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Friday, October 21, 2016

Donald Trump got some more big, huge news this week: Some polls putting him in first place among the very wide field of Republicans.

In The Economist’s new YouGov poll, a U.K.-based firm that conducts surveys of selected Internet-based panels, Trump gets 15 percent among Republican voters, followed by his nemesis Jeb Bush tied with Rand Paul at 11 percent each, plus Scott Walker, Marco Rubio, and Mike Huckabee at 9 percent each.

However, most Republican voters still don’t expect Trump to actually be the nominee. That honor goes to Jeb Bush, to whom 29 percent of GOP voters appears to be the most likely nominee, followed by Paul at 12 percent, Rubio and Walker at 8 percent each — Trump gets only 7 percent.

YouGov’s Democratic poll has Hillary Clinton at 55 percent, way ahead of Bernie Sanders at 24 percent, Joe Biden with 8 percent, Jim Webb at 1 percent, and Lincoln Chafee rounded down to 0 percent. In a direct two-way race, Clinton leads with 64 percent to Sanders’ 29 percent.

Additionally, a telephone survey of North Carolina by Democratic-aligned firm Public Policy Polling has Trump in first place among Republicans there with a plurality of 16 percent, followed by Bush and Walker at 12 percent each, Huckabee with 11 percent, Rubio and Ben Carson at 9 percent, and the whole rest of the gang trailing off from there.

On the Democratic side, Clinton leads in North Carolina with 55 percent, followed way behind by Sanders at 20 percent, then Webb at 7 percent, and Martin O’Malley and Chafee at 4 percent each.

Over in Iowa, a poll by Monmouth College (based in Monmouth, Illinois, not to be confused with polls from Monmouth University in New Jersey) has Walker first among Republicans with 18 percent, then Bush at 12 percent, Huckabee and Paul at 10 percent each, and Rubio with 9 percent.

On the Democratic side in Iowa, this poll gives Clinton an enormous lead with 63 percent support, followed way back by Sanders at 20 percent,  O’Malley with 5 percent, Webb at 3 percent, and Chafee, 1 percent.

Donald Trump speaks at the 42nd annual Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) Feb. 27, 2015 in National Harbor, MD. Conservative activists attended the annual political conference to discuss their agenda. (Olivier Douliery/Abaca Press/TNS)

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  • Dominick Vila

    The fact that most Republicans agree with Donald Trump’s generalization about Mexican immigrants, and his proposal to eliminate the ISIS threat by destroying the oil fields in Iraq and then sending Exxon to rebuild them, says more about the Grand Old Party than the arrogant twit that relies on sensationalism to get the attention he wants.
    Incredibly, these are the same people who now control both chambers of Congress, our foreign and domestic policy processes, the purse, and potential Supreme Court confirmations!

    • FT66

      Dominick, myself I don’t see anything wrong on those who are supporting Donald Trump. They like what they hear from him, like those who are doing so to Bernie Sanders. Infact if I would be asked to choose (not support), I will go for Trump. The man has examples to give as a successful person. He is also a republican while Bernie is not a democratic, he is an independent.

  • FT66

    I warned everyone not to dismiss or under-estimate Donald Trump. I was attacked by some. Here we are the man is cruising his way through and no one is going to stop him. Once he will step on stage to debate, thats the time a lot will know who is Donald Trump. If I were one of GOP contender, I would start worrying a lot.

    • Dominick Vila

      The real question is not whether Trump will intimidate and dominate his opponents during the nomination process. He probably will. The real question is how many mainstream Americans are impressed with a man who relies on arrogance, confrontation, insults, threats, and overt hatred to get his way?
      There is no doubt in my mind that an important segment of the GOP, often identified as Tea Party supporters, love what Trump says and plan to vote for him. It is not clear to me that the GOP establishment is planning to do the same. I would not be surprised if they are in full damage control as we speak and trying to figure out how to derail Trump’s candidacy before it derails whatever little chances they had to win in 2016. In the end, they have nobody to blame but themselves. They have catered to the most violent, hateful, and intolerant members of our society and they now have to deal with them, and very likely join the hate fest.

  • charleo1

    Trump is real breath of hot air. And I for one am glad he’s leading in the GOP polls. Because, in my opinion, it’s high time we as a Nation, either cut the crap of the mean spirited, and misinformed nativism, and the corrosive gutter politics of Right Wing Propaganda, or embrace it, and start living by it. For example, are there really thousands of legal American Citizens being robbed, raped, and brutalized by millions of illegal immigrants pouring with impunity across an open Southern Border from Mexico, or not? Is Mexico really sending their worst to steal jobs from Americans, because their leaders are just that much smarter than ours? Is that what the politicians on both sides don’t want you to know? Obviously, a lot of the Republican Base is sure of it, and the rest of the Country ought to know the facts of the matter. Now if everything The Donald says is true. Then, let’s elect Donald Trump as the next President of the United States. If not, let’s cut the crap, and move on.