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4 Things To Watch For In Tuesday’s GOP Debate

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4 Things To Watch For In Tuesday’s GOP Debate

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By David Lightman, McClatchy Washington Bureau (TNS)

MILWAUKEE — Ben Carson and Marco Rubio, trying mightily to survive and thrive in the unrelenting spotlight surging presidential candidates must endure, face a huge new test at Tuesday’s Republican debate.

Donald Trump and Ted Cruz also are in for a crucial night, while the rest of the field is fading fast.

The latest McClatchy-Marist Poll finds Carson slightly ahead nationally, Trump close, Rubio climbing and Cruz not too far behind. The stakes are high for national newcomers Carson, Rubio and Cruz, because the more people heard about them the more they liked, giving each enormous upside — as well as potential to disappoint and plunge.

This debate will have a different look. The main stage’s eight contenders in the year’s fourth GOP debate is the smallest yet, as Chris Christie, the governor of New Jersey, and Mike Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas, failed to qualify. They’ll join Rick Santorum, a former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania, and Bobby Jindal, governor of Louisiana, in an earlier debate.

The debate’s focus is supposed to be the economy. That was also billed as the topic of the last one, which at times became a free-for-all as candidates were asked about regulating fantasy football or their biggest weaknesses. The furor over the debate’s tone prompted campaign officials to seek changes in the format. They couldn’t agree and the format’s not changing.

The two-hour debate at the Milwaukee Theatre will start at 9 p.m. EST. Moderators will include Fox Business Network’s Neil Cavuto and Maria Bartiromo and Wall Street Journal editor-in-chief Gerard Baker. The undercard will run for an hour starting at 7 p.m. EST.

Poll asking if Republicans view the candidates as part of the political establishment or as outsiders.

Poll asking if Republicans view the candidates as part of the political establishment or as outsiders. Click to enlarge.

Poll of which candidate Republican voters don't want to get the nomination. Tribune News Service 2015

Poll of which candidate Republican voters don’t want to get the nomination. Click to enlarge.

Here are four questions for the main debate:

Can Rubio take more hits?

His surge to prominence last month began with his passionate, pointed debate defense of his Senate voting record. Jeb Bush, the former Florida governor, kept tumbling after his wan challenge to Rubio, a U.S. senator from Florida. Since then, Rubio’s faced questions about using a Republican Party credit card for personal expenses while in the Florida legislature. Saturday, his campaign released an accounting of the expenses, and chances are Rubio will be armed with pointed responses to any critic. Can he stay cool when defending himself? And will the public buy his explanations?

Can Carson keep cool?

The retired neurosurgeon has been tackling questions about his personal background and views. He could be grilled Tuesday on his history with Mannatech, a nutritional supplements firm, as well as dealings with the U.S. Military Academy, assertions that Egypt’s pyramids were built to store grain, and just how violent he may have been as a teenager.

Will Trump be bombastic or reasonable?

The real estate mogul toned down his rhetoric at the last debate. But in recent media and campaign appearances he’s berated his rivals. Rubio, Trump said, is “a disaster with his credit cards.” After a new national poll last week showed Carson ahead, Trump told Fox News, “Ben can’t do the job.” Trump has to be more statesmanlike, but there’s a risk for Rubio and Carson, too. They need to show they have what it takes to stand up to world leaders, but first they have to show they can stand up to Trump.

Can anyone new break out of the pack?

Cruz is the best bet. The poll found the more a majority of Republicans see of the senator from Texas, the more they like him. For the rest, it’s getting late, and many remain stuck below 5 percent. Earlier bids to be distinctive haven’t worked. Former executive Carly Fiorina was the star of the September debate, but her momentum fizzled. John Kasich, the governor of Ohio, went on the attack at last month’s debate but it didn’t help.

___

(c)2015 McClatchy Washington Bureau. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC. Graphics: Tribune News Service (c)2015

Photo: Republican U.S. presidential candidate businessman Donald Trump (L) speaks as former Florida Governor and fellow candidate Jeb Bush reacts during the second official Republican presidential candidates debate of the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, United States, September 16, 2015. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson

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6 Comments

  1. Paul Bass November 10, 2015

    5) Can any of them actually say anything about the economy that isn’t an outright lie or a pre-canned bullet point from Fox?

    Reply
  2. FireBaron November 10, 2015

    The more they see him (Cruz), the more they like him? Who are these pollsters asking? Cruz is so far to the right, he makes Michelle Bachmann sound like a moderate!

    Reply
    1. Bill November 10, 2015

      I can’t see what anyone can see in anyone the GOP has to offer.

      Reply
  3. oldlion November 10, 2015

    Bartiromo and Cavuto? Are you kidding me? They’re dumber than the candidates. This will be like a slow pitch softball game with these lightweights.

    Reply
  4. A_Real_Einstein November 10, 2015

    No need to watch. On the rare occasion they talk about policy they will say the same things.

    1. Privatize everything
    2. Deregulate everything.
    3. Cut taxes on billionaires
    4. Cut spending but never say what you would cut that would make any difference on the budget.

    You just saved yourself 2 hours. I will watch hockey instead and miss anything but watching a bunch of morons who will never be president make complete fools of themselves.

    Reply
  5. pmbalele November 10, 2015

    I think NY times is right stating that none of
    the GOP candidates is fit for the WH job for none of them is smart. That is
    true. Can you imagine the candidates love to be called racists, bigots, hypocrites,
    corrupt, soulless (by Christie), bullies of women and poor human beings? In
    2012 at Florida GOP convention, Repubs voted to let a White woman die of cancer
    for lack of insurance. Repubs don’t like training local kids for profession
    such doctors, nurses, scientists etc.; but would rather import them from abroad.
    Romney lost when he said he did not care about 47% poor Americans. I have also
    witnessed federal republican appointed judges to be equally dumb. They know the
    law but are still stuck with their fathers’ beliefs that Blacks are
    intellectually inferior to them as White judges; that employers cannot
    discriminate etc. That is why we still see racial discrimination in governments
    and businesses. Further, can you imagine Repubs are against illegals; but at
    the same time they hire illegals in their homes, businesses and pay them cheap?
    Repubs tell us about family values. But rich Repubs, such as Gov. Sanford, Newt
    import women and then cheat on their wives. Repubs are still attacking Obama on
    job creation when reports show Obama has created more jobs in the last 7 years
    than Reagan or Bush in their 8 years as president. Repubs still believe Bin
    Laden and Yemen guy are not dead. I was not happy when Repubs say they would
    let illegals in this Country to work in jobs people born here do not want to:
    picking fruits, milking cows, working in hotels and other so call dirty work.
    They want illegals to be slaves. But the same Repubs whine why illegals are
    working and driving new cars. I agree
    with the article – all Repubs and TPs are not smart. Let us prepare to have
    Hillary as our next President.

    Reply

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