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Monday, October 24, 2016

473px-Kay_Hagan_official_photoAccording to a Public Policy Polling survey released on Wednesday, Senator Kay Hagan (D-NC) leads all of her prospective Republican opponents by double digits in North Carolina’s 2014 U.S. Senate election.

The poll finds that Hagan leads state Senate president pro tempore Phil Berger and obstetritian Greg Brannon 49 to 39 percent, state House Speaker Thom Tillis 49 to 38 percent, U.S. Representative Virginia Foxx 49 to 37 percent, U.S. Representative Renee Elmers and former U.S. ambassador Jim Cain 49 to 36 percent, pastor Mark Harris 49 to 35 percent, and former Charlotte city councilwoman Lynn Wheeler 49 to 34 perent.

Hagan holds these comfortable advantages despite remaining relatively unpopular among North Carolina voters; 43 percent approve of the first-term senator, while 45 percent disapprove. Voters dislike the Republican field much more, however. None of the Republicans have a positive favorability rating, and those involved in North Carolina’s increasingly right-wing state government are trending rapidly downwards.

“Berger and Tillis have seen their name identification rise by four to five points in the last month, but that’s not a good thing for them,” PPP director Tom Jensen writes in a statement. “Berger has moved from a -12 favorability spread to -20, and Tillis from a -9 to a -20.” This is almost certainly a result of North Carolinians’ displeasure with their Tea Party representatives.

Currently, Representative Foxx leads the Republican field with 16 percent, followed by Berger, Cain, and Ellmers at 11 percent, Brannon at 7 percent, Tillis at 5 percent, Wheeler at 3 percent, and Harris at 1 percent. Should the controversial, far-right-wing Foxx hold on to her lead, it could significantly help Hagan and the Democrats in the general election.

There’s no overstating the importance of North Carolina’s Senate election to the Democratic Party. Brian Schweitzer’s decision not to run for Senate in Montana leaves Republicans, who need to gain a net six seats for a Senate majority, in very strong position to take full control of Congress. Should Hagan win in Republican-leaning North Carolina, however, then a win by Mary Landrieu (D-LA), Mark Begich (D-AK), or Mark Pryor (D-AR) could be enough to keep the Senate under Democratic control.

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Copyright 2013 The National Memo
  • Sand_Cat

    The fact that Republicans have any Senators at all is a sad comment on this nation. The fact that they might regain control of the Senate after their abysmal and dishonest behavior since the last election says this country is ready to die.

    • Independent1

      It certainly is a sad commentary of either the intelligence of Republican voters, their apparent total lack of really paying attention to what their legislators are doing or their absolute gullibleness in believing all the lies and distortions that their GOP representatives and a multitude of right-wing commentators spew at them.

  • Dominick Vila

    Hopefully something similar will take place in more traditional red states, but I doubt it. The emergence of industry in the Raleigh-Durham area that attracted an influx of professionals from the Northeast and Northwest during the last 20 years or so have transformed the demographics of North Carolina and turned the state “purple”. The same goes for Virginia. Don’t expect the same in the deep South or the Bible Belt where the mentality that existed before the Civil Rights movement, and religion, dominate the opinion of most voters.

  • Dominick Vila

    Am I the only one having trouble seeing the contents of The National Memo letter posted on 7/18?

    • Bill Thompson

      I did not get the email today i had to go to the sight

      • Dominick Vila

        I only received the header, but no contents. Like you, I had to go to the NM site to read the various articles. Thanks for the feedback.