Tag: polls donald trump
Poll: 53 Percent Of Americans ‘Definitely’ Will Vote To Oust Trump

Poll: 53 Percent Of Americans ‘Definitely’ Will Vote To Oust Trump

Trump’s approval rating reached a ‘high’ in a new poll, but more than half of registered voters still disapprove of the job he is doing.

Even on his best day, most American voters are unhappy with Trump’s performance in the White House.

On Monday, a new poll from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist shows Trump reaching a “new high” in his approval ratings of 44 percent. The same poll shows most registered voters in America — 52 percent — disapprove of the job Trump is doing.

When polling voters about whether or not they would vote for Trump in 2020, the numbers are significantly worse.

A full 53 percent of voters said they will “definitely vote against” Trump, while just 39 percent of voters say they will “definitely vote for” Trump. This is the fifth Marist poll in a row showing a majority of Americans will definitely vote against Trump in 2020.

While most Republicans support Trump and most Democrats oppose him, Trump fares particularly poorly among self-identified independent voters, losing the group by 21 points. Only 33 percent of independent voters will definitely vote for Trump, while 54 percent reported they will definitely vote against him.

For comparison to the previous administration, none of the six polls asking about President Barack Obama from November 2010 through November 2011 showed a majority committed to voting against him.

A majority of voters have consistently opposed Trump, even on Election Day 2016, when Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by roughly 3 million votes.

Since being in office, Trump’s tenure has been dominated by scandal and chaos. The Mueller report lays out evidence that Trump obstructed justice, and scores of Trump campaign officials are either in prison or awaiting jail sentences. Trump’s Cabinet has been rocked by scandals, the lastest of which saw Labor Secretary Alex Acosta resigning as more evidence came to light about the sweetheart plea deal he once gave a child rapist in Florida.

Trump himself spent the past week mired in controversy over racist attacks against four congresswomen, telling the women of color that they should “go back” to where they came from, as if their skin color makes them any less American than white citizens.

On the policy front, Trump championed a new tax law that benefits Wall Street corporations and billionaires like his Education Secretary Betsy DeVos while leaving working-class families out in the cold. He backed a Republican ploy to rip health care away from millions of Americans, and he currently supports a lawsuit that would take away protections for people with preexisting conditions.

His administration, his inaugural committee, the Trump Organization, and the Trump Foundation are all the targets of investigations, ranging from congressional inquiries, to state investigations, to federal probes.

Through it all, 89 percent of Republican voters are committed to voting for Trump in 2020, according to the latest poll. But overall, most voters seem tired of the scandals and say they are ready to vote against Trump next November.

Published with permission of The American Independent.

Trump Card: Could Dark Money Win The Nomination For The Donald?

Trump Card: Could Dark Money Win The Nomination For The Donald?

What could benefit Democrats more than Donald Trump’s explosive presidential candidacy – except Donald Trump as the 2016 Republican nominee? A ticket led by Trump has all the makings of a right-wing Armageddon, putting as many as 400 electoral votes in the Democratic column.

While The Donald shows no sign of muting his appeals to the GOP’s most racist and lunatic elements, his rise in recent polls makes that impossible dream seem slightly more plausible. The latest survey by The Economist/YouGov puts Trump in first place, ahead of Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, Scott Walker and all the rest of the clown-car occupants. Other polls showing him running second to Bush and in the top tier in early primary states.

At least one looming obstacle to a Trump triumph remains, however (aside from his boatload of baggage and his penchant for spectacularly ill-advised remarks). Nobody who knows him well believes that the self-proclaimed “billionaire” is willing to spend the many millions of dollars needed for the television buys that would make him a serious primary contender.

Evidently he believes that free media – like the continuing tsunami of negative publicity earned by his barking-mad announcement speech and subsequent remarks – will carry him through. Although wiser heads have explained why that won’t work, he isn’t listening.

But there is a solution. An actual billionaire on the Democratic side — someone like George Soros or Tom Steyer — could simply set up a pro-Trump SuperPAC funded by “dark money.”

This cloaked entity could become, as Trump would put it, “the biggest SuperPAC EVER,” promoting the casino developer and denigrating his Republican opponents in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and onward, until victory. And since the Republicans just adore Citizens United, they could scarcely complain if and when a sudden influx of undisclosed cash makes their worst nightmare come true.

Sadly, this is the sort of initiative that wealthy Democrats are far too principled (or squeamish) to consider. But just imagine next year’s Republican convention if Trump arrives with the most delegates – as my National Memo colleague Eric Kleefeld did yesterday on Twitter:

This Week In Polls: The Trump Also Rises!

This Week In Polls: The Trump Also Rises!

It’s been a big week for news in America — on issues like the Confederate flag, the Affordable Care Act, and marriage equality for gay Americans — but it’s also been a big, huge week of polling for a certain Republican presidential candidate.

It started this week with a poll from Suffolk University of the key first primary state of New Hampshire, showing Jeb Bush in first place with 14 percent — just barely edging out Donald Trump at 11 percent. Rounding out the top five were Scott Walker with 8 percent, Marco Rubio at 7 percent, and Ben Carson at 6 percent.

CNN has another poll of New Hampshire, showing Bush at 16 percent, against Trump with 11 percent. Rand Paul also has 9 percent, Walker 8 percent, and Carly Fiorina and Rubio are tied at 6 percent each.

But Trump isn’t just in second place in New Hampshire — the new Fox News poll has The Donald running second nationally, too: Bush 15 percent, Trump 11 percent, Carson 10 percent, and Walker and Paul at 9 percent each for the top five slots.

Trump reacted to this poll in a rather Trump-like way, showing the kinds of problems he could present for Republicans if he keeps at it.

“I can’t believe Bush is in first place. This guy can’t negotiate his way out of a paper bag,” Trump said at a Maryland state GOP dinner. “So I’m in second place to Bush? I hate it!”

At the same time, Hillary Clinton continues to overwhelmingly dominate the Democratic field nationally — but might have some trouble in New Hampshire against the feisty insurgency of Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT).

The Fox News poll has Clinton at 61 percent on the Democratic side, with Sanders way, way behind at only 15 percent. Joe Biden has 11 percent support, Andrew Cuomo 3 percent, Jim Webb 2 percent, Martin O’Malley 1 percent, and Lincoln Chafee less than 1 percent. (Biden and Cuomo have not announced that they are running, and are not widely expected to do so.)

However, CNN’s New Hampshire poll for the Democratic side shows Clinton with just 43 percent in that crucial content, with Sanders nipping at her heels with 35 percent. Biden is at 8 percent,  O’Malley 2 percent, Webb 1 percent, and less than 1 percent for Chafee.

The Fox poll also tested possible general election matchups against a variety of Republicans.

    • Clinton 51 percent, Trump 34 percent
    • Clinton 48 percent, Mitt Romney 42 percent (Note: Romney is not running — but with his name recognition, perhaps he’s a decent substitute for the “generic Republican” in a poll.)
    • Clinton 48 percent, Ted Cruz 42 percent
    • Clinton 47 percent, Walker 41 percent
    • Clinton 45 percent, Fiorina 39 percent
    • Clinton 46 percent, Carson 41 percent
    • Clinton 46 percent, Paul 42 percent
    • Clinton 45 percent, Rubio 44 percent
    • Clinton 43 percent, Bush 43 percent

The Fox poll also tested Clinton against former New York City mayor Mike Bloomberg (I), in an unusual two-way race with an independent candidate: Clinton 44 percent, Bloomberg 38 percent.

Photo: Donald Trump addresses CPAC 2015. (Michael Vadon via Flickr)