Arizona Rep. Gabrielle Giffords’ return to the House for the debt ceiling vote last night reopened the discussion of whether she might seek the open Senate seat there next year, as Sen. Jon Kyl is retiring.
Rep. Jeff Flake, her likely opponent if she does run, was sure to embrace her on the House floor.
Polls have shown she’d start with a slight lead despite the conservative tilt of the state, a sign that her tragedy — coupled with a centrist legislative record — has left her a popular figure.
Three states that narrowly swung from Barack Obama in 2012 to Donald Trump in 2016 seem likely to swing back in 2020. Polling currently gives a consistent and solid lead to Democrat Joe Biden in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Should Biden carry all three of these swing states and keep all of the states Hillary Clinton won in 2016, he will win an Electoral College majority and the presidency.
According to RealClear Politics' polling average, Biden currently enjoys a 4-point lead in Pennsylvania, a 6.4-point lead in Michigan, and a 6.7-point lead in Wisconsin.
