Tag: ready for hillary
Analysis: How Clinton Video Was Designed Face By Face

Analysis: How Clinton Video Was Designed Face By Face

By David Lightman, McClatchy Washington Bureau (TNS)

WASHINGTON — Hillary Rodham Clinton can be a strong presidential candidate only if she gets broad, enthusiastic support from a new generation of voters. And that may be tough.

She’s the far-ahead front-runner for the Democratic nomination and may well coast to the party’s convention in 2016. But without the backing of younger voters, particularly women, as well as independents and liberals, she faces trouble in the general election.

The former secretary of state’s 2 minute, 18 second announcement video Sunday went right after those constituencies. It prominently featured a young mother, a woman in her 20s looking for work, an engaged same-sex couple and young children.

President Barack Obama eight years ago knew how to tap into that generation and its yen for younger, fresher politicians. He used social media as no national figure ever had before.

“Part of his appeal was ideological and part was generational,” said Brad Coker, managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research in Florida.

In many ways, Clinton faces the same kind of challenge that’s tested Democratic frontrunners for decades. Democratic presidential candidates usually fall into one of two camps. There are the “inevitable” nominees who build support from the party establishment, notably labor unions, elected officials and big donors. Then there are the insurgents who are repelled by many of those same forces.

Clinton is more popular with women than men, but there’s been evidence that younger women are not eagerly embracing her, or for that matter the Democratic party.

“Women under 30 tend to look for something new,” said Coker.

They often didn’t rally around the Democrats’ efforts in 2014 U.S. Senate races to accuse Republicans of waging a “war on women.”

Such tactics remain problematic. A Quinnipiac University poll released last week found that 42 percent of all women in swing state Colorado, where the war-on- woman strategy backfired, found Clinton trustworthy.

One bright note for Clinton: She did better among women in the poll’s Iowa findings. The nation’s first caucus state is far more familiar with her, and she plans to make to her first campaign stop this week.

Even there, though, recent news was not all positive. Quinnipiac’s March 29-April 7 poll found her favorability among all voters in Iowa has “dropped significantly.”

Clinton will find in Iowa and elsewhere another hurdle: convincing Democratic liberals.

One potential pitfall will be her vote in the Senate in 2002 to support the war in Iraq.

It likely hurt her in 2008 against Barack Obama, who opposed the war. And former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee is thinking of challenging her for the nomination in part to remind Democrats of her pro-war vote. Chafee is not in he same category as Obama and unlikely to seriously contest for the nomination, but raising the issue on a debate stage could rekindle liberal doubts about Clinton.

So far, other potential challengers have been careful not to sharply criticize Clinton, and have gained little political traction.

By going too far left, though, Clinton risks alienating independent voters she many need in some primaries, where they can vote Democratic, as well as the general election.

Should no serious Democratic challenger emerge, and the skeptics remain unconvinced, the danger for Clinton is that she wins almost by default, a too-common occurrence with Democratic front-runners.

Former Vice President Walter Mondale in 1983 and 1984 sewed up almost every Democratic establishment figure, only to have barely-known Sen. Gary Hart of Colorado suddenly emerge as a challenger.

The left, independents and younger voters all hungered for someone new and out of the usual box, and eight days after Mondale won Iowa, Hart buried him in the New Hampshire primary. Mondale eventually won the nomination, but as a weakened candidate.

The blueprint for Clinton could be her husband. As Bill Clinton sought the 1992 nomination, liberals rallied around Sen. Paul Tsongas of Massachusetts or Jerry Brown, the once and future California governor.

Clinton strategists figured Brown and Tsongas lacked the broad support to mount a strong challenge, and they were right. As the primary season ended, Clinton strengthened his appeal to independents by slamming hip-hop artist Sister Souljah.

A month later, the 45-year-old Clinton picked Al Gore, then 43, as his running mate. The bid for younger voters helped make his campaign all about a new generation bent on improving a rickety economy.

Clinton, 67, won’t have that advantage. Liberals are unenthusiastic, and independents are skeptical. Under-30 voters were in elementary school when her husband won the White House.

Her big advantage as she starts this journey: “There’s a bloc of voters looking for an anti-Clinton candidate, and just can’t find one,” Coker said.

(c)2015 McClatchy Washington Bureau, Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC

Image: Screenshot via YouTube/Hillary Clinton

Why Hillary Clinton Can’t Win The Fundraising Expectations Game

Why Hillary Clinton Can’t Win The Fundraising Expectations Game

By Julie Bykowicz and Jennifer Epstein, Bloomberg News (TNS)

As Hillary Clinton begins her second presidential bid, and the business of paying for it, her supporters predict that she will be deemed a fundraising failure no matter how much money she collects.

One of the world’s most recognizable politicians, Clinton has lifelong relationships with the Democratic Party’s top donors, putting her in position to amass a record amount of cash. The former first lady and secretary of state already has locked up many of her party’s biggest underwriters, from billionaire New York investor George Soros to Hollywood producer Marcy Carsey.

She has raised far more money during the course of her career than any of her 2016 rivals, banking $229 million during her 2008 presidential campaign before conceding the nomination to Barack Obama. Recently, Clinton has honed her skills in approaching big donors herself. Since leaving her post as secretary of state, she has spent much of her time helping her family’s Clinton Foundation build a $250 million endowment — an effort that has proven controversial for the nascent campaign.

Ready for Hillary, a super PAC that’s been ginning up support for Clinton since 2013 is ready to provide its email list of about 4 million, following its final Saturday rally in Manhattan. Priorities USA Action, a super-PAC first established to help Obama win a second White House term, is now prepared to raise tens of millions of dollars for Clinton. She also happens to be married to a master fundraiser.

In spite of — or perhaps because of — all this, Clinton boosters are already sounding warnings about the stratospheric expectations and trying to tamp them down.

“The standards she will be judged on are so high and ridiculous,” Donna Brazile, a Democratic strategist close to the Clintons, said in an interview. “The expectations are sky high and they’re based on fiction.”

In one respect, the low-balling is understandable: Clinton has always been measured against her own star power. In 2007, when she filed her first fundraising report as a presidential candidate, a Chicago Tribune article called the $26 million total “staggering,” then added that it “fell short of the sky-high expectations that had developed for Clinton.”

Her aides emphasize that in this campaign — unlike in 2008 — Clinton first will ask donors to contribute only for the primary and to hold off on general election donations. Under federal regulations, individuals can give up to $5,400 for Clinton’s 2016 campaign, $2,700 earmarked for the primary and $2,700 for the general. During her first presidential race, Clinton asked donors to max out for the cycle up front. That approach left her with a tantalizing amount of cash she wasn’t legally able to use in what became a brutal primary fight with Obama.

Because of the one-step-at-a-time fundraising approach, aides say it shouldn’t be surprising if Clinton reports less than the $47 million Obama raised in the three months after announcing his 2012 re-election campaign (when the president also asked donors to give both primary and general election contributions up front), or perhaps even less than the $26 million Clinton herself raised during the first three months of her 2008 campaign. Her campaign’s first accounting of its fundraising is due to the Federal Election Commission in July.

Past cycles hardly seem relevant, however. Since her last run, the campaign fundraising landscape has been completely remapped, in part by the Internet and in part by the Supreme Court. As a result, the price of entry for serious presidential contenders has become much higher.

In addition to the time-tested methods of key fundraisers bundling together checks, the very top and very bottom of the political money spectrum have exploded in growth.

It’s now standard for candidates to raise a few bucks from thousands of supporters over the Internet — something Obama pioneered in his race against her. The two Republicans who have begun presidential bids have already touted their strength in this area: Texas Sen. Ted Cruz said 95 percent of the $4 million he raised in his first eight days of campaigning was from low-dollar donors, and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, whose father perfected the Internet “money bomb,” said he netted more than $1 million this way in his first 24 hours.

At the other end of the spectrum, super PACs, which can take unlimited sums of money from individuals, companies and unions and spend the money boosting specific candidates, have become a major part of campaign fundraising since they first emerged after the in the wake of the Supreme Court’s decision in Citizens United v. the FEC. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who hasn’t declared his run, has spent much of 2015 headlining events for Right to Rise, a super-PAC trying to pile up cash to help him win the presidency. Some of his supporters said he hoped to raise $100 million just in the first few months of this year. Right to Rise won’t report its finances to the FEC until July.

Upping her game among small donors may be the biggest test for Clinton. The Center for Responsive Politics estimates that during the 2008 campaign, 42 percent of Clinton’s donations were under $200. That compared to 53 percent for the web-savvy Obama.

For traditional fundraising, the Clinton campaign has a finance director, Dennis Cheng, but regional directors will be based in the areas they serve, rather than at headquarters in Brooklyn, N.Y. There won’t be a national finance chair — a glitzy spot that usually goes to a wealthy donor with deep ties to the candidate — and any distinctions for donors and bundlers will be based on how much they bring in, a source with knowledge of the operation said.

Supporters who are able to get 10 friends to write $2,700 checks during the first 30 days the campaign will be called “Hill-starters,” and will be invited to a May donor summit.

It’s unclear how Clinton will interact with Priorities USA Action, the super PAC poised to help her. Now that she’s in, Priorities, which hasn’t held fundraisers since raising $78 million to help elect Obama in 2012 campaign, immediately will begin its money chase. Buffy Wicks, an Obama campaign operative in 2008 and 2012, is the group’s executive director.

“There is tremendous enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton’s candidacy,” said Wicks in an email, “and we are confident we will have the resources we need to help elect her president.”

Only about a half-dozen people are empowered to raise money for Priorities. Wicks, Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm and former Bill Clinton adviser Paul Begala, who are among them, have been having lunches and one-one-one meetings with the 2012 donors and with new prospects.

But Clinton could legally appear at fundraisers for the super PAC, so long as she doesn’t specifically ask for contributions to the group. More intriguingly, so could her husband. That could provide Team Clinton with a way to offer major donors a VIP experience without Hillary Clinton getting into the kind of venues that could damage the populist credentials her party’s left wing will demand.

Bottom line: Bill Burton, a former Obama aide who co-founded Priorities in 2011 but is no longer involved, said between the super PAC and Clinton campaign, “there’s no way she’s not going to raise what she needs.”

(c)2015 Bloomberg News, Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC

Photo: U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton provides remarks on “Development in the 21st Century” at the Center for Global Development in Washington, DC January 6, 2010. [State Department photo / Public Domain]

Tarrant County Democrats Turn Out To See The ‘Ready For Hillary’ Bus In Fort Worth

Tarrant County Democrats Turn Out To See The ‘Ready For Hillary’ Bus In Fort Worth

By Anna M. Tinsley, Fort Worth Star-Telegram (TNS)

FORT WORTH, Texas — Rosalinda Martinez is ready for Hillary Clinton.

That’s why she headed downtown Wednesday night, in the rain, to try to catch a glimpse of the “Ready for Hillary” bus.

“I was hoping she would be on there,” Martinez said of the bus that is crossing the country, trying to build enthusiasm for a Hillary Clinton presidential campaign in 2016. “I knew it was a long shot.”

But Martinez said she hopes it’s just a matter of time before Clinton declares that she is running for president.

“I am ready,” she said.

The bus was in Fort Worth this week as part of a more than year-long effort encouraging Clinton — the former first lady, senator and secretary of state — to run for president in 2016.

The visit comes just a day after former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush revealed on Facebook that he is forming an exploratory committee for a possible 2016 presidential bid of his own, potentially setting up another Bush-Clinton match-up.

Bill Clinton won the last match-up in 1992, denying Jeb Bush’s father — former President George H.W. Bush — a second term in the White House.

Jeb’s son is George P. Bush, who next year will be sworn in as Texas’ newest land commissioner. His brother is former Texas Gov. and former President George W Bush.

Seth Bringman has been driving the bus across the country, through 44 states so far.

He said he brought it to Fort Worth at the request of Tarrant County Justice of the Peace Sergio De Leon.

“We definitely wanted to come to the area — North Texas — and let supporters here see the bus and be part of the effort,” said Bringman, communications director for the Ready for Hillary effort. “This is a good opportunity to harness the enthusiasm that’s out there for Hillary.

“This bus will be rolling every day until Hillary makes her decision.”

De Leon said he asked for the bus to come to North Texas to ramp up enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton.

“I can’t think of a person better qualified to lead this nation. Who else has a resume like she does?”

De Leon, U.S. Rep. Marc Veasey (D-TX), Fort Worth Mayor Pro Tem Sal Espino and Tarrant County Democratic Party Chairwoman Deborah Peoples were among those gathered to welcome the bus and talk to the crowd.

Many spoke of this year’s election and said it was a tough time for Democrats.

“On Nov. 4, something happened we didn’t want to see — we got our butts kicked across the state and in Tarrant County,” Peoples said. “But on Nov. 5, we got up and said, ‘We are Democrats. We don’t accept defeat.’

“We said, ‘Where do we go?’ Come on 2016,” she said. “We are going to put another Democrat back in the White House.”

Supporters say the goal is to line up an army of supporters for Clinton, hoping to make it easier for her to decide to jump in the race.

Longtime Clinton friends and former co-workers also have spread out throughout the country in the past year, as part of this grass-roots effort, talking to supporters and trying to build up support for this potential candidate.

A website touting the effort said the number of supporters has grown to nearly 3 million.

Tarrant County supporters of Hillary Clinton were the first last year to gather batches of donations in the amount of $20.16 — a trend that later spread nationwide — to help raise money for the effort.

A Virginia-based Ready for Hillary political action committee so far has raised nearly $9 million this year and spent slightly more than $8 million, leaving nearly $900,000 in cash on hand, according to documents filed with the Federal Election Commission.

In 2008, Clinton fought hard for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination, battling with Barack Obama in state after state. For some time, many thought the presidential nomination might be decided by the party’s super delegates.

Texas had an influence on the race and will be long remembered for giving Clinton the popular vote in that year’s Democratic primary — but ultimately giving Obama the victory by awarding him more delegates through the caucus process.

As a result, the state’s two-tiered system, which that awards delegates through a popular vote and post election caucuses known as the “Texas Two-Step,” drew national scrutiny.

Turnout was so massive in precinct conventions after the polls closed that they essentially overwhelmed the system.

Espino said Tarrant County will be ready for the 2016 presidential campaign.

“Let’s make history again in 2016 by nominating Hillary Clinton for president,” he said.

Photo: Marc Nozell via Flickr

Hillary Clinton Returns To Iowa, Drops Hints About 2016 Intentions

Hillary Clinton Returns To Iowa, Drops Hints About 2016 Intentions

By Mark Z. Barabak, Los Angeles Times

INDIANOLA, Iowa — Hillary Rodham Clinton returned Sunday to Iowa for the first time since her devastating loss in the state’s 2008 presidential caucuses and dropped a few hints but nothing definite about her intentions regarding another run in 2016.

“I’m back,” the former secretary of State said as she greeted an audience of several thousand Democratic activists gathered on a sodden hot-air-balloon field outside Des Moines for the annual steak fry hosted by retiring U.S. Sen. Tom Harkin.

“It is true. I am thinking about it,” Clinton said, without saying exactly what she meant by “it.” The crowd knew, however, and roared.

“But for today, that is not why I’m here,” Clinton went on, as the audience groaned. “I’m here for the steak.”

When last seen in Iowa, Clinton had just finished a humiliating third in the caucuses, the kickoff event of the presidential nominating season; the debacle helped sink her front-running campaign.

This appearance, at which Clinton was accompanied by her husband, the former president, was her most overt political outing since she stepped down as secretary of State in early 2013. If her remarks were a preview of a presidential stump speech, her second White House bid will sound much like Bill Clinton’s 1992 campaign.

The former first lady even used a line — championing hard-pressed Americans who “work hard and play by the rules” — that was a Bill Clinton signature. “We Democrats are for raising the minimum wage, equal pay, making college affordable, growing the economy to benefit everyone,” Hillary Clinton said.

She was careful to cant her statements toward the midterm election in November, endorsing Iowa’s Democratic ticket and urging the audience to take the contest as seriously as the next presidential race.

Each generation of Americans has done better than the one before, Clinton said, in remarks greeted politely but without terrific enthusiasm. “That’s what our country must be again,” she said. “That’s what this election is really about.”

In his speech, which clocked in just short of his wife’s 20-minute-plus remarks, the former president praised Harkin, spoke at length about his own accomplishments, and cast Republicans as standing in the way of the nation’s progress. “We’ve got to pull this country together to push this country forward,” Bill Clinton said.

Hillary Clinton’s appearance drew a small army of political journalists from around the world and an even larger contingent of Clinton supporters, rallying beneath the banner of “Ready for Hillary,” the name of a national group taking names, raising money and serving as a sort of campaign organization-in-waiting.

Although the day was supposed to be a tribute to Harkin, the Democrat who is stepping down after 40 years in Washington, it became, in effect, a gigantic pro-Clinton rally. Surrounding roads and the perimeter fence were papered with white-and-blue signs that said simply “Ready” — a message clearly understood by all in attendance.

For some, it was a reunion of sorts, albeit distant. Clair Celsi, a Clinton precinct captain in 2008, showed up in a T-shirt from that unsuccessful campaign, her chest plastered with Hillary stickers. Her hope, Celsi said, was that Clinton would look out on a sea of blue and fluorescent green “Ready” T-shirts and “take comfort knowing we’re more ready for her at the grass roots” than the last time she ran.

That said, Celsi cautioned that Clinton would need to conduct a different sort of Iowa campaign than the last, which suffered from a distinct whiff of entitlement. “She can’t swoop in again, D.C.-style,” Celsi said, noting voters here expect to meet presidential candidates up close and often.

There’s no choice, Celsi said. “After losing the last time she probably never wanted to come back to Iowa, but we’re still in the No. 1 spot. You have to play in Iowa.”

As if to answer Celsi’s criticism, Hillary Clinton spent a good half-hour after Sunday’s event shaking hands, taking pictures and signing placards for guests. She gave no further insight into her 2016 plans, but played along with those who urged her into the race.

“We’re so ready!” one fan told her.

“Thank you very much!” Clinton replied happily.

“Can I call you Madam President yet?” a man asked. “No,” Clinton replied good-naturedly. “No, no, no.”

Sunday’s cookout, on a field of brilliant emerald green, offered an Iowa restart of sorts, even if it was Clinton’s second steak fry — she spoke in 2007 — and her husband’s fourth. But she hinted the stop would not be her last.

“It’s really great to be back,” Clinton said in concluding her speech. “Let’s not let another seven years go by.”

Before speaking, the Clintons took their obligatory turns wrangling steaks as dozens of cameras recorded the moment and the couple ignored shouted questions from reporters behind a metal barricade: How’s it feel to be back in Iowa? Can she win this time, Mr. President?

Though bright, Hillary Clinton’s solo turn in the 2016 Iowa spotlight is likely to be brief.

On Wednesday, Vice President Joe Biden is planning to visit Des Moines, where he is expected to address a group of nuns launching a cross-country voter-registration bus tour. Also Sunday, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, a far-left independent who mainly votes with Democrats in Congress, said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he was contemplating a 2016 bid for president.

He also appeared in Iowa over the weekend, but his visit drew only a small fraction of the attention devoted to the Clintons.

Times staff writers Cathleen Decker and Maeve Reston contributed to this report.

AFP Photo/Thomas Samson

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