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Sunday, October 21, 2018


For Republicans, 2010 was a Tea Party, with Republicans winning more elected offices than at any time since before the 1929 crash. Key parts of the coalition that elected Barack Obama — minorities and young people especially — stayed home. And the voters who showed up to vote in the midst of the worst of the Great Recession decided to give Republicans a shot.

But with the Tea Party constantly hitting new lows in popularity and Republican Party identification falling as Democratic membership grows, many of the statewide GOP candidates — especially those in purple states — are facing stiff headwinds as they seek re-election in 2014.

The New York Times‘ Micah Cohen points out that “an incumbent governor’s job approval ratings have been shown to be strongly correlated with how constituents vote.” Cohen looked at those ratings for the FiveThirtyEight blog and found that 8 of the 10 most vulnerable governors are Republicans. Of those eight, six especially benefited from or cloaked themselves with the Tea Party.

Here are the most vulnerable Tea Party governors.

Photo: Dwight Burdette