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Sunday, December 11, 2016

The best evidence of a “Mitt Romney Convention Bounce” came from the conservative pollster Rasmussen Reports. In the days before the Republican National Convention, Rasmussen showed the president with a rare lead in its daily tracking poll. And coincidentally this lead evaporated during the course of the RNC and on the Monday after the convention ended Romney had a four-point lead.

Nate Silver of the New York Times looked at the long-term trends and found that overall Mitt got about a two point six “bump” from his convention, less than the four points he needed to change the race. As of Tuesday, Romney’s lead in Rasmussen was back at two where it has generally been most of the race.

If the president gets just at least the same modest bump Romney did that would put the president back up over his challenger by three points – a nice position to be as the debates begin. But Romney’s problems aren’t just in the polls. They’re in perception. His positioning of being a savvy manager who picks the right people is in serious doubt after Clint Eastwood’s messy routine and Paul Ryan’s major collisions with the truth.

Here are four signs Republicans are sensing Romney is out of his depth and are getting desperate.

AP Photo/Al Behrman

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