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Tag: 2020 polls
Poll: 53 Percent Of Americans ‘Definitely’ Will Vote To Oust Trump

Poll: 53 Percent Of Americans ‘Definitely’ Will Vote To Oust Trump

Trump’s approval rating reached a ‘high’ in a new poll, but more than half of registered voters still disapprove of the job he is doing.

Even on his best day, most American voters are unhappy with Trump’s performance in the White House.

On Monday, a new poll from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist shows Trump reaching a “new high” in his approval ratings of 44 percent. The same poll shows most registered voters in America — 52 percent — disapprove of the job Trump is doing.

When polling voters about whether or not they would vote for Trump in 2020, the numbers are significantly worse.

A full 53 percent of voters said they will “definitely vote against” Trump, while just 39 percent of voters say they will “definitely vote for” Trump. This is the fifth Marist poll in a row showing a majority of Americans will definitely vote against Trump in 2020.

While most Republicans support Trump and most Democrats oppose him, Trump fares particularly poorly among self-identified independent voters, losing the group by 21 points. Only 33 percent of independent voters will definitely vote for Trump, while 54 percent reported they will definitely vote against him.

For comparison to the previous administration, none of the six polls asking about President Barack Obama from November 2010 through November 2011 showed a majority committed to voting against him.

A majority of voters have consistently opposed Trump, even on Election Day 2016, when Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by roughly 3 million votes.

Since being in office, Trump’s tenure has been dominated by scandal and chaos. The Mueller report lays out evidence that Trump obstructed justice, and scores of Trump campaign officials are either in prison or awaiting jail sentences. Trump’s Cabinet has been rocked by scandals, the lastest of which saw Labor Secretary Alex Acosta resigning as more evidence came to light about the sweetheart plea deal he once gave a child rapist in Florida.

Trump himself spent the past week mired in controversy over racist attacks against four congresswomen, telling the women of color that they should “go back” to where they came from, as if their skin color makes them any less American than white citizens.

On the policy front, Trump championed a new tax law that benefits Wall Street corporations and billionaires like his Education Secretary Betsy DeVos while leaving working-class families out in the cold. He backed a Republican ploy to rip health care away from millions of Americans, and he currently supports a lawsuit that would take away protections for people with preexisting conditions.

His administration, his inaugural committee, the Trump Organization, and the Trump Foundation are all the targets of investigations, ranging from congressional inquiries, to state investigations, to federal probes.

Through it all, 89 percent of Republican voters are committed to voting for Trump in 2020, according to the latest poll. But overall, most voters seem tired of the scandals and say they are ready to vote against Trump next November.

Published with permission of The American Independent.

New Poll Shows Trump Losing Georgia And North Carolina In 2020

New Poll Shows Trump Losing Georgia And North Carolina In 2020

Trump won both Georgia and North Carolina in 2016, but he now trails a generic Democrat in both states.

Trump’s monumental unpopularity is threatening his reelection chances in two red states in the deep south: Georgia and North Carolina. A PPP poll released Friday shows Trump losing both states to a generic Democrat.

In Georgia, Trump trails 50 percent – 46 percent, while his numbers in North Carolina are slightly worse, trailing 49 percent – 44 percent.

In their analysis, the pollsters note that chatter about how the Democrats could with the 2020 general election has centered on a handful of Midwestern states — Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin — but these new polls “show a possible backup plan to victory in the South as well.”

The same poll showed more voters in both states disapproving of Trump’s job performance than approving of it. In Georgia, Trump was underwater by a 45 percent – 49 percent gap, and in North Carolina, 46 percent approve of Trump while 49 percent disapprove.

Trump carried both Georgia and North Carolina in 2016, but if Trump continues to this unpopular in both places, PPP says both states should be considered up for grabs in 2020.

Trump’s unpopularity could have cascading effects on control of the U.S. Senate as well. Both Georgia and North Carolina have competitive Senate races in 2020 involving incumbent Republicans who have tied their fate to Trump.

In Georgia, Sen. David Perdue’s close ties to Trump “could make Perdue vulnerable if the election is a referendum on Trump’s performance,” according to the Savannah Morning News. Perdue has also attacked earned benefit programs like Social Security, which 1.8 million Georgians rely upon.

In North Carolina, Sen. Thom Tillis recently went out of his way to praise Trump after a rally where Trump continued his racist attacks against four congresswomen. He has faced controversy in his home state for skipping a key congressional hearing about veterans to attend fancy fundraisers and flip-flopping on his positions to appease the far-right fringe of his own party.

Trump’s stumbling popularity could have significant down-ballot impacts on Perdue and Tillis.

The pollsters from PPP noted that both states are experiencing demographic changes that could benefit Democrats. In Georgia, “nonwhite voters — who are growing in their share of the electorate — say they will vote Democratic over Trump 84-12 next year.” The North Carolina poll found a similar antipathy towards Trump from nonwhite votes, while a majority of white voters in both states continue to support Trump.

It remains to be seen who the Democratic nominee will be, and 20 candidates face off in a second debate on July 30 and 31. Whoever emerges as the nominee will likely focus their efforts on the aforementioned Midwest states.

“As all our recent Southern polls show, there’s a pretty plausible path back to power through that region as well,” PPP pollsters said.

Published with permission of The American Independent.

IMAGE: Donald Trump addresses a Trump for President campaign rally in Macon, Georgia November 30, 2015. REUTERS/Christopher Aluka Berry 

New National Poll Shows Trump Losing Badly To Biden, Sanders

New National Poll Shows Trump Losing Badly To Biden, Sanders

Trump can’t get more than 44 percent support when facing top Democratic challengers in a new poll from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.

Americans appear like they may be ready to reject Trump and replace him with Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), or Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released on Sunday.

In the nationwide poll, Trump never manages to get more than 44 percent of support, while each of the candidates listed would win the popular vote if it were held today.

Biden fares best against Trump, leading him by a 51 percent to 42 percent margin. Sanders also hits 50 percent support, besting Trump 50 percent to 43 percent.

Elizabeth Warren holds a 5-point edge over Trump (48 percent to 43 percent), while Harris bests Trump by 1 point (45 percent to 44 percent). The poll was released Sunday morning, meaning Americans were polled before Trump unleashed a racist Twitter tirade attacking four congresswomen.

While more than 20 Democrats are vying to take Trump on next year, the NBC/WSJ poll only measured head-to-head matchups between those four candidates and Trump. However, the poll showed Trump’s approval rating hovering at 45 percent, with a clear majority (52 percent) disapproving.

At this time in 2011, President Obama was in a much better position, according to NBC News. In August 2011, Obama led eventual Republican nominee Mitt Romney by 1 point and went on to win the election by 4 points.

The poll mirrors the results of a June Quinnipiac University poll that also showed Trump losing to each of these candidates.

Trump’s reelection troubles make sense in light of other polls showing Americans unhappy with the way he handles major issues like the economy, health care, and immigration.

In 2016, Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by 3 million votes, eeking out a narrow victory in the electoral college. However, his approval rating in swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Iowa has plummeted since he took office, falling by double-digits in some cases.

Biden, Harris, Sanders, Warren, and other Democrats vying to take Trump on held one debate at the end of June, and will hold another on July 30 and 31 in Detroit. A third debate has been scheduled for September 12 and 13 in Houston.

 

Published with permission of The American Independent.

Republicans Fear Losing Senate Because Trump Is So Unpopular

Republicans Fear Losing Senate Because Trump Is So Unpopular

Trump’s enormous unpopularity is making Republicans worry about not only holding on to the White House, but also about key 2020 Senate races, the Hill reported.

“His numbers are problematic,” a Republican pollster told the Hill. “Folks are nervous, but no one is surprised.”

Polls conducted by the Trump campaign and outside organizations show Trump trailing nationwide as well as in key 2020 battleground states, many of which also have competitive Senate races.

A June Quinnipiac University poll showed Trump losing to every single top Democratic candidate polled: Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA). Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT).

The news is just as bad for Trump in major swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, where Trump’s approval rating has dropped by nearly 20 points since he entered the Oval Office.

Republican Party leaders are concerned that voters’ disdain for Trump will hurt other Republicans on the ticket, including seven GOP senators running in 2020 in either battleground states or states where Trump lagged in recent polling. According to the Hill, those senators are: Sens. Martha McSally (AZ), Cory Gardner (CO), Susan Collins (ME), Thom Tillis (NC), David Perdue (GA), Joni Ernst (IA), and John Cornyn (TX).

Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate (Democrats have 45 members and 2 independents who caucus with Democrats). In 2020, Democrats can gain control by either gaining at least four seats, or gaining three seats and winning the White House.

Trump’s unpopularity is driven by a number of factors, including his cruel immigration policies and his attempts to sabotage the American health care system. Voters cite Trump’s immigration policies as a reason they would vote for someone else. Voters also want to strengthen the Affordable Care Act, not destroy it like Trump is trying to do.

Vulnerable senators like Gardner, McSally, Ernst, Tillis, and Collins are some of Trump’s most ardent supporters in the Senate, refusing to break ranks with him even when his policies hurt residents of their own states.

It is not impossible for GOP senators to win a state if Trump loses it. It happened a few times in 2016, but usually by a narrow margin, according to the Hill. Trump trailing in so many key states is a cause for concern for political consultant Alex Conant, who told the Hill it “just puts us on defense in a lot of states.”

It’s very possible that Trump could not only cost Republicans the White House, but control of the U.S. Senate as well.

Published with permission of The American Independent. 

IMAGE: Senator Susan Collins (R-ME).