Tag: 2020 democratic presidential debates
Who Won And Who Lost In Democratic Debate

Who Won And Who Lost In Democratic Debate

Ten candidates took to the stage on Thursday for the first single-night debate of the Democratic presidential primary race. Unfortunately, the debate began on well-trod ground: fighting over the scope of various candidates’ health care plans, which have been extensively and laboriously covered on the previous nights. And the debate failed to focus much on foreign policy, leaving the topic largely to the end, one of the areas where a president has the greatest ability to act unilaterally.

That said, the debate did highlight some of each candidates’ strengths and weaknesses. Here’s my (necessarily subjective!) take on who came away the strongest and who left weaker:

Winners

  • Kamala Harris — Harris started off the debate strong, by pulling out of the doldrums of a tedious three-way health care argument between Warren, Biden, and Sanders at the start and refocusing the discussion on President Donald Trump. He, she pointed out, is trying to take health care away from Americans, which is more important than any of the differences in policy on the Democratic debate stage. Throughout the night, she turned the debate back to Trump more than any other candidate, which set her apart and elevated her from most of the squabbles on stage. While she didn’t have a standout moment like she did in the first round of primary debates by going after Biden’s history on busing, she recovered from her stumbling in the second round and gave a powerful, cheerful performance.
  • Elizabeth Warren — The Massachusetts senator continues to impress with both her policy acumen and her passionate advocacy for fighting corruption as a top priority. Recent polls have shown that Warren has continued to gain in the race, and some even show her neck-and-neck with Biden. She came off as a credible and formidable candidate standing next to the former vice president, and she deftly avoided falling into traps set by the moderators. Those who are afraid of Warren’s growing prominence will have no reason to sleep comfortable tonight.
  • Cory Booker — Booker remains a major underdog in the race based on the polling, but he consistently delivers polished and focused answers in the debates. He can incorporate humor and genuine feeling into his rhetoric even while taking bold positions. The night probably hasn’t shot him into the upper-tier of the debate, but anyone watching closely will know he’s a strong player, and his status is only on the rise.
  • Joe Biden — There’s not a whole lot about Biden’s campaign that appeals to me personally, but he probably gave his strongest debate performance of the primaries so far Thursday night. There were points when he seemed to get lost in his own words — particularly when he discussed the Iraq War, which he said he regretted voting for — but overall he fended off attacks and stood up for his legacy alongside President Barack Obama. If you started the night as a fan of Joe Biden, this debate probably didn’t change your mind — and as long as he’s the frontrunner, just treading water will be good enough to be a winner.

Losers

  • Julián Castro — Castro actually had a number of nice moments in the debate — he should get special recognition for calling attention to China’s cruel treatment of the Uighurs — but he’ll be remembered in this performance for one thing: accusing Biden of suffering from memory loss. While Biden has had worrying moments on the campaign trail, this actually didn’t seem like one of them. Instead, it appeared that Castro used the accusation as cover for misunderstanding Biden’s health care policy. Using this attack line would draw criticism no matter the circumstances, but given that the jab about Biden’s memory was unfounded in this case, Castro just came off as needlessly hostile.
  • Pete Buttigieg — Early in the Democratic primary, Pete Buttigieg rose from obscurity as the mayor of South Bend to be one of the top five candidates in the race. But he remains significantly behind the other top four, and nothing he did on the debate stage is likely to change his position. He continues to be an eloquent speaker, and he gave a particularly moving answer near the end of the night about his struggle to come out of the closet in the middle of his political career. In contrast, to say, Bernie Sanders — who I still see as appealing to his sizable fan base without expanding his support, thus leaving him neither a winner nor a loser — Buttigieg needs to find a way to use the debates to gain forward momentum if he’s going to stay relevant. He hasn’t figured out how to do that yet.
  • Amy Klobuchar — The case for the candidacy of Klobuchar isn’t that hard to make in the abstract — she’s a competent midwestern lawmaker who consistently overperforms in her elections. The problem is that Klobuchar herself seems unable to make the case for herself. Her jokes onstage are awkward, her delivery is stilted, and most importantly, she presents her “moderate” positions as disappointing but necessary, which is hardly a rousing campaign slogan. If you’re a moderate Democratic voter, Klobuchar hasn’t given you a compelling reason to vote for her over, say, Biden.
Debate Lineup Set: Poll Shows Top Democrats Crush Trump

Debate Lineup Set: Poll Shows Top Democrats Crush Trump

The list of final participants for the next Democratic debate, scheduled to take place in Houston on Sept. 12, appears to be set at 10 candidates. Confirmed for the debate are former Vice President Joe Biden, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, independent Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, California Sen. Kamala Harris, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, former Housing Secretary Julián Castro, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar, former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke, and Andrew Yang.

It will be the first debate of the election cycle to be held on one night, while previous debates had to be two-night events because of the large Democratic field.

The first debate in June attracted massive interest. Ratings grew over the two nights with 18.1 million viewers watching what turned out to be the highest-rated Democratic debate in history. The numbers were far ahead of Trump’s prime time special a few days before, which only attracted 3.9 million viewers.

The last poll used to qualify candidates for the September debate had more bad news for Trump. In Quinnipiac’s head-to-head matchups with the leading contenders, Trump is losing badly. He is 16 percentage points behind former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), 12 points behind Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), 11 points behind Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), and 9 points behind Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D).

Recent polling has shown Democrats with an edge over Republicans in excitement about the 2020 election. At the same time, polling in key states like North Carolina and Georgia show Trump trailing a generic Democratic candidate.

The poor showing reflects Trump’s continually low approval rating since taking over the presidency, a trend which has persisted despite the economic recovery he inherited from President Barack Obama.

The debate will force Trump to contend with his media spotlight being shared with a group of candidates that America has repeatedly said they prefer over him.

Published with permission of The American Independent.

Danziger: Beyond Belief

Danziger: Beyond Belief

Jeff Danziger lives in New York City. He is represented by CWS Syndicate and the Washington Post Writers Group. He is the recipient of the Herblock Prize and the Thomas Nast (Landau) Prize. He served in the US Army in Vietnam and was awarded the Bronze Star and the Air Medal. He has published eleven books of cartoons and one novel. Visit him at DanzigerCartoons.com.

DNC Chair Perez Announces ‘Lottery’ For Democratic Presidential Debates

DNC Chair Perez Announces ‘Lottery’ For Democratic Presidential Debates

Reprinted with permission from Alternet.

Democratic National Committee Chair Tom Perez does not have an easy job on his hands. With 23 candidates already declared in the 2020 primaries, the party will struggle to run a thoughtful, fair, and transparent process that gives each contender the consideration they believe they deserve.

And last Friday, Perez announced a decision that is guaranteed to rankle some candidates — and it’s already looking to be a confusing mess.

Perez told The Hill that the committee will hold a lottery to determine which candidates will be on that stage for each of the two nights scheduled for the first primary debates. Each night will have 10 candidates, and he says he wants to determine randomly which people will appear first and second.

“We wanted to make sure we didn’t have our thumb on the scale,” Perez said. It’s an understandable and admirable attitude, especially given that the DNC faced extensive accusations of bias during the 2016 primary.

But when Perez elaborated on his concerns, the plan became less clear.

“I don’t want people thinking that night one is the varsity event and night two is the JV, or vice versa,” he said. “We’re going to make sure that we mix it up.”

This is a reference to the Republicans 2016 debates, which were also bogged down by an excess of candidates. The RNC used polling to rank each candidate in the race, and it had the lower ranked candidates compete in a lower profile debate held separately from the larger group with higher polling.

But the idea of “mixing” up the debates actually contrasts with the idea of a “lottery” that Perez is floating. (He said the details have been worked out yet.)

Precisely because a lottery would be random, the outcome may well result in an uneven distribution of strong candidates across the two nights. It’s perfectly possible, then, that, say, Joe Biden, who leads the field in polling, could end up on stage with California Rep. Eric Swalwell, New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, and Massachusetts Rep. Seth Moulton. Meanwhile all the other candidates with a larger national profile thus far — Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Kamala Harris, Beto O’Rourke, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg — could end up in the other debate. In this sense, the outcome wouldn’t be that the debates were “mixed up,” but quite uneven in terms of featuring the most prominent candidates.

With this kind of outcome, Biden might be peeved at being pitted against significantly lower ranked competitors. Or Sanders, Warren, and Harris might be annoyed that they don’t have the chance to go after Biden early on to stand apart, while someone like Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan might get a chance to gain new prominence by incisively cutting down the former vice president.

Alternatively, if Biden, Harris, Warren, and Buttigieg all end up on the same debate night, people might come to think of that as the “real” debate, with the other formidable contenders receiving less attention. And no matter what Perez says, some voters will convince themselves there was nothing “random” about the process.

There are other controversies likely to arise, too. While the DNC has set a cap for the first debates at 20 candidates — 10 on each night — it also has a separate criteria for who can participate.

“Candidates must receive donations from 65,000 unique donors in at least 20 states or reach 1 percent support in three sanctioned polls to qualify for the first two debates in June and July,” The Hill explained. So if more than 20 candidates meet these qualifications, some will be nixed.

“Most of the candidates appear to have reached the fundraising or polling thresholds, making it likely that Perez will have to turn to tiebreakers to determine the top 20,” the article continued. “The unlucky 21st candidate could potentially miss the debate stage by a dozen small-dollar donors or a fraction of a percentage point in the polls.”

This, of course, just replicates the problems that Perez said he wanted to avoid by having separate “varsity” and “JV” debates.

Will any of this matter in the end? It’s impossible to say. Perhaps Biden’s lead will stay strong throughout the primary and will hardly waver. Perhaps someone else is destined to shoot past him. Campaigns are just made of moments, and a debate can create the opportunity for the right movement to take off. But there are also broader forces at work, and it’s difficult to predict how big a role the debates will or even could play.

And with 23 — and potentially more — candidates competing, it’s going to be a steep challenge to give everyone the feeling that they’ve been treated fairly. There are sure to be plenty of contentious fights ahead.

IMAGE: Democratic National Committee chair Tom Perez during a DNC meeting in February 2017.