next year. 😉

          18. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            You seem to be very knowledgeable about fourth grade level, Are you going to be just as enthusiastic when you get to 5 th grade?

          19. Steve Batchelor August 18, 2015

            Comprehension and facts are not one of the strong suites of anyone on the right side of the aisle. Their strong suites are to deflect anything that makes look dumber then they are(which is pretty much impossible) and to attack anyone on the left for anything they can make up.
            A perfect example is the two turds Louis Allen and David.

          20. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

            Louis Allen and/or David can beat the $hit out of you, anytime, little Stevie.
            What is a little P O S like you doing by calling people that can beat the crap out of you “turds”??

          21. RustysR August 19, 2015

            You’re absolutely right Steve Batchelor. As everyone knows, it’s unfair to attempt a battle of wits with unarmed conservatives. They ignore those pesky facts and responsible answers and continue to spew stupidity.

          22. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            Have you given up on your egregious tampering? What happened did she wake up?

          23. Carolyn1520 August 19, 2015

            Lounie Allen is still angry because his wife Eleanor dumped him and he follows her around even to political blogs. David appears whenever he’s around so he’ll have someone, anyone who will acknowledge his sad existence. I think it’s his imaginary friend.

          24. Louis Allen August 19, 2015

            Hahahaa!! Good try carol!!
            I get on my knees every morning and thank God (yes, I know, to you liberal idiots thanking God is not politically correct and is even offensive, but bear with me) that He spared me several years ago from Lenore’s (to this day I have no idea why she now calls herself Eleanore) ever increasing alcoholism, misandry, hate, and stupidity.
            Get over it, babe!! I got rid of Lenore and NO, you can’t have me!!!
            LOL !!

          25. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            I think she wants Eleanore. I could be she wants to get dumped now that she has learned how to swim.

          26. Carolyn1520 August 20, 2015

            If the choice was solely between Lounie and Eleanore, I’d go that way. Lounie is the thing of nightmares.
            Eleanore has my empathy. No one deserves that.

          27. Louis Allen August 22, 2015

            I know, carol, I know:
            You would “go that way” (read “with a woman”), anyway and any day.
            It’s ok, butch, it’s ok.
            (everybody knows about you, carroll ….)

          28. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            The worst pat is that after she dumped him she did not even wipe.

          29. Carolyn1520 August 20, 2015

            Hey Mr. Hic,
            Haven’t seen you for awhile. Hoped you were well. I see you haven’t lost the acerbic wit. As long as you keep your snark on, you’ll be fine. 🙂

          30. Louis Allen August 22, 2015

            Still hurting about your being identified as gay, I see ….

          31. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            I rally like a she that is well confirmed.

          32. RustysR August 20, 2015

            “I rally like a she that is well confirmed.”
            ??? What on earth is that supposed to mean?

          33. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            My mistake I did not realize you were gay.

          34. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

            the stupid part ….

          35. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

            Yeah, and to you, Santa Claus lives in the North Pole.

          36. RustysR August 18, 2015

            What? You conveniently ignore that W, Cheney, Rove and Jeb! committed far more egregious tampering with emails (and are not in a federal penitentiary), but want to discuss Santa? Perhaps you should tune in to Megyn Kelly for that – she claims to be an expert. (Considering the level of intelligence shown in your posts, you probably are a devotee of Kelly and the rest of the Fox Not-News folks.)

          37. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

            Yeah, whatever, you RustyBrain.

          38. David August 18, 2015

            He just wants you to answer the question. I don’t think you have the fortitude to do so.

          39. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            He is to busy trying to do egregious tampering with the lights out.

          40. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            Egregious tampering is a lot easier if she is drunk.

          41. hicusdicus August 20, 2015

            I have heard that salt peter will work for out of control egregious behavior. Have you ever tried it?

          42. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

            With “Rustybrains” it’s always deny and deflect, deny and deflect, deny and deflect.

          43. Billie August 18, 2015

            You no what I care about? I care that republicans have tried to demean her from the day Bill was first elected governor of Arkansas. Republicans can’t stand a smart woman. They don’t care about all the embassy and consulate bombings during the Bush term. Republicans refuse to take any responsibility for their actions, it’s all Hilary’s fault.

          44. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

            “You no what I care about?”
            Know, I don’t no.
            “Republican can’t stand a smart woman”?? That’s why the just LOVE you, sweetie.

          45. johninPCFL August 18, 2015

            Republicans DID this. Powell and Rice used PUBLIC SERVERS (like AOL) for their communications and ERASED ALL OF THEIR MAIL. NONE was provided for review.


            Get it now?

          46. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

            Powell and Rice are not running for President.

            Get it now?

          47. Steve Batchelor August 18, 2015

            What difference does it matter if they were running for President or not you dumbass? You whole BS tirade about Hillary is because you seem to think that she had “secret” tidbits on her personnel server(which you make up as you go). It’s just like you TeaTurds to disregard someone pointing out to you that your beloved idiots on the “right” did the same thing and whether or not they were running for President has nothing to do with it.

          48. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

            Little Stevie:
            Learn English first, then post your stupid rants.
            1) “What difference does it matter…” should be “… does it make…”
            2) “personnel server” should be “PERSONAL server”, you DUMBASS.
            3) It’s not “idiots on the right”. It’s “idiots on the LEFT”, you little P O S.
            Oh brother. These idiots never learn.
            You will forever remain a “batchelor”, a GAY “batchelor” !!

          49. Greg G August 19, 2015

            So you are claiming that it is only unacceptable when done by Republicans, but completely acceptable when done by Democrats. You cannot see that wrong is wrong, regardless of who does it or their political affiliation.

            By the way, your illiterate and derogatory comments are uncalled for and just prove that people resort to name-calling when they cannot think of actual counterpoints in a discussion. Congratulations on lowering the bar for everyone!

          50. Carolyn1520 August 19, 2015

            The tea party lowered the bar long ago.

          51. Louis Allen August 19, 2015

            No, you pathetic idiot, it was the Occupy Wall Street retards that did it.
            They were all dirty piggies.

          52. johninPCFL August 19, 2015

            No. Criticism for behaving like every secretary before her is not warranted.

            ““Like secretaries of state before her, she used her own email account when engaging with any department officials,” Nick Merrell, Clinton’s spokesman, said in a statement. “For government business, she emailed them on their department accounts, with every expectation they would be retained. When the department asked former secretaries last year for help ensuring their emails were in fact retained, we immediately said yes.””

          53. guest444555 August 19, 2015

            Nobody cares about personal email server besides you brain dead conservative extremists. Your party is DOA in Nov 2016. Conservatism is a mental illness.

          54. Greg G August 19, 2015

            And when Republicans did it, Hillary criticized them for it. So when she did it herself, it was hypocrisy of the highest order. But then again, Clintons have never noticed when they are guilty of the same things they criticize in others, do they? (This is not to claim Republicans are exempt from this behavior, but your comment is about defending Hillary’s antics as acceptable because someone else did it.)

            BTW, since she criticized Republicans doing this and was obviously aware of this situation’s inherent security risks while arguing against other’s doing it, WHY DIDN’T SHE QUESTION NOT GETTING A GOVERNMENTAL E-MAIL ADDRESS ASSIGNED AND GET ONE? Any other behavior is a pathetic excuse and extremely lazy, incompetent and UNACCEPTABLE behavior from someone in such a position,

            Do YOU get it now?

          55. johninPCFL August 19, 2015

            I can’t find any reference to Clinton criticizing Powell or Rice for not saving emails or for using private servers for government business. Can you provide a link?

            ““Like secretaries of state before her, she used her own email account when engaging with any department officials,” Nick Merrell, Clinton’s spokesman, said in a statement. “For government business, she emailed them on their department accounts, with every expectation they would be retained. When the department asked former secretaries last year for help ensuring their emails were in fact retained, we immediately said yes.””

            “On ABC’s “This Week,” former Secretary of State Colin Powell declined to comment on the Clinton controversy, saying his emails as secretary were never disclosed because he did not save them.

            “I don’t have any to turn over,” Powell said. “I did not keep a cache of them. I did not print them off. I do not have thousands of pages somewhere in my personal files. And, in fact, a lot of the emails that came out of my personal account went into the State Department system.” “

          56. drdroad August 19, 2015

            Please, when did she criticize Rice/Powell for doing what she did?? You just make that up this morning??

          57. drdroad August 19, 2015

            Here’s the answer to your question:

          58. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

            Here’s the answer to your first 3 questions:
            Answer to the 4th question:
            He would already be at Leavenworth Federal Penitentiary.

            P.S. – Sign over the main entrance to Leavenworth Federal Penitentiary:
            “Come 2017, WE ARE READY FOR HILLARY”.
            LOL !!

    2. Carolyn1520 August 18, 2015

      Like broken records, the LOSERS will crawl out and repeat the same old tired rhetoric. Same BS, different week , different faux scandal.


      1. drdroad August 19, 2015

        And they simply can’t do it without name calling. Carolyn, lets put Louis Allen down as someone we need to hear from after Democrats nominate Hillary.

        1. Carolyn1520 August 19, 2015

          I don’t necessarily want to hear from him, just knowing he’s still crawling around on all fours when Hillary is elected will be satisfying enough. 🙂

          1. Louis Allen August 19, 2015

            When Hillary “gets elected”??!!
            That was funny!!
            carol, you little nincompoop, the sign over the main entrance to Leavenworth Federal Penitentiary in Kansas says:
            “We are Ready for Hillary”

          2. guest444555 August 19, 2015

            You right wingers heads will be exploding after you find out Hillary Clinton becomes our first woman president. it will be a great joy in watching the GOP clown car implode. hahaha

        2. Louis Allen August 19, 2015

          I want to hear from you the day after …… she is accepted as Prisoner No. 5874295876322 at Leavenworth Federal Penitentiary in Kansas!!
          LOL !!!!

          1. guest444555 August 19, 2015

            Keep dreaming you brain dead wingnut. You right wing vermin are goners in Nov 2016. Conservatism is a mental illness.

    3. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

      You are, as always, entertaining in your own mindless way, Carol dear.
      What do you mean “her detractors” on the day after the election.”??
      She won’t even make it to the nomination, you nincompoop.

    4. Carolyn1520 August 18, 2015

      Oh someone forgot to flush. There’s evidence of it.

    5. RED August 19, 2015

      The sad part is that even after Mrs Clinton is President of the United States, these losers will not stop, just they didn’t stop when Bill was President and they haven’t stopped since Obama is President. They are disgusting people afflicted with the terrible Con sickness that renders them incapable of being decent thoughtful human beings.

      1. Carolyn1520 August 19, 2015

        No they won’t stop but Hillary is tough and she doesn’t have to show the same grace President Obama did. He knew they were looking to draw out “the angry black man” and in all these years he’s been a class act. In his last two years, he’s getting even in every way possible
        I think a smart tough woman following up a two term person if color is the icing on the cake. Maybe they’ll all stroke out. 🙂

  2. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

    “PANIC” does not even BEGIN to describe what liberal/left-wingers are feeling right now.

    1. damitajo1 August 18, 2015

      they’re stupid. most of the ones panicking secretly don’t like clinton anyway. they want bernie to win. cillizza wants jeb to win

    2. johninPCFL August 18, 2015

      Yes – ease and certainty are MUCH better words.

    3. Billie August 18, 2015

      I’m not panicked. There will not be another war monger in the White House for at least the next 9 years. No more evil Bush/Cheney idiots.

      1. Louis Allen August 18, 2015

        You mean no more Obama traitors or Biden clowns or HilLIARy lies and stupidity.

    4. drdroad August 19, 2015

      And you know that how??

  3. John Murchison August 18, 2015

    Democrats always panic, this nothing new or unique so i would advise republicans not to celebrate too soon. Clinton scandals tend to whine on and on and show nothing in the end. i watched 8 or so years of the stuff. these are paper monsters that have no bite and quickly burn away under a magnifying glass. Never under estimate the Clintons. i’ve learned my lesson on that.

  4. Hutchbilly August 18, 2015

    Purposes for the Email/benghazi/really can’t trust Hillary memes by the media?
    1. Horse race so they make more money
    2. To make Democrats disgusted so they won’t vote
    3. Drive away independents for Democrats making it seem no politician worthy of their vote
    4. The media outlets are owned by eccentric, selfish sociopaths who want what they want, and Hillary is in the way ( and Bernie, too)

  5. RustysR August 20, 2015

    Occasionally I enjoy participating in the comments section, doing my best to provide factual information to conservatives in simple words. Sadly – as proven in this series of comments – it seldom works. As we’re all aware, facts tend to have a liberal bias and conservatives resist recognizing them. This “scandal” will evaporate, like all the previous Hillary “scandals”, and it will be a great pleasure to celebrate Hillary’s election to President of the United States of America!


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