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Republicans are in danger of losing eight House seats, a Senate seat, and even the White House, if Texas turns blue in 2020. And Republicans are beginning to freak out.

“Republicans need to be very concerned about Texas,” Rep. Brian Babin (R-TX) told Politico on Monday. “Texas is definitely in play,” he added.

Rep. Will Hurd, one of four Texas Republicans refusing to run for reelection in 2020, is also sounding the alarm for the GOP.

“Texas is indeed purple,” Hurd told Politico. “If the Republican Party in Texas doesn’t start looking like Texas, there won’t be a Republican Party in Texas.”

Texas has 11.4 million Hispanics compared to 11.9 non-Hispanic Whites. But the lack of diversity in the House Republican caucus is obvious; it’s made up of 90% white men. Hurd is the lone black Republican in the House, and he is retiring. Among the 23 House Republicans from Texas, the lone Hispanic is Rep. Bill Flores.

In the 2018 midterm election, former Rep. Beto O’Rourke narrowly lost to Sen. Ted Cruz, which Hurd called “a wake-up call to most elected officials.”

Democrats are wasting no time in aggressively targeting a number of Republican-held seats. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), the arm of the party working to expand the House majority, opened a field office in Austin and deployed 10 staffers to work in the Lone Star State in hopes of flipping eight seats from red to blue. Several of those vulnerable Republicans are retiring rather than running again.

In 2018, the DCCC made a similar move in California, opening an office in Orange County and helping Democrats flip seven of the 14 GOP-held seats in the state.

But in Texas, it’s not just House seats Democrats are eyeing. Republican John Cornyn, the state’s senior senator, is up for reelection in 2020 and has already admitted he could be in trouble.

“The tectonic plates shifted in Texas in 2018,” Cornyn told Politico in February. “I think everybody realized we need to do something different and to address those concerns or else we’re in trouble.”

Several Democrats are vying for the opportunity to oust Cornyn, including MJ Hegar, an Air Force helicopter pilot who earned a Purple Heart for her service.

And if Democrats run the table in the state, Trump’s tenure in the White House could be in trouble. “It’s not out of the question that Democrats could make a play for the state’s 38 electoral college votes, which would all but clinch the presidency if they succeeded,” Politico reported.

Polling and election expert Harry Enten has been a skeptic of Texas turning blue, but recently had a change of heart “because Trump is a uniquely unpopular Republican in Texas.” A recent poll showed Trump’s disapproval rating in the state is a point higher than his approval rating.

“If the 2020 election were held today and it were solely a referendum on Trump, Texas would be a toss-up,” Enten wrote on CNN on Thursday.

Between Republican House retirements and Trump’s sinking popularity, Republicans deep in the heart of Texas could find themselves on the outs.

Published with permission of The American Independent.

Trump speaking at Londonderry, NH rally

Screenshot from YouTube

Donald Trump once again baselessly claimed on Sunday that the COVID-19 pandemic was "going to be over" soon, just hours after his chief of staff suggested the administration was unable to get it under control.

"Now we have the best tests, and we are coming around, we're rounding the turn," Trump said at a campaign rally in Manchester, New Hampshire. "We have the vaccines, we have everything. We're rounding the turn. Even without the vaccines, we're rounding the turn, it's going to be over."

Trump has made similar claims on repeated occasions in the past, stating early on in the pandemic that the coronavirus would go away on its own, then with the return of warmer weather.

That has not happened: Over the past several weeks, multiple states have seen a surge in cases of COVID-19, with some places, including Utah, Texas, and Wisconsin, setting up overflow hospital units to accommodate the rapidly growing number of patients.

Hours earlier on Sunday, White House chief of staff Mark Meadows appeared to contradict Trump, telling CNN that there was no point in trying to curb the spread of the coronavirus because it was, for all intents and purposes, out of their control.

"We are not going to control the pandemic. We are going to control the fact that we get vaccines, therapeutics and other mitigation areas," he said. "Because it is a contagious virus, just like the flu."

Meadows doubled own on Monday, telling reporters, "We're going to defeat the virus; we're not going to control it."

"We will try to contain it as best we can, but if you look at the full context of what I was talking about, we need to make sure that we have therapeutics and vaccines, we may need to make sure that when people get sick, that, that they have the kind of therapies that the president of the United States had," he added.Public health experts, including those in Trump's own administration, have made it clear that there are two major things that could curb the pandemic's spread: mask wearing and social distancing.

But Trump has repeatedly undermined both, expressing doubt about the efficacy of masks and repeatedly ignoring social distancing and other safety rules — even when doing so violated local and state laws.

Trump, who recently recovered from COVID-19 himself, openly mocked a reporter on Friday for wearing a mask at the White House — which continues to be a hotspot for the virus and which was the location of a superspreader event late last month that led to dozens of cases. "He's got a mask on that's the largest mask I think I've ever seen. So I don't know if you can hear him," Trump said as his maskless staff laughed alongside him.

At the Manchester rally on Sunday, Trump also bragged of "unbelievable" crowd sizes at his mass campaign events. "There are thousands of people there," he claimed, before bashing former Vice President Joe Biden for holding socially distant campaign events that followed COVID safety protocols.

"They had 42 people," he said of a recent Biden campaign event featuring former President Barack Obama. "He drew flies, did you ever hear the expression?"

Last Monday, Rep. Francis Rooney (R-FL) endorsed Biden's approach to the pandemic as better than Trump's, without "any doubt."

"The more we go down the road resisting masks and distance and tracing and the things that the scientists are telling us, I think the more concerned I get about our management of the COVID situation," he told CNN.

In his final debate against Biden last Thursday, Trump was asked what his plan was to end the pandemic. His answer made it clear that, aside from waiting for a vaccine, he does not have one.

"There is a spike, there was a spike in Florida and it's now gone. There was a very big spike in Texas — it's now gone. There was a spike in Arizona, it is now gone. There are spikes and surges in other places — they will soon be gone," he boasted. "We have a vaccine that is ready and it will be announced within weeks and it's going to be delivered. We have Operation Warp Speed, which is the military is going to distribute the vaccine."

Experts have said a safe vaccine will likely not be ready until the end of the year at the earliest, and that most people will not be able to be vaccinated until next year.

Trump also bragged Sunday that he had been "congratulated by the heads of many countries on what we have been able to do," without laying out any other strategy for going forward.

Nationally, new cases set a single-day record this weekend, with roughly 84,000 people testing positive each day. More than 8.5 million Americans have now contracted the virus and about 225,000 have died.

Trump, by contrast, tweeted on Monday that he has "made tremendous progress" with the virus, while suggesting that it should be illegal for the media to report on it before the election.

Published with permission of The American Independent Foundation.