A recent NBC/WSJ national poll reported that Barack Obama is beating Mitt Romney 47-44, but is doing even better in the key swing states, where 50 percent of respondents said they’d vote for him, compared to just 42 percent for Romney. (Record levels of support among Latinos, obviously, doesn’t hurt.)
But how does he fare in a state by state breakdown? We looked at some other recent numbers to see how Obama’s is doing in the places that will decide the election.
According to a recent Quinnipiac University poll, Obama is winning Ohio 47 to 38, while another recent poll showed him up by 3. Other polls are mixed, but Obama is definitely in the lead.
Rick Santorum would have no shot in his home state. Quinnipiac shows Obama up by 6. No other polls contradict these numbers.
Republican Governor Rick Scott is not well-liked, and recent polling from Quinnipiac shows Obama up by four, an incredible swing over the past month in a state where Romney previously was more popular. The data is still mixed — definitely a toss-up.
Both Republican and Democratic pollsters show Romney with a very slight lead. Will the Democratic convention later in the year change the race?
With the help of former Governor and DNC Chairman Tim Kaine, who is now running for Senate, Obama may be able to easily lock up a state that he won in 2008.