Smart. Sharp. Funny. Fearless.
Friday, December 9, 2016

Donald Trump got some more big, huge news this week: Some polls putting him in first place among the very wide field of Republicans.

In The Economist’s new YouGov poll, a U.K.-based firm that conducts surveys of selected Internet-based panels, Trump gets 15 percent among Republican voters, followed by his nemesis Jeb Bush tied with Rand Paul at 11 percent each, plus Scott Walker, Marco Rubio, and Mike Huckabee at 9 percent each.

However, most Republican voters still don’t expect Trump to actually be the nominee. That honor goes to Jeb Bush, to whom 29 percent of GOP voters appears to be the most likely nominee, followed by Paul at 12 percent, Rubio and Walker at 8 percent each — Trump gets only 7 percent.

YouGov’s Democratic poll has Hillary Clinton at 55 percent, way ahead of Bernie Sanders at 24 percent, Joe Biden with 8 percent, Jim Webb at 1 percent, and Lincoln Chafee rounded down to 0 percent. In a direct two-way race, Clinton leads with 64 percent to Sanders’ 29 percent.

Additionally, a telephone survey of North Carolina by Democratic-aligned firm Public Policy Polling has Trump in first place among Republicans there with a plurality of 16 percent, followed by Bush and Walker at 12 percent each, Huckabee with 11 percent, Rubio and Ben Carson at 9 percent, and the whole rest of the gang trailing off from there.

On the Democratic side, Clinton leads in North Carolina with 55 percent, followed way behind by Sanders at 20 percent, then Webb at 7 percent, and Martin O’Malley and Chafee at 4 percent each.

Over in Iowa, a poll by Monmouth College (based in Monmouth, Illinois, not to be confused with polls from Monmouth University in New Jersey) has Walker first among Republicans with 18 percent, then Bush at 12 percent, Huckabee and Paul at 10 percent each, and Rubio with 9 percent.

On the Democratic side in Iowa, this poll gives Clinton an enormous lead with 63 percent support, followed way back by Sanders at 20 percent,  O’Malley with 5 percent, Webb at 3 percent, and Chafee, 1 percent.

Donald Trump speaks at the 42nd annual Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) Feb. 27, 2015 in National Harbor, MD. Conservative activists attended the annual political conference to discuss their agenda. (Olivier Douliery/Abaca Press/TNS)

Click here for reuse options!
Copyright 2015 The National Memo