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Is Pennsylvania in the Obama Column?

Polls of Polls Change Who’s Up
Real Clear Politics
Average
Obama
+.2
Obama
+2%
Talking Points Memo PollTracker Romney
+.1
Romney
+.1%
HuffingtonPost
Pollster
Obama
+.5
Obama
+.5
New York Times
FiveThirtyEight
Obama
+.1
Obama +2.2
Memo 
Average
 Obama +.2 Obama +1.2

Another month of fundraising is over
If you’ve ever donated to any campaign ever, you’ve probably getting deluged with pleas for more as another fundraising deadline comes to a close. The emails have become so abundant, and some would say sill, that the Obama campaign’s subject lines become part of an Internet meme that involves Ryan Gosling, of course.

Is Pennsylvania settled?
Nate Cohn at The New Republic points out that both the Romney and Obama campaigns are withdrawing their ad buys from Pennsylvania.  Nate Silver at The New York Times thinks this may just be a quirk in ad schedule. The state leans Democratic but Romney benefits from a photo ID law designed to give the state to the Republicans. And if Romney wins there, it could swing the election:

In fact, if Mr. Romney won both Pennsylvania and Ohio, he could afford to lose not just Colorado and Nevada (and New Mexico), but also Virginia.

The worst or the worst ever?

Mitt Romney’s tour of Europe and Israel is over. The Obama campaign calls it “an embarrassing disaster.” The Romney camp disagrees, of course, and blames the media for the bad press. That’s a move that always works for Republicans. But there is no doubt Mitt is glad  to be done with a tour that will be remembered either as a major mistake or as a huge obstacle he overcame.

Verdict: The polls keep ticking up for the President but if the market has priced in some intervention from the Fed that doesn’t come this week, the economy could get quite rocky.

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