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Republican Ted Cruz Vaults Into First Place In New Iowa Poll

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Republican Ted Cruz Vaults Into First Place In New Iowa Poll

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By Alana Wise

WASHINGTON (Reuters) — Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz has taken the lead in the early-voting state of Iowa, surpassing both Donald Trump, who holds the lead in most national surveys, and Ben Carson, who has scored strongly in the state in recent months, according to a Monmouth University poll released on Monday.

The poll of likely caucus-goers in Iowa, which in February 2016 will hold the first contest in the Republican presidential nomination process, Cruz had the support of 24 percent.

That marked a jump from the 10 percent of caucus-goers who supported Cruz in October and 9 percent in August. Trump was in second place with 19 percent, followed by Marco Rubio with 17 percent and Ben Carson at 13 percent.

Cruz, a U.S. senator from Texas, has benefited from a decline in support for Carson. Both Republicans have a strong base of support with evangelical voters, who make up a large bloc among likely caucus-goers in Iowa.

But Carson has seen his poll numbers drop amid missteps in some of his comments about national security in the aftermath of the attacks in San Bernardino, California and Paris.

As recently as October, Carson was leading in the Monmouth poll, with the support of 32 percent of caucus-goers. In August, he was tied with Trump at 23 percent.

The poll surveyed 425 likely Iowa caucus-goers and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent.

 

(Reporting by Alana Wise; Editing by Alan Crosby)

Photo: U.S. Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz speaks to a supporter after his speech at a 2nd Amendment Coalition announcement at CrossRoads Shooting Sports in Johnston, Iowa, December 4, 2015. REUTERS/Brian C. Frank/p>

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17 Comments

  1. Daniel Jones December 7, 2015

    I’m gonna spell this out–Cruz is as unpopular as always. The poll numbers are being padded by poll respondents planted to save the GOP from itself, on orders by the RNC.

    Reply
    1. JPHALL December 7, 2015

      The truth is that the polls do not matter. What matters is when people start voting.

      Reply
      1. joe schmo December 9, 2015

        I actually agree:)

        Reply
    2. Insinnergy December 7, 2015

      I disagree… He’s hated by everyone except the GOP primary voters.
      No plants required.

      It is weird though.

      Reply
  2. bobnstuff December 8, 2015

    You don’t think that the good people of Iowa started to realize that Trump isn’t a conservative or a Christian do you? People in farm country don’t take to big city folks as a rule and there is no one who is more of a big city guy then The Donald.

    Reply
    1. joe schmo December 9, 2015

      Polls actually have Donald Trump in the lead, but we’ll see….
      Your last statement is also not true. We come from agriculture.

      Reply
      1. bobnstuff December 9, 2015

        So do I, in fact I still live in farm country. These folks are not impressed with the people in town who come out into the country on the weekends. You hear the term fools a lot. There are two prices on things, one for the neighbors and one for the tourists. Hunting season is the worst, those people have no respect for other peoples property.

        Reply
    2. Tom S December 10, 2015

      Don’t kid yourself about Iowa Democrats – or even college educated Iowa Rs.
      They are savvy.
      There is no Hope for the ts, however, and they love Donald. Fundamentalist ‘christians’ are the wild card in the R/t caucuses. And, if they read the 4 Gospels between now and caucus day, all bets are off.

      Reply
  3. yabbed December 8, 2015

    Cruz is wasting his time. He was not born in the USA, hence he cannot be the President of this country.

    Reply
    1. joe schmo December 9, 2015

      His parents were American. His mom accidentally had him while on vacation, but I rather doubt he will be the candidate.

      Reply
      1. Tom S December 10, 2015

        Not so. His father was a Cuban living and working in Alberta on an oil industry project. His mother was American-born, working on the same project. He is ‘technically’ American, less so than John McCain is ‘technically’ American, however.
        He had dual Citizenship until a year and a half ago, when someone in the Media asked him about his Canadian birth. Surprise, Rafael!!

        However, it takes a lot more than American Citizenship and being 35+ to be Presidential material. He does not have that. He doesn’t even have the material to be a loyal American Senator – even from Texas.

        Reply
  4. Eleanore Whitaker December 8, 2015

    Oh I get it…Now the billionaire media moguls figure if they post BS about who is No. 1 this week in the Iowa polls ….that ought to be credible?

    Reply
    1. joe schmo December 9, 2015

      What a useless statement!

      Reply
      1. Eleanore Whitaker December 10, 2015

        Only a mental defective like you who can’t process facts or truths finds useful information, “useless.” I submit this is part of your feasting at the table of grand denial of your mental illness which becomes ever more apparent with each and every one of your posts.

        Reply
  5. joe schmo December 9, 2015

    We’ll see. We all like Cruz as well but DT is our first choice. Won’t know till February:)

    Reply
    1. bobnstuff December 9, 2015

      Joe, do you really believe all of Trumps crap? He is not a Christian, you can’t say making money is more important then going to church and be a Christian. He sure isn’t Christian in how he deals with people both in business and out side it. He is a bully. He doesn’t support the constitution which I know you believe is very important. He cheated on his wives which make the idea that he supports marriage and family a little hard to believe. He’s not even a real republican since he says he has changed he belief on just about everything you hold near and dear. I think he has set a record for ticking off every other leader in the world. I think Israel is the only one left that like him but he is going there this month so we will see what he does to turn them against him. I had better watch what I say about him though because he might sue me.

      Reply
  6. Tom S December 10, 2015

    This “news” does not pass the ‘Sanity Test’. Krazy Kanadian Kruz could not have vaulted like this while nothing of significance could have propelled him that far that fast … Certainly his ‘Positions and Policies IQ’ has not vaulted. Nor has he had a ‘come to Jesus’ moment.
    It is still Trump, just as it always has been in Iowa. (FYI: the previous poll showing Carson in the lead was bought and paid for by a Kon Krew whose request to Trump for $1M was refused by Trump. So, they thought they’d play some typical GNoP ‘dirty tricks’.)

    Reply

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