The National  Memo Logo

Smart. Sharp. Funny. Fearless.

Monday, December 09, 2019 {{ new Date().getDay() }}

Photo  via Ron Cogswell via

Photo: Ron Cogswell via Flickr

The midterm elections are just days away, and polls show an unusual number of deadlocked senatorial and gubernatorial races across the country. Real Clear Politics lists 9 Senate and 11 gubernatorial races as “tossups.”

Here are five of the closest elections in the country as we near Election Day:

Georgia: Senate

Photo via Hyosub/Shin/Atlanta Journal-Constitution/MC

Photo: Hyosub/Shin/Atlanta Journal-Constitution/MCT

The Real Clear Politics poll average for Georgia’s Senate race shows David Perdue (R) and Michelle Nunn (D) tied exactly at 45.4 percent, with Libertarian candidate Amanda Swafford at 3.8 percent.

This average takes into account contradictory polls from YouGov, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, and Insider Advantage, among others. In all the polls, the results fall within the margin of error, so RCP‘s average is a good indicator of just how close the race is.

If no candidate tops 50 percent on Election Day, the top two finishers will advance to a January 6 runoff.

North Carolina: Senate

Photo via Harry Lynch/News & Observer/MCT

Photo: Harry Lynch/News & Observer/MCT

In North Carolina, the race between incumbent Senator Kay Hagan (D) and challenger Thom Tillis (R) is close as they head into the last week of campaigning. The latest High Point/SurveyUSA poll has both candidates locked in at 44 percent, with Libertarian Sean Haugh at 5 percent.

The RCP average for North Carolina has Hagan up by 1.2 percent.

Kansas: Senate

Photo via Screenshot: Orman for Senate/YouTube

Screenshot: Orman for Senate/YouTube

As the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion reports, Independent Greg Orman and Republican incumbent Pat Roberts are in a fierce battle for the U.S. Senate in Kansas.

The RCP average has Orman up by just 0.6 percent. The Marist poll explains that although Roberts is “still unpopular,” as the race developed, “his favorable rating has improved.”

Florida: Governor

Charlie Crist (D). Photo via Wikimedia Commons

 Photo of Charlie Crist via Wikimedia Commons

In Florida, incumbent governor Rick Scott (R) is a mere percentage point ahead of challenger Charlie Crist (D) in the latest CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Battleground Tracker. Crist was elected governor of Florida in 2006 as a Republican. He ran for Senate and lost in 2010, and became a Democrat in 2012.

The RCP average has Crist up by just 0.5 percent.

Wisconsin: Governor

Scott Walker. Photo via Gage Skidmore via Flickr

Photo: Gage Skidmore via Flickr

In the Wisconsin gubernatorial race, Scott Walker (R) started out narrowly ahead of Mary Burke (D) back in early 2013. Burke has steadily narrowed the gap, though, and now less than 1 point separates the candidates, according to the RCP average.

President Obama is slated to join Burke in Milwaukee on Tuesday to assist in some final campaigning.

Want more political news and analysis? Sign up for our daily email newsletter!


Start your day with National Memo Newsletter

Know first.

The opinions that matter. Delivered to your inbox every morning

Sen. Ted Cruz

A group of lawyers has submitted a 15-page ethics complaint to the State Bar of Texas demanding an investigation of Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) for his “leading role” in the far-reaching Republican effort to keep former President Trump in power despite his reelection loss.

The complaint — filed by the 65 Project, an organization of lawyers seeking to hold attorneys accountable for lending a hand in pro-Trump efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 elections — called for an examination of Cruz’s conduct in the weeks before Election Day in 2020 and on January 6, 2021, the day of the Capitol insurrection.

Keep reading... Show less

The House Select Committee, a bipartisan congressional panel looking into the Capitol insurrection, sent a letter on Thursday requesting an interview with a House Republican, Rep. Barry Loudermilk (R-GA), who it said led a tour through parts of the Capitol complex on January 5, 2021 — the day before a pro-Trump mob stormed the halls of Congress.

In the letter to Loudermilk, the select committee’s chairman and vice-chairwoman, Reps. Bennie Thompson (D-MS) and Liz Cheney (R-WY), said the panel had seen evidence that “directly contradicts” the claim made by Republicans on the Committee on House Administration — “of which you’re a member” — that they had reviewed security footage of the days before the Capitol attack and concluded that “[t]here were no tours, no large groups, [and] no one with MAGA hats on.”

Keep reading... Show less
{{ }}