Tag: israel
In Mideast, Dropping Diplomacy For Bloodshed Is Bad Policy And Stupid Politics

In Mideast, Dropping Diplomacy For Bloodshed Is Bad Policy And Stupid Politics

Last Wednesday, President Trump offered a new word to describe our Iranian adversary's leaders: "scum."

"They are sick people. They're led by sick people, and they're vicious, violent people," he said, adding, "As far as I'm concerned, it's just a waste of time dealing with them."

So, what are we supposed to do?

What we did was hit Iran with two of the worst days of bombing since the war started.

And what has that accomplished? Brought us to the brink, or back from the brink, the brink being the place that mediators between us and Iran say we are on. The brink of all-out, endless war, which feels like it has never really stopped.

Instead of facing our own problems and addressing them, President Donald Trump leads us in an unpopular war while gas prices and grocery check-outs go up.

Unpopular wars make for unpopular presidents, which make for bad electoral outcomes.

Sooner or later, Trump is going to have to deal with the men he calls "scum," or some of them. Calling them names will not strengthen his hand. His version of diplomacy looks more like the moves of a weaker hand. Pursuing military strength without at the same time pursuing peace leads to a dead end.

That was, coincidentally perhaps, the message of former Chicago Mayor, Congressman, and Obama Chief of Staff Rahm Emmanuel, who went to Tel Aviv to bring home his criticism of Benjamin Netanyahu and his government.

"The prime minister and his government have led Israel into a dead end," Emanuel said. Citing the importance of pursuing both military strength and peace talks, he added, "Prime Minister Netanyahu has done the former to the exclusion of the latter, and as a direct result, support for Israel is plummeting around the world."

Emanuel was voicing the opinion of most American Jews when he made clear his criticism of Netanyahu and his endless wars. He criticized Netanyahu for playing partisan politics with the GOP rather than maintaining the bipartisan support for Israel of the past.

Netanyahu did not, of course, respond. Some of his allies reportedly claimed that Rahm was not important enough to respond to; on that, they are clearly wrong. Rahm should never be underestimated, and the movement he speaks for is only growing. Others tried to paint him into a corner: as one adviser to Netanyahu posted, "There will be a place for Rahm Emanuel in between Karl Marx and Bernie Sanders when the next edition of The Vanishing Jew is published."

But Rahm Emanuel is far from a self-hating Jew. His father was born in Jerusalem. He has strong ties to Israel. His opposition to Netanyahu is shared by a majority of American Jews, who also express concern about Israel's conduct of the war in Gaza and its engaging in war crimes; a significant minority thinks Israel engaged in genocide. Younger American Jews (ages 18 to 34) are less attached emotionally to Israel and more likely to be critical.

We need a negotiated solution with Iran. Israel needs a negotiated resolution with its neighbors. Name-calling has never been a preferred tactic of experienced negotiators, and Trump is hardly proof of a new lesson in that regard. Accuse Rahm Emanuel of many things, but no one has ever said that he's not a smart politician. What he's saying right now is smart, and it's smart politics. What Trump's saying is not.

Susan Estrich is a celebrated feminist legal scholar, the first female president of the Harvard Law Review, and the first woman to run a U.S. presidential campaign. She has written eight books.

Trump's Failure To Protect The World From A Nuclear Iran Began Eight Years Ago

Trump's Failure To Protect The World From A Nuclear Iran Began Eight Years Ago

The weeks of stalemate in Trump’s war with Iran seem likely to end either in an apocalyptic bombing campaign, replete with war crimes against the civilian population, or an announced “deal” designed to obscure a massive strategic defeat. With the regime in Tehran refusing to meet Washington’s terms for shutting down its nuclear programs, Trump is poised to fail his own minimum objective for this “excursion.”

After all the destruction and cost in lives and treasure that would be a terrible outcome, as nearly every sane human being would agree. And yet despite the limp acquiescence that Trump’s idiotic and ruinous policies so often encounter, this need never have happened. Even the most hawkish analysts, who could scarcely contain their enthusiasm for Trump's belligerence, now admit that we are on the brink of an impending security disaster for the United States, Israel and the world. What they have not admitted yet is that the path leading here began with a Trump decision they endorsed in his first term -- to end American participation in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the 2015 deal with Iran reached by the Obama administration in partnership with Russia, China, and the European Union.

Whether driven solely by Trump's envy and animus toward Obama, or by the machinations of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, or both, that rash choice led directly into the current cul-de-sac. That carefully wrought agreement, crafted during nearly two years of talks and consisting of 150 pages plus detailed appendices, included an inspection regime and multiple safeguards against Iran enriching uranium to weapons grade before 2030.

The principal reason that the Iranians now have a stockpile of nuclear "dust" -- actually highly enriched uranium -- is that they began to produce the material again in 2021, three years after Trump destroyed the original agreement. His alternative to the JCPOA was to reinstate economic sanctions on Iran, in what he termed a "maximum pressure" policy to force abandonment of their nuclear project. Like so many Trump policies, it was an absolute failure and, of course, an insult to the international partners whose cooperation had been central to the success of Obama's initiative.

In his usual style, the president has sought to conceal his responsibility for the post-JCPOA fiasco behind a barrage of lies. When he pulled the United States out of the deal, he denounced it as a "decaying" and "rotten" plan that would inevitably permit Iran to acquire a nuclear arsenal. More recently he has claimed that Iran was only weeks away from building weapons that, without his intervention, would have destroyed the entire Mideast. He has promised that his negotiators -- the wholly unqualified and unethical team of Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner -- are on the verge of unveiling a "far better" agreement.

But those assertions, repeated at nauseating volume on his Truth Social pages, are entirely fictional.

Instead, as his bellicose accomplices in the Republican leadership, the neoconservative right, and the extremist government of Israel can no longer pretend not to see, we will soon confront a simple fact. The world -- and especially the United States and its allies -- would have been more secure if the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran had remained in effect during these years, with continuing diplomatic, military and economic measures to contain Iran and curb its worst ambitions, bolstered by support from our allies and even our adversaries.

The veteran Israeli journalist Nahum Barnea voiced these fears in Yediot Aharonot, warning that Iran's power has increased as a consequence of Trump's war and that his country, like the rest of the planet, is now “subject to the absolute authority of a capricious, hollow, desperate American president." As Barnea noted, the same goes for Netanyahu, who has enabled and abetted Trump even as the White House boxed him out of the ongoing talks.

With his feckless adventurism and ignorance, as well as the incompetence of his advisers, Trump bears the blame for this wreckage. But he is not alone: the guilt is shared by those who promoted his absurd candidacy and his short-sighted policies. They know who they are and so do we.

Joe Conason is founder and editor-in-chief of The National Memo. He is also editor-at-large of Type Investigations, a nonprofit investigative reporting organization formerly known as The Investigative Fund. His latest book is The Longest Con: How Grifters, Swindlers and Frauds Hijacked American Conservatism (St. Martin's Press, 2024). The paperback version, with a new Afterword, is now available wherever books are sold.

Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson's Somebody Days Are Nearing The End (Or Should Be)

Tucker Carlson's problem, it would seem, is that what he says doesn't matter, because he has a long history of not saying what he thinks. True, he once starred at Fox News, and even now his followers on social media number in the millions. But he's shifted into crackpot conspiracies and turning on Donald Trump. Anything for an audience.

Carlson long hated Trump in his heart while praise poured from his mouth. The war in Iran polls poorly as does Trump, and so Carlson uses the opportunity to inflate his diminished importance by blaming himself for making Trump possible.

"We're implicated in this, for sure," he said. "You know, we'll be tormented by it for a long time. I will be, and I want to say I'm sorry for misleading people."

On trying to mislead people, Carlson is expert.

In 1999, he wrote that Trump was "the single most repulsive person on the planet." But when Trump was elected president in 2016, Carlson wrote a Politico piece headlined "Donald Trump is Shocking, Vulgar and Right." In it he gave Trump the lightest of spankings. Trump was "imperfect."

After 2020, Carlson expressed contempt for Trump but only privately. He had a job to keep as political pundit on pro-Trump Fox News. There he was paid more than $15 million a year to air fake opinions.

When Trump tried to overthrow the results of the 2020 election, Carlson sent private messages doubting the Trump camp's claims of election fraud. "I hate him passionately," he also texted.

On air, though, Carlson tiptoed around Trump's phony assertion that Dominion Voting Systems software helped steal millions of votes. Instead, he vaguely stated that "something was wrong with the election."

After Fox dropped Carlson as a legal liability as well as pain in the butt, he rebranded himself on social media. He was now a persecuted truth-teller focused on corporate power, demographic changes and other sprawling issues.

But when Trump ran for reelection in 2024, Carlson jumped right back in line and heartily supported him in public. After the assassination attempt in Butler, Pennsylvania, Carlson said the shooting "changed everything." That's when Trump "became the leader of this nation," he said.

Thus, a "commentator" who wrote in an email that Trump's first term was "a disaster with no upside" started campaigning for him. As a warm-up act at a Trump rally, Carlson did his icky "Dad comes home" routine.

In Carlson's recent telling, Trump has been manipulated by Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu into entering the war in Iran. If true, where was the strong patriarch Carlson had been heralding for a decade?

It is Netanyahu's job to look after Israel's interests. It is the American president's job to look after America's interests. Often those interests align, but sometimes they don't.

Netanyahu had urged other presidents to strike Iran, but the other presidents declined. There may be an argument for stopping the exporter of terrorism from developing nuclear weapons. Too bad Trump's big mouth couldn't stop itself from hurting the cause with bloodthirsty threats against Iran's civilization.

I share Carlson's displeasure at Trump's many character flaws, but I didn't cover them up when Trump was more popular. Nor did I buy into the president's vows to save Obamacare or "drain the swamp" of Washington corruption. Only suckers would believe a man who stiffed his workers, oversaw six bankruptcies and transparently lied about Barack Obama not being American born.

Carlson wasn't a sucker. He knew, like Trump, how to play the chumps by selling himself as an honest man speaking his mind. Nonetheless, The New York Times just ran a long interview credulously titled "What Does Tucker Carlson Really Believe?"

Unbelievable.

Froma Harrop is an award winning journalist who covers politics, economics and culture. She has worked on the Reuters business desk, edited economics reports for The New York Times News Service and served on the Providence Journal editorial board.

Reprinted with permission from Creators.

Trump Forged Gaza Deal By Dropping His Rejection Of A Palestinian State

Trump Forged Gaza Deal By Dropping His Rejection Of A Palestinian State

Donald Trump deserves ample credit for brokering the ceasefire in Gaza, the return of Israel’s hostages, and the surge of humanitarian aid that may prevent a worse catastrophe for the suffering Palestinians. Should he feel that he has not received enough praise, he will laud himself until nobody can bear to hear another word.

But among the many ironies surrounding this moment, one fact seems central: There would be no deal if Trump and his negotiating team had not abandoned their longstanding opposition to a Palestinian state – and forced the Israeli government led by Benjamin Netanyahu to accept that change against their will.

Only weeks ago, Trump denounced the European recognition of Palestine as a “reward” to Hamas for the “horrible atrocities” perpetrated on October 7, 2023. He mocked France in particular, saying that its official support of a Palestinian state “doesn’t matter” and didn’t “carry any weight.”

Yet in hindsight, the Europeans were clearly correct to insist that only the revival of a two-state solution, much mocked in the United States, would create conditions for a ceasefire and a serious peace plan. Trump undoubtedly learned as much in his consultations with his friends (and business partners) in the Gulf states and Saudi Arabia – who could not have brought sufficient pressure on Hamas to agree to the deal’s terms, including its own disarmament and sidelining, without that fundamental concession. To be acceptable to those regimes, from Riyadh to Abu Dhabi to Doha to Ankara, any resolution had to include a Palestinian state.

That is among the reasons why the 20-point agreement that undergirds this ceasefire, and today’s joyous release of hostages and prisoners on both sides, is worth reading in full. It outlines a process for rebuilding and restoring Gaza that junks Trump’s earlier schemes to throw all the Gazans out of their homes for a gold-plated Mediterranean Las Vegas.

Instead, the deal envisions a transitional period that will conclude with a “reformed” Palestinian Authority resuming governance of the strip, and pledges, in clause 12, that “No one will be forced to leave Gaza, and those who wish to leave will be free to do so and free to return. We will encourage people to stay and offer them the opportunity to build a better Gaza.”

The framework for rebuilding “a better Gaza” includes various ideas that must have appealed to Trump, including a special board of world leaders including former British Prime Minister Tony Blair that the US president will chair. Whether those details can be sustained will be seen as the region’s future unfolds.

For reasons best known to the negotiators, however, the most important clauses were reserved for last – perhaps because they depend on the implementation of the prior clauses, perhaps because they were resisted by Israel until the very end. Set down in print, they make an indisputable departure from the hard-right positions of the Trump administration and the Netanyahu government.

The existence of a Palestinian state has long been anathema not just to Trump and Netanyahu but to the Republican right in Washington. Last month, Republican members of Congress sent a mesage to our allies in Europe and Canada scolding them for recognizing a nascent Palestine. Like Trump, who deleted the GOP's traditional platform plank supporting a two-state solution, they were content to undercut the Palestinians and allow Israel free reign everywhere from Jerusalem and the West Bank to the Golan Heights.

The stark difference between then and now is stated firmly in clauses 19 and 20 of the Trump deal, which make a promise that the world will have to redeem:

“19. While Gaza re-development advances and when the PA reform program is faithfully carried out, the conditions may finally be in place for a credible pathway to Palestinian self-determination and statehood, which we recognise as the aspiration of the Palestinian people.

“20. The United States will establish a dialogue between Israel and the Palestinians to agree on a political horizon for peaceful and prosperous co-existence.”

All the parties to this deal face a long and demanding path toward those worthy goals, and their sincerity will be tested repeatedly along the way. There can be little doubt that Netanyahu and perhaps Trump too will attempt to stall and undo those historic changes. But if the American president deserves the acclaim he is receiving today, it is largely owed to his public renunciation of the hardliners in his own party and the Israeli right.

Joe Conason is founder and editor-in-chief of The National Memo. He is also editor-at-large of Type Investigations, a nonprofit investigative reporting organization formerly known as The Investigative Fund. His latest book is The Longest Con: How Grifters, Swindlers and Frauds Hijacked American Conservatism (St. Martin's Press, 2024).

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