Was last week a true turning point for Trump? Did it signal a transformation from the man-baby who won the Republican primaries to someone with the temperament to be president? In the word of the moment, is this the “pivot” that Clinton’s supporters have most feared?
Twenty women, mostly swing voters, sitting at conference tables in Columbus, Ohio, and Phoenix on Tuesday night, provide another. “He’s crazy,” says one. “He kind of acts like a 2-year-old,” says another. “I have a 2-year-old. I see the similarities.”
At the beginning of the Gathering of the Trumppalos in Cleveland, the president’s approval rating had sunk below 50 percent in Gallup’s daily tracking poll, with only a +2 margin over his disapproval rating at 47 percent. Two weeks later, the president is back at 54 percent, with a 12 percent margin.
Clinton held a 6-point lead over Republican rival Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll with new wording that was released on Friday, the day after she formally accepted the Democratic nomination for the Nov. 8 election.
Ask yourself a serious question: Could Donald Trump handle the presidency? I mean really handle it — not just wave his hands, run about, scream and shout.
Ask any pollster how confident they are that voters will really choose Donald Trump, the demagogic businessman, as the Republican presidential nominee, and they’ll say, “Not very.”
The problem with a data-driven approach is, when it comes to primaries, the fundamentals are not nearly as well understood or as predictive as they are in general elections.
There may be no easier way to flummox operatives or journalists who insist on the importance of “data” and “analytics” in politics than asking them to explain exactly what the words mean to them.
A new federal rule about a way to block robocalls threatens to upend how pollsters conduct public opinion surveys, jeopardizing access to information about Americans’ lives and opinions that shape policy.
A majority of Americans support same-sex marriage today, and that number will continue to increase. But the numbers show that the country is divided on the issue by age and ideology. The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, conducted from May 29-June 1, 2014, shows that 56 percent of Americans support allowing gays and lesbians to marry […]
By David Lauter, Tribune Washington Bureau WASHINGTON — Members of the huge millennial generation are less religious, less likely to call themselves “patriotic” and significantly more liberal than older generations, new research shows. Although adults aged 18-33 are much more likely to call themselves political independents than their elders are, they are also far more likely […]