Smart. Sharp. Funny. Fearless.
Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Carville-Greenberg Memo

Headline Writers Must Have Worked Overtime On New ABC News/Washington Post Poll

James Carville called me early this morning to talk about the new ABC News/Washington Post poll, reported under the banner, “Poll: Democrats’ advantage on key issues is not translating to a midterm-election edge.” The headline writers must have worked overtime to get to the interpretation that Democrats cannot translate the current mood into election gains. […]

March 7, 2014

Inside The GOP: Why Boehner Is Halting Immigration Reform

Just a year ago, the GOP appeared poised to rebrand itself as a more moderate and inclusive party. When the party released its “post-mortem” report on the 2012 election, one of the key findings was that the Republican Party “must embrace and champion comprehensive immigration reform.” And if you look at the numbers — demographic data and opinion […]

February 7, 2014

Forget The Conventional Wisdom: What The Numbers Really Say About President Obama

ABC News and the Washington Post have released a new poll indicating that the president is in trouble — and warn that both his standing and the Affordable Care Act hang over the 2014 elections. As ABC News’ Gary Langer put it: “Barack Obama starts his sixth year in office with the public divided about his […]

January 27, 2014

This Is What The President Needs To Say In His State Of The Union Address

In his State of the Union address next week, we expect that President Obama will discuss the Affordable Care Act, NSA reform, immigration reform, and climate change. More important, we anticipate that he will renew his commitment to mitigating economic inequality — a theme he began emphasizing last month. We have discussed here and elsewhere […]

January 23, 2014

Republicans, Take Some Free Advice: Raise the Minimum Wage

We do not expect House Republicans to take up an increase in the minimum wage during this Congress. But if they did, they would find themselves on the right side of history and public opinion. A survey of American adults released last week by Quinnipiac University found that 71 percent — including majorities of Democrats, […]

January 15, 2014

Boehner’s Stance On Unemployment Insurance Must Be A Joke

Earlier this week, the Senate passed a bill to extend long-term unemployment insurance, a measure that would restore assistance to the estimated 1.3 million workers whose benefits expired at the end of December. And while just six Republican senators joined the majority, the bill was pronounced “bipartisan.” Apparently this is what passes for Republican participation these […]

January 8, 2014

What Republican Rebound? New Battleground Survey Finds GOP Vulnerable

The final Democracy Corps battleground survey of 2013 belies the conventional wisdom that Republicans have enjoyed a major rebound over the last few months. On the contrary, our survey of the 50 most competitive Republican House seats and the 30 most competitive Democratic seats shows that there has been no movement. Furthermore, the second tier […]

December 12, 2013

Raising The Minimum Wage Is Not Controversial — Except On Capitol Hill

While most of the political class fixates on the botched Affordable Care Act rollout, Congress is gearing up for a vote on raising the minimum wage. There is almost no chance this Congress will pass this bill, but it’s important that Democrats – and others who care about safeguarding the opportunity to earn a living […]

November 25, 2013

Kennedy A Conservative? Only If We’re Feeling Charitable

One of the things Pope Francis teaches us is that we should share, and that those of us who have more should be willing to give to those who are less fortunate. Those of us who are Democrats follow proudly in the footsteps of real champions of this idea — individuals who have fought for […]

November 22, 2013

Republicans Fall Further Behind The Times On Marriage Equality

This week, Hawaii became the 16th state to legalize same-sex marriage. At Democracy Corps, we have been tracking voters’ attitudes toward gay marriage since 2010. Americans’ opinions on the issue have transformed over that period — and the pace of the shift is increasing. Just 37 percent of all voters now give gay marriage a negative […]

November 13, 2013

Seniors Turned Out In The Virginia Election — Which Could Be Great News For Democrats

In today’s Wonkblog, Ezra Klein writes that despite Terry McAuliffe’s victory in yesterday’s Virginia gubernatorial election, the exit polls point to a “demographic drift that could help Republicans next year.” “A Republican looking at these numbers should feel disappointed by last night’s election but hopeful about next year’s,” Klein writes. Central to his argument is […]

November 6, 2013

The Republican Party’s Historic Failure

Recent polls tell a story about the political climate in America: People are furious with what the political class has done to this country. While voters are not thrilled with the Democratic Party and the president, they are particularly angry with the Republican Party. In fact, the GOP’s rapidly declining numbers are downright historic. Our […]

October 31, 2013

Inside The Divided Republican Party

Our recent work for Democracy Corps‘ Republican Party Project has provided a deep and serious look inside the GOP. For all that holds the party together — disgust with President Obama and big government, rejection of taxes and regulations, etc. — we find serious fractures within the Republican Party. While individual representatives in very red districts […]

October 23, 2013

Another Losing Battle: Boehner Won’t Win The Fight Against Obamacare

Even as he conceded defeat in his “fight” against the Affordable Care Act — a “fight” that shut down the nation’s government and nearly forced a default on America’s debt — in a statement issued late Wednesday, House Speaker John Boehner appeared poised to continue his battle against affordable healthcare. “Our drive to stop the […]

October 17, 2013

New Poll: Republicans In Big Trouble In 2014

Today we are releasing data from the latest survey by Democracy Corps and Women’s Voices Women Vote Action Fund — and the numbers aren’t good for the GOP. Our poll shows that the congressional vote is moving against the Republicans. In July, our survey showed Republicans with a marginal 1 percent lead among likely voters. Today’s poll […]

October 9, 2013

Why The Tea Party’s Power Keeps Growing

Today, Democracy Corps is releasing findings from focus groups with evangelical, Tea Party, and moderate Republicans. Our conversations with these Republicans help explain why the GOP is committed to shutdown politics — and why in the future, its leaders likely will move more deeply into intransigent far-right conservatism. While moderate Republicans want their leaders to […]

October 3, 2013

WATCH: The GOP Has A Brand Problem, And It’s Getting Worse

In our latest video, James and I discuss the challenges facing the Republican Party on the eve of critical debates over the budget and the debt ceiling. The Republican Party has a serious brand problem, and it keeps getting worse. The GOP is viewed unbelievably negatively, and even Republicans themselves agree that it is deeply […]

September 17, 2013

Moving In With Family Becomes A Safety Net In The New Economy

Last week, our friends at Pew released a new report detailing the rise in the number children living with grandparents since the onset of the recession. According to the Pew report, 10 percent of children lived with a grandparent in 2011, and the vast majority of those (80 percent) also had a parent present in the household. […]

September 11, 2013

Memo To Congress: Don’t Forget About Women

When Congress returns from summer recess next week, legislators will face big choices on military intervention in Syria, raising the debt ceiling, funding the government, and broadening Americans’ access to health care. These are big issues, but we also believe that Congress shouldn’t forget the women’s economic agenda — “When Women Succeed, America Succeeds” — which was […]

September 4, 2013

Why We Need Democrats

I became a Democrat because the defining issue of my formative years was race. In fact, it was almost the exclusive issue. It is hard to believe now, but when there was even a possibility that an African-American might turn up, back then the first reaction of the administrators was to close the swimming pool. It […]

August 29, 2013
North Carolina

North Carolina Is Damaging The Republican Brand

On Monday, North Carolina governor Pat McCrory signed into law a package of restrictive voting and election reforms that will disfranchise poor, elderly, and minority voters, while giving big money greater influence in judicial campaigns. Governor McCrory is not only on the wrong side of history, but on the wrong side of public opinion as well.

August 15, 2013

Why Seniors Are Turning Against The GOP

There’s something going on with seniors: It is now strikingly clear that they have turned sharply against the GOP.

August 7, 2013

Forget The Recovery: Obama Should Focus On Middle Class Challenges

President Obama must make a choice about which economic message he wants to present to the American people. The president is simultaneously pitching his excellent plan to help the struggling middle class, and trying to convince voters that the economy is in the middle of a robust recovery. But only one of those messages will […]

August 2, 2013

Introducing The Republican Party Project

Today James and I are releasing the first poll in the Republican Party Project: a look at who Republicans are, what drives them, why they can’t help but keep moving to the right, and why we need not retreat from their extremism. Republicans seem to believe that they have a mandate for conservative government, but […]

July 24, 2013

Jobs You Can’t Live Off

While Wall Street aims for another record-breaking week, we would like to remind economic forecasters of the harsh reality facing the rest of the country. Last month, we conducted focus groups among voters in Orlando, Florida and Columbus, Ohio. These voters were not talking about their investment portfolios.  Instead,  much of what we heard was […]

July 17, 2013