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Thursday, July 28, 2016
polls
An attendee holds a sign in support of Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Bernie Sanders during a campaign rally in Santa Cruz, California, U.S., May 31, 2016. REUTERS/Stephen Lam

5 Reasons It’s Going To Be Very Hard For Bernie Sanders To Concede

“I think the party of Lincoln wants to win the White House,” Mitch McConnell said Sunday morning, laying out his party’s cold calculation. “The right-of-center world needs to respect the fact that the primary voters have spoken.” It’s an inauspicious sign that Democrats at this point can’t even agree on a definition of what “primary voters have spoken” means.

June 6, 2016
A sign bearing the likeness of U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump hangs in an elevator before the candidate addresses the media regarding donations to veterans foundations at Trump Tower in Manhattan, New York, U.S., May 31, 2016. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson

Why Trump’s Success With Vets In Polls Is Misleading

Trump’s particular popularity with veterans is, historically speaking, lower than it should be. Compared to polls of previous GOP presidential candidates in the summer months preceding an election, a Morning Consult survey shows that Trump’s candidacy has split the usual Republican advantage in half.

June 5, 2016
Democratic U.S. presidential candidates Senator Bernie Sanders and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton arrive on stage ahead of the PBS NewsHour Democratic presidential candidates debate in Milwaukee

Gallup: Hillary’s Supporters Are More Entusiastic Than Bernie’s

Bernie Sanders might be the “insurgent” candidate for the Democratic nomination, but don’t assume his supporters are any more enthusiastic about his candidacy.

April 5, 2016
Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks about the results of the Michigan, Mississippi and other primary elections during a news conference held at his Trump National Golf Club in Jupiter

Polls: Trump Slaughtering Rubio In Florida, And Ahead Of Kasich In Ohio

A raft of new polls in the past few days show Donald Trump remaining on track for big victories in next week’s big-state contests.

March 9, 2016
U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a press event at his Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach

Polls: Trump Ahead In Tuesday Contests. Will It Hold?

Republicans are voting in four more states on Tuesday — and Donald Trump could be on the verge of another round of victories.

March 7, 2016
Republican U.S. presidential candidate Trump gives a thumbs up as his supporters rip apart a sign being held up in front of the candidate by protestors at a rally in Portland

Trump Set For More GOP Victories On Saturday

However, he will likely not gain a majority of delegates against a field that is still working to take him down — but he could still gain some public boost.

March 4, 2016
Saffron Cafe and Bakery owner Ali Rahnamoon kisses the hand of U.S. Democratic Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton as she arrives to greet voters at his cafe in Charleston

South Carolina Polls: Clinton On Verge Of Landslide Over Sanders

Clinton appears set to win the the fourth contest with such a sweeping victory that it could restore her momentum toward the nomination — and which also might cast doubts upon Sanders’ ability to reach out beyond his base of younger white voters.

February 26, 2016
Republican U.S. presidential candidate Rubio talks with Trump as Carson looks on during a commercial break at the 2016 U.S. Republican presidential candidates debate held by CNBC in Boulder

Shock Poll: Trump Destroying Rubio — In Florida

It’s time for Marco Rubio to hit the panic button — and then hit it again, and again, and again.

February 25, 2016
U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump greets supporters at a campaign rally in Las Vegas

Trump Running Strong In All His Opponents’ Home States

A very scary thing is happening for Republicans right now.

February 23, 2016
Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton makes remarks as she meets with civil rights leaders at the National Urban League in the Manhattan borough of New York

New Polls: Hillary Clinton Way Ahead In Super Tuesday States

Hillary Clinton has had a tightly-fought race in February against Bernie Sanders, but she could soon be in for a raft of victories on March 1.

February 17, 2016
Trump takes the stage for a rally at Clemson University's livestock arena in Pendleton

Poll: Donald Trump Ahead By 17 Points In South Carolina Primary

Donald Trump is coming off his big victory in New Hampshire — and he’s got a head start in the crucial South Carolina primary next Saturday.

February 12, 2016
Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders and former Secretary of State Clinton shake hands in the midst of the Democratic presidential candidates debate sponsored by MSNBC at the University of New Hampshire in Durham

This Week In Polls: Don’t Take New Hampshire For Granite

It’s the weekend before the New Hampshire primary. And all eyes are on the polls for both sides.

February 5, 2016
Donald Trump hand thumbs up

Only One Thing Can Keep Donald Trump From Ultimate Victory: Donald Trump

Donald Trump is not the golden boy he thought he was.

February 3, 2016
U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Sanders arrives at a campaign event in Waverly, Iowa

America’s Angry Voters Divvied Up By Trump And Sanders: Poll

So who are the angry Americans? They deviate from the population in key ways: they are whiter, poorer and less educated.

January 30, 2016
U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a veteran's rally in Des Moines

This Week In Polls: Iowa, Iowa, Iowa!

It’s the weekend before the Iowa caucuses. And the polls show that everyone will be in for a roller-coaster ride.

January 29, 2016
Democratic U.S. presidential candidate and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and rival candidate U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders speak simultaneously at the Democratic presidential candidates debate in Charleston

This Week In Polls: Hillary And Bernie Going Down To The Wire

With a week and a half until the first votes are in, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are waging a stiff battle for the two kickoff contests.

January 22, 2016
CPAC Straw Poll

Polling Memo To US: Counting Conservatives Isn’t Easy

By Robert Hutton and Margaret Talev, Bloomberg News (TNS) WASHINGTON — As Iowa voters prepare to kick off voting in the U.S. presidential nominating contests Feb. 1, an inquiry into the failure of Britain’s pollsters to predict last year’s election result is raising questions about the accuracy of surveys in the race to succeed Barack […]

January 21, 2016
Bernie Sanders painting

In That Old Volkswagen Bus With Bernie, Rolling Toward 1972

Let the GOP attack machine get to work on Sanders and I’m guessing we’d soon learn that there’s no great yearning among the electorate for socialism—democratic or not.

January 20, 2016
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Trump Beats Republicans, Not Clinton, In One-On-One Matchups

Despite months of leading the Republican polls, Trump would fall short in a general election competition held today against Clinton, according to a recent poll.

December 21, 2015
Trump, polls, New Hampshire

Cartoon: Slipping In The Polls

Wait ’til New Hampshire…

December 14, 2015
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This Week In Polls: Trump Over All

Every time Donald Trump says something so outrageous that people are widely shocked and horrified — that’s when he’ll be going further up in the polls again.

December 11, 2015
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Poll: Republican Voters Massively Support Trump’s Call For Ban On Muslims

Pollster: “You know, we were a little bit surprised — and I think a bit disturbed, too — at some of the results we found.”

December 9, 2015
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This Week In Polls: Trump Wins — And Refugees Lose

Perhaps most pointedly, two different surveys show a majority of Americans opposed to taking in refugees, making the issue very lucrative for Republicans.

November 20, 2015
Ben Carson

White Evangelicals: Early Influence On GOP Race, But Prospects Then Get Shakier

White evangelical Christians are well-positioned to have a strong say in early 2016 Republican primaries and caucuses, nut they could face trouble later in the campaign season, according to a new analysis.

November 12, 2015
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This Week In Polls: The Fall And Decline Of The Jeb Bush Empire

It’s stunning to think about: Who would’ve ever thought that there just wasn’t a popular groundswell to elect the brother of the worst president in the last 100 years?

November 6, 2015