Smart. Sharp. Funny. Fearless.
Monday, August 21, 2017
Polling
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks during a Hispanic Small Business Leaders round table meeting at the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S., August 26, 2016. REUTERS/Carlo Allegri

Have You Ever Seen A More Cynical Political Pivot Than Donald Trump Trying To Avoid Electoral Disaster?

Was last week a true turning point for Trump? Did it signal a transformation from the man-baby who won the Republican primaries to someone with the temperament to be president? In the word of the moment, is this the “pivot” that Clinton’s supporters have most feared?

August 28, 2016
Hillary Clinton greets workers at Munster Steel in Hammond, Indiana, United States, April 26, 2016. REUTERS/Jim Young

As Voters Talk, The Collapse Of Trump’s Support Becomes Clearly Audible

Twenty women, mostly swing voters, sitting at conference tables in Columbus, Ohio, and Phoenix on Tuesday night, provide another. “He’s crazy,” says one. “He kind of acts like a 2-year-old,” says another. “I have a 2-year-old. I see the similarities.”

August 11, 2016
Obama

Trump Is A Reminder That Obama Has Made America Greater

At the beginning of the Gathering of the Trumppalos in Cleveland, the president’s approval rating had sunk below 50 percent in Gallup’s daily tracking poll, with only a +2 margin over his disapproval rating at 47 percent. Two weeks later, the president is back at 54 percent, with a 12 percent margin.

July 31, 2016
Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton campaigns with vice presidential candidate Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) along with former president Bill Clinton at East High School in Youngstown, Ohio, July 30, 2016. REUTERS/Aaron P. Bernstein

Clinton Leads Trump By 6 Points After Democratic Confab: Reuters/Ipsos Poll

Clinton held a 6-point lead over Republican rival Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll with new wording that was released on Friday, the day after she formally accepted the Democratic nomination for the Nov. 8 election.

July 31, 2016
Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton takes part in the Memorial Day parade in Chappaqua, New York, U.S. May 30, 2016. REUTERS/Adrees Latif

A Third Of Trump Supporters Say Clinton Has The Experience It Takes To Be President

A new poll released Friday strongly supports Clinton’s new line of attack against the GOP nominee.

June 3, 2016
Trump in Wisconsin

Cartoon: Wisconsin Takes Donald Trump

Donald Trump is finally becoming a politician, and it’s not pretty.

April 4, 2016
Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives to address the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) afternoon general session in Washington March 21, 2016. REUTERS/Joshua Roberts

On Top Of The Tiger, Trump Smells Victory

Ask yourself a serious question: Could Donald Trump handle the presidency? I mean really handle it — not just wave his hands, run about, scream and shout.

March 23, 2016
Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders speaks to supporters on the night of the Michigan, Mississippi and other primaries at a Sanders campaign rally in Miami

The Biggest Losers on Tuesday Were the Pollsters

Clinton’s loss in Michigan was “shocking” and Bernie’s win “stunning,” according to The Washington Post.

March 10, 2016
telephone off the hook sepia tone

2016 Could Mark Telephone Poll’s Last Stand

Ask any pollster how confident they are that voters will really choose Donald Trump, the demagogic businessman, as the Republican presidential nominee, and they’ll say, “Not very.”

January 18, 2016
Nate Silver

Analysis: Why It’s So Hard To Understand 2016 With Numbers Alone

The problem with a data-driven approach is, when it comes to primaries, the fundamentals are not nearly as well understood or as predictive as they are in general elections.

September 15, 2015
Politics, College Droupout, Wisconsin, 2016, Campaign, Scott Walker, Top News, Marquette University, Education

What Tech Strategy Reveals About The Republican Top Tier

There may be no easier way to flummox operatives or journalists who insist on the importance of “data” and “analytics” in politics than asking them to explain exactly what the words mean to them.

June 18, 2015

New Robocall Rule Could Change Polling, What We Know About Ourselves

A new federal rule about a way to block robocalls threatens to upend how pollsters conduct public opinion surveys, jeopardizing access to information about Americans’ lives and opinions that shape policy.

June 18, 2015
via Guillaume Paumier

Most Americans Support Same-Sex Marriage, But Are Divided By Age And Ideology

A majority of Americans support same-sex marriage today, and that number will continue to increase. But the numbers show that the country is divided on the issue by age and ideology. The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, conducted from May 29-June 1, 2014, shows that 56 percent of Americans support allowing gays and lesbians to marry […]

June 23, 2014

Poll: Millennial Generation Less Religious, More Liberal Than Older Ones

By David Lauter, Tribune Washington Bureau WASHINGTON — Members of the huge millennial generation are less religious, less likely to call themselves “patriotic” and significantly more liberal than older generations, new research shows. Although adults aged 18-33 are much more likely to call themselves political independents than their elders are, they are also far more likely […]

March 7, 2014