Tag: revenue increases

How Democrats Can Make Their Case For Raising Revenue

(Bloomberg) — Social Security may be known as the “third rail” of American politics, but it is the debate over taxes that has been the “kryptonite” of the Democratic Party in recent decades.

President Barack Obama has put the question of revenue increases on the front burner as part of his fiscal-policy agenda, and the discussion will grow in visibility and intensity as the early December deadline for a report from the congressional supercommittee approaches.

Although almost every expert, economist and open-minded leader in both parties (excluding, of course, the hard-line Republican leadership) agrees that we need more revenue to bring future deficits under control, the political danger for Democrats in the debate remains severe.

Indeed, one Democrat with a proven ear for politics, Bill Clinton, has expressed doubts about the administration’s decision to wade into the revenue controversy, saying, “I personally don’t believe we ought to be raising taxes or cutting spending until we get this economy off the ground.” (More recently, though, Clinton acknowledged that deficit reduction requires “adequate revenues,” scooting a bit closer to the administration’s line.)

How can Democrats tackle the tax question without courting political disaster?

Obama has tried two approaches. Last spring, when he was pressing for revenue increases during the debt-ceiling talks, his emphasis was on a “balanced approach”: If spending was to be cut, then revenue should be increased, too.

Not Balanced

The “balanced” argument was perhaps too effective. When the president reached a debt-limit deal with the Republicans that was all spending cuts and no revenue increases, he was excoriated for accepting a package that didn’t meet his own standards.

In the end, though, the argument for a balanced approach has limitations, because it requires only a mix of spending cuts and tax increases, without specifying how much of each — or both — is needed. That’s a bit like saying, “If you are going to serve liver, you should also serve Brussels sprouts” — perhaps correct, maybe even candid, but hardly compelling.

More recently, Obama has emphasized “fairness,” in particular in pushing for his proposed Buffett rule, which would raise taxes on incomes of $1 million a year or more, and with his plan to require private jets to pay a landing fee. The president has rallied his base with these populist appeals, and polls show that most Americans agree that those in the upmost tax brackets pay too little in taxes.

Fairer Package

In addition, because the bulk of the pain from spending cuts falls disproportionately on those at the bottom, tilting the revenue increases toward higher-end taxpayers would make any overall package fairer.

But the limitation of the fairness argument is that it frames the revenue increases as a penalty that should be imposed on the wealthy for paying too little. It is more of a jab at the rich than an appeal for raising needed revenue.

The argument that billionaire investor Warren Buffett should pay at least the same tax rate as his secretary fails to explain why either is paying what they are paying, or why anyone should be paying more. Even if middle-class voters are stirred by the populist sentiment behind such rhetoric, they may be unnerved by its implicit zeal to raise taxes, and the tone of the debate leaves the administration vulnerable to the usual caricatures of Democrats as overenthusiastic tax hikers.

Making the Argument

So what is a better way to make the case for much needed revenue increases?

First, the administration needs to reiterate, time and again, that tax increases — on anyone — are a last resort. This may seem like a tweak, but it is an important one. Even when voters favor mixed approaches to our ballooning deficit, more of them believe that our fiscal problems are caused by too much government spending, not too little taxation.

To avoid being burned by the tax debate, Democrats need to begin the conversation by reiterating that they support revenue increases — not because there are people who can afford to pay more, but because there is no other way to get our fiscal house in order.

Second, the administration needs to understand that this debate is playing out against a backdrop of unprecedented public doubt about the effectiveness of government spending. For political purposes, it matters little if Americans believe the government actually spent too little trying to reverse the Great Recession — as progressives such as Paul Krugman argue — or if they think government spent too much, as Republicans contend. Either way, the necessity for more revenue is being weighed in an environment that is highly skeptical of government’s ability to use that revenue wisely.

Mythical Muffins

The strong reaction to the report that the Justice Department bought $16 muffins — a story that, as should have been immediately obvious, was wrong — illustrates the depth of the public’s cynicism. The president and the Democrats must engage the tax debate with that skepticism in mind.

One approach that addresses this challenge is tying specific revenue increases to specific uses. For example, revenue from the so-called Buffett rule could be used to endow a trust fund dedicated to education reform and rebuilding our schools, popular investments in our nation’s future that are starved for resources. Revenue generated from new fees on private plane flights could be set aside to fund improvements at airports. This would neutralize arguments about “class warfare,” and remind the public of our vital shared needs.

Bush Cuts

The single largest revenue item — allowing the Bush-era tax cuts for the highest-income taxpayers to expire as scheduled at the end of next year — could be devoted to several purposes. For example, a large portion could be applied directly to paying down the debt. In other words, easing the future burden on our children, not expanded government spending.

Another dedicated use could be funding an infrastructure bank to rebuild roads and bridges, with projects selected by an independent board of governors, not elected officials.

Alternatively, a portion of the funds could be set aside for loans to small businesses to help spur economic growth; in the past, Small Business Administration loans have helped launch or grow some of the most innovative and successful U.S. companies, including Apple Inc., FedEx Corp., Nike Inc. and Under Armour Inc.

Here’s the bottom line: Tying tax increases to dedicated and popular uses insulates proposals for much-need revenue from attacks of “class warfare” or general anti-tax sentiment, and can help rebuild faith that marginal dollars collected by the government will be put to a clear and important public purpose.

Advocates of revenue increases need to develop an effective way of defending their side if they are to prevail in the contentious debate that will soon start in Congress, and in the critical election just 13 months from now.

(Ron Klain, a former chief of staff to Vice President Joe Biden and a senior adviser to President Barack Obama on the Recovery Act, is a Bloomberg View columnist. He is a senior executive with a private investment firm. The opinions expressed are his own.)

Copyright 2011 Bloomberg.

Clinton Exclusive, Continued: “I’m Proud” Of Obama For Resisting GOP On Debt

Praising President Obama for his willingness to confront Congressional Republicans over the debt and deficits, former President Bill Clinton warned against excessive spending cuts in a slowly recovering economy. If the Republicans and Democrats achieve a deal before the August 2 deadline for a national debt default, he told The National Memo in an exclusive interview this week, they can all be winners — even the Tea Party.

“I think there’s a real chance that austerity first, far from putting a confidence boost into the economy, will further dampen growth,” he told The National Memo in an exclusive interview this week. Drawing a contrarian lesson from the United Kingdom, where the Conservative government’s budget-slashing policies have slowed growth and depressed revenues, he added, “I think there’s a chance the British will end up with a bigger deficit because tax revenues will drop more than spending will be cut.”

The former president, who now runs the William J. Clinton Foundation and the Clinton Global Initiative, also offered his own perspectives on how to reduce federal spending over the next ten years – while doing the least possible damage to entitlement programs, infrastructure, education and health care. But he would prefer to postpone most spending cuts and tax increases until the economy is stronger than at present.

“In broad outline, a good deal would be one that combined spending cuts with revenue increases, and phased them in — in a way that didn’t start until we’ve got more growth than we’ve got now,” he said. Splitting deficit reduction more or less evenly between cuts and taxes would work best, he added, and pointed out that there are multiple possibililities within the current federal budget to save hundreds of billions of dollars, while doing little social or economic damage to the country. He pointed to a March 2011 report by the Government Accountability Office — the official Congressional auditing agency — that found dozens of examples of duplication and waste.

“If you just go through the GAO report — I did this weekend, the whole 400 pages — there’s just tons of opportunity to save money, a lot of money, maybe as much as $100 billion a year,” said Clinton, ranging from better maintenance practices in the military and more competitive bidding throughout government to more efficient collection of unpaid federal taxes:

If you could collect 25 percent, just 25 percent, of the $340 billion a year owed in taxes and not paid under the current tax system, just one-fourth of that; and if you ended these direct payments to farmers that have nothing to do with farm prices, where [they] get more if [they’re] bigger and richer, and which were supposed to be phased out; and you did a smidgen of what [GAO auditors] recommend on information technology and transportation and building management — you’d have a trillion dollars over a decade.

If you put a third of the $170 billion in no-bid federal contracts up for bid – and you had the same success that we had when [the Clinton administration] pushed contracts from no-bid to bid…Just those two things, alone — collecting 25 percent of taxes owed and not paid, and bidding out a third of the $170 billion in no-bid contracts out for bid in transparent process — would give you a hundred billions dollars [in annual savings].

In the military, 18 percent of the maintenance budget, according to the GAO, is caused by corrosion in planes, cars, weapons systems. Simple anti-corrosion measures have a return on investment somewhere between 11 to 1 and 60 to 1. Unbelievable!”

According to the former president, who achieved budget surpluses before leaving office in 2001, “a real conservative — as opposed to an anti-government, anti-tax conservative” could play a highly constructive role in the current debate by insisting that Congress thoroughly enforce the GAO findings as federal policy. But that would require the Republican majority to behave as if they are “serious about making government work instead of wanting it to fail.”

Clinton expects that the President and Congress will ultimately work out a budget deal before August 2, and that “everyone will win” as a result.

“The President will win because a terrible thing was averted,” he said. “Even if people agreed with him — just like they agreed with me on the [1995] government shutdown –the consequences of not paying our bills could be so great that [voters] could blame everybody. That was his risk. But he’s proved willing to take it and I think he should have and I’m proud of him for doing that.” Likewise, he said, both Republican and Democratic Congressional leaders will win because they helped to avoid a global economic crisis.

“And I think the Tea Party will win because they won’t be outed,” he said ruefully. “In other words, if this thing happened, you might have a successful third party candidacy for President — if our credit got down-rated and everybody’s interest rates went up. But I think the Tea Paty would be toast, because they’ve been going around telling everybody this is no big deal.”

More likely, he concluded: “They’ll all live to fight another day.”

Previously: Bill Clinton Says He Would Invoke Constitutional Option “Without Hesitation” to Raise Debt Ceiling and “Force the Courts to Stop Me”