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This Week In Polls: Feeling The Bern!

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This Week In Polls: Feeling The Bern!

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Bernie Sanders is having a very good week — with plenty of polls showing voters taking themselves out of frontrunner Hillary Clinton’s column, and going into his.

Iowa

The Quinnipiac University poll released on Tuesday found Bernie Sanders taking the lead in the first caucus state, 49 percent to 44 percent, plus Martin O’Malley at 4 percent. In the previous poll from December, Clinton had been ahead 51 percent to 40 percent, and O’Malley had 6 percent.

Also on Tuesday, a survey from Democratic-aligned firm Public Policy Polling showed Clinton still ahead, 46 percent to 40 percent, with O’Malley at 8 percent — but this was a sharp decline from her previous lead in December, which was 52 percent to 34 percent, and O’Malley at 7 percent.

Then on Thursday, the poll released by The Des Moines Register — often viewed as the gold standard of Iowa surveys, had Clinton at 42 percent, Sanders 40 percent, and O’Malley 4 percent.

New Hampshire

In the first primary (as opposed to caucus) state, neighboring Bernie’s home state of Vermont, two polls released this week showed him ahead. New Hampshire-based American Research Group had Sanders at 47 percent, Clinton 44 percent, and O’Malley 3 percent.

Meanwhile, Monmouth University put Sanders way ahead with 53 percent, with Clinton far back at 39 percent, and then O’Malley with just 5 percent.

One word of caution, though: New Hampshire is famously the state where in 2008, right after Barack Obama’s stunning victory in the Iowa caucuses, all the polls showed him on track to swamp Clinton here and then seemingly sew up the nomination. But then on primary night, Hillary actually won in a huge upset — vaulting herself back on top, and then setting the two up for the marathon primary race that carried the two campaigns through every single state and territory.

The National Picture

The CBS News/New York Times poll released Tuesday put Clinton ahead among Democratic primary voters nationwide with 48 percent, then Sanders 41 percent, and O’Malley 2 percent. In the previous poll in December, Clinton had an outright majority at 52 percent, then Sanders at just 32 percent, and O’Malley 2 percent.

Photo: Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Bernie Sanders smiles as he listens to U.S. President Barack Obama’s State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress in Washington, January 12, 2016. REUTERS/Carlos Barria

8 Comments

  1. Mr Corrections January 16, 2016

    That’s the advantage of just stealing your data from another campaign.

    Reply
  2. @HawaiianTater January 16, 2016

    It’s going to be fun watching the conservative meltdown when they realize they wasted so much energy trying to bury Hillary and Bernie ends up crushing them. America is feeling the Bern.

    Reply
    1. dtgraham January 16, 2016

      You’re feelin’ the Bern from all the up arrows you’re getting here Tater. That’s exactly what I was thinking yesterday after hearing all the GOP candidates talk about Hillary only in the highlights of their debate. My thoughts were, “have you guys seen any recent polls on this?”

      1. @HawaiianTater January 16, 2016

        I’d also like to add in the fact that I believe Bernie’s lead is a lot larger than the polls would indicate. The polls are small sample sizes done on landlines with “likely primary voters”, meaning an older crowd who has voted previously. They ignore Bernie’s biggest group of supporters, which is the millennials. And let’s be honest here, how many millennials even have landlines? lol

        Bernie is getting a lot of people involved in the political process who have never done primaries before; people who would not be included in polling. If Bernie is now surpassing in the polls themselves, that tells me his lead is big. Optimistically, I think Bernie is going to run away with the primaries. First, he will crush Hillary and then he will crush the Republicans.

        1. dtgraham January 16, 2016

          You’re getting me all worked up and hot and bothered with that kind of talk. You may be right. I think Bernie may have a very large following of people who’ve never voted before, or only infrequently. The reason being that they’ve never heard a Presidential candidate ever talk like that. It’s always go along to get along corporate Democrats. That’s sure not Bernie.

          1. @HawaiianTater January 16, 2016

            It’s the corporate owned MSM and their polls that has declared Hillary the unbeatable frontrunner. By every other metric, it’s Bernie who is the frontrunner. Look at the amount of people that show up to hear him speak. Look at the amount of individual donors he has (the most of any candidate in history). Look at his online interest. Look at the enthusiasm his supporters have. Every single time there is an online poll, Bernie crushes Hillary and all the Republicans. All that’s been going on for a long time now and it’s starting to bleed over into the landline polling too. Hillary is even starting to get desperate by lying about his healthcare policies. She’s sending Bill and Chelsea out there to do her dirty work. Maybe I’m being overly optimistic but there is a lot of evidence out there pointing to a Sanders win.

            You going to watch the debate tomorrow?

          2. dtgraham January 17, 2016

            I sure will be. I’ll try to respond later. This has become an incredibly unstable website that causes all of my search engines to go crazy.

  3. Sterling Harris January 16, 2016

    IOWA DOES NOT ELECT PRESIDENTS WHAT A JOKE

    Reply

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