Tag: trump polls
World Leaders And Democratic Governors Eclipse Trump In Polls

World Leaders And Democratic Governors Eclipse Trump In Polls

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

Donald Trump managed to squander the brief grace period he had to capitalize on getting a significant bump in approval ratings if Americans would have rallied around his coronavirus response. The several-point bump he got in the second half of March for striking a serious tone has almost dissipated, leaving him anywhere between about 42 percent and 45 percent in most polls and continuing to trend downward.

It's pretty pathetic compared to the crisis-era approval bumps of previous presidents, such as the 40-point bump George W. Bush got following 9/11. But Trump's performance is also getting bottom-of-the-barrel marks relative to those of other world leaders confronting the crisis.

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Danziger: Dog Bites Man

Danziger: Dog Bites Man

Jeff Danziger lives in New York City. He is represented by CWS Syndicate and the Washington Post Writers Group. He is the recipient of the Herblock Prize and the Thomas Nast (Landau) Prize. He served in the US Army in Vietnam and was awarded the Bronze Star and the Air Medal. He has published eleven books of cartoons and one novel. Visit him at DanzigerCartoons.com.

In New Polls, Trump’s Negative Rating Spikes

In New Polls, Trump’s Negative Rating Spikes

Reprinted with permission from Alternet

Donald Trump’s polling is and always has been abysmal. Yet what journalists have routinely focused on is the fact that some 35 percent-40 percent of the country continues to stick by him no matter what he does. The fact that Trump can ridicule a war hero (even in death), demonstrate unmistakable signs of mental decay, continually spout blatantly racist and anti-Semitic tropes, disparage women, hail dictators, spurn allies, threaten the world order, single-handedly send the global financial markets into a death spiral, and yet maintain that bedrock base of support is the ultimate “man bites dog” story that journalists just can’t resist.

But the overhyped narrative of “Trump does X, supporters still swoon” has obscured a trend that’s getting more pronounced by the week: Trump’s negatives are soaring on multiple issues and in a succession of polls and voting blocs.

Democratic strategist Bruce Gyory recently pointed out Trump’s declining stock several weeks ago in smart piece declaring that “Trump should be afraid. Very very afraid.”

First, there’s been a noticeable uptick in Trump’s disapproval ratings in multiple polls. A recent Fox News poll, for instance, showed his disapprovals rising from 50 percent to 56 percent, and an even more recent AP-NORC poll registered his disapproval rating at 62 percent (among his highest disapprovals to date in that poll). But as Gyory noted, Trump’s Fox numbers revealed he was underwater in nearly every demographic except for white men:

64 percent among independents, 53 percent among men, 46 percent among white men, 53 percent of those older than 45, 61 percent among suburban women (59 percent of women overall), and 55 percent among whites with a college degree.

And here are Pew’s demographic disapproval numbers:
48 percent among whites, 55 percent among men, 79 percent among Hispanics, 58 percent among Catholics, 55 percent of those with some college but not a four year degree as well as 55 percent of those with a high school degree or less, 55 percent among seniors

But Trump has also been taking a beating on nearly every issue area other than the economy, where his numbers are still fairly underwhelming. Here are just a couple of notable top lines from recent polls:

  • 56 percent of Americans believe race relations have worsened since 2016.
  • 56 percent of voters say that Trump deserved either a great deal or some blame for the mass shootings sweeping America over the last few years (including 34 percent who gave Trump “a great deal of blame”).

Even Trump’s approval on the economy is sliding, with a recent WSJ/NBC News poll finding that just 49 percent of voters approve, while 46 percent disapprove—a marked decline from the 51 percent – 41 percent edge he enjoyed in May.

All of these numbers are of a piece with several polls earlier this year showing 55 percent-plus of voters pledging to vote against Trump in 2020. “In the final analysis, Trump is on the verge of losing the country,” Gyory wrote, which seems like a reasonably sound assessment of what the polls are telling us.

New Poll Shows Trump Losing Support Among ‘Poorly Educated’ Whites

New Poll Shows Trump Losing Support Among ‘Poorly Educated’ Whites

Reprinted with permission from Alternet

When Donald Trump famously declared, “I love the poorly educated” during his 2016 campaign, it was obvious that he was taking a much more populist (or rather, pseudo-populist) approach than Republican presidential candidates were typically known for. And white males without college degrees continue to be a key part of the president’s base. But Washington Post columnist Aaron Blake, analyzing an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released on Monday, stresses that when Trump is up against a “generic 2020 Democrat,” he finds himself struggling with non-college educated white women.

“The story is not that Trump is struggling because he’s losing white women,” Blake asserts. “The story is that he’s struggling because he’s losing ground among another much-heralded demographic: less-educated whites.”

The “less educated whites” Blake is specifically referring to are white women without college degrees. The NBC/WSJ poll finds that Trump’s performance is especially bad among college educated white women: when up against a generic Democrat in 2020, Trump only wins 30 percent of white women with college degrees — compared to 63 percent for the generic Democrat. But Trump, Blake stresses, doesn’t do well among high school-educated white women either: among white women without college degrees, 43 percent of the vote goes to Trump — while 49 percent goes to the generic Democrat.

The majority of white men without college degrees, however, still favor Trump, who enjoys 67 percent in the NBC/WSJ poll compared to only 22 percent support for the generic Democrat.

“The first thing to emphasize about the NBC/WSJ poll is that generic polling is only so useful,” Blake cautions. “When you pit an incumbent against a generic candidate, it allows respondents to imagine whomever they want in that role. Actual candidates have warts. But even accounting for that, the NBC/WSJ poll showed white women departing Trump significantly more than white men.”

 

Blake goes on to say that in a different poll, recently conducted by Fox News, Trump’s popularity among college women without college degrees is weaker than it was in 2016.

“It’s fair to ask whether working-class whites and ‘the poorly educated’ are going to deliver Trump another victory,” Blake asserts. “It could be an even bigger subplot than the gender gap.”

 

Photo Credit: Gage Skidmore