Tag: male voters
Male Voters Who Returned Trump To The White House Souring On Him Now

Male Voters Who Returned Trump To The White House Souring On Him Now

President Donald Trump's job approval rating is now at the lowest level of his second term, but beyond that topline is an even grimmer reality for Trump and the Republican Party: Men, the lifeblood of the GOP coalition, are souring on the president.

As Americans express frustration with the struggling economy and his military quagmire in Iran, Trump’s approval rating is now 16 percentage points underwater, according to The New York Times’ polling average.

And multiple new polls show Trump now underwater with men, a group that backed him by a 12-point margin in 2024, according to data from the Pew Research Center. Trump’s high support among men helped him overcome the gender gap, in which women voted for then-Vice President Kamala Harris by a smaller seven-point spread.

If men shift away from Trump—even modestly—it could be devastating for his party in the November midterm elections.

"Donald Trump and Republicans won in 2024 because of support from male voters,” Harry Enten, CNN’s chief data analyst, said Tuesday in a segment on the cable network. “The only way they can win, given the gender gap in this country, is support from male voters, and male voters are abandoning Donald Trump.”

Indeed, the latest Economist/YouGov survey found 45 percent of men approve of the job Trump's doing, compared with 50 percent who disapprove. That's a 20-point slide in net approval among men from the Economist/YouGov poll conducted at the same point last year.

Meanwhile, a Reuters/Ipsos survey released on Monday found Trump at just 37 percent approval with men—the lowest rating among the gender bloc in all of his years in office.

Even Republican pollster Echelon Insights found Trump underwater with male likely voters. Forty-six percent approve of the job he's doing, while 53 percent disapprove—the majority of whom (46 percent) do so strongly.

Some surveys show why Trump's support from men is falling, too: Trump’s handling of the economy, inflation, and the war in Iran.

In the Economist/YouGov poll, 43 percent of men approve of Trump's handling of the economy—down from 50 percent last March—and a similarly low share approves of his handling of the Iran situation.

YouGov/The Economist polling dataChart by Andrew Mangan/Created with Datawrapper

Indeed, male influencers—whose support helped push Trump to victory in 2024—are now speaking out against his actions. A number say they were duped by Trump's now-broken promises to lower prices and stop foreign wars.

For instance, Joe Rogan, the popular podcaster, has a predominantly male audience and endorsed Trump in 2024. But now he says Americans are now feeling "betrayed" by him.

“It just seems so insane, based on what [Trump] ran on,” Rogan said in a podcast episode released earlier this month. “He ran on ‘No more wars. End these stupid, senseless wars.’ And then we have one that we can’t even really clearly define why we did it.”

Comedian Tim Dillon, who helped Trump win in 2024, also slammed Trump’s war in Iran.

“This is a geopolitical nightmare now. It’s an economic catastrophe,” Dillon said on a recent podcast, saying anyone who is “trying to justify this as anything other than a strategic blunder” is a shill.

Put simply, Trump has guy problems. And if he doesn't fix them, it will be a bad election night for the GOP.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

Democrats Are So Back! And Other Takeaways From Blue Blowout 2025

Democrats Are So Back! And Other Takeaways From Blue Blowout 2025

As Tuesday night’s blue wave crashed down on Donald Trump, he remained silent for hours, until he could restrain himself no longer.

“TRUMP WASN’T ON THE BALLOT, AND SHUTDOWN, WERE THE TWO REASONS THAT REPUBLICANS LOST ELECTIONS TONIGHT, according to Pollsters,” the president blurted defensively on his Truth Social -- just as actually existing pollsters began to explain how very present he was on ballots across the nation even though his name did not appear.

Both Trump and his party suffered a resounding repudiation in every election on November 4, from the marquee contests in New York City, New Jersey and Virginia to statewide contests for judicial and utility commission posts in Pennsylvania and New Jersey to the massive landslide support for Democrats to redraw Congressional districts in California.

In Virginia, both Democratic Governor-elect Abigail Spanberger and her running mate Ghazala Hashmi – the first Muslim woman elected statewide anywhere -- won by landslide margins, but so did the party’s candidate for attorney general, Jay Jones, who ran under the burden of a texting scandal and beat an incumbent. Democrats in the Virginia legislature expanded their majority by more than a dozen seats, ensuring that the state’s Congressional maps will be redrawn.

We shall see in coming cycles whether this promising election, whose results were historic in many respects, was indeed a turning point in America’s struggle to preserve democracy and defeat an authoritarian threat. But while anticipating the future, we can point to significant developments right now.

  • 1. The Democratic Party is back –- and more to the point, was never as weak as suggested by its poor approval ratings in recent surveys. What became clear soon after Trump’s inauguration, contradicting those “Democrats in disarray” clichés, was that voters dissatisfied with the party would nevertheless vote for its candidates in election after election. We saw that in elections throughout 2025, notably in Wisconsin where a liberal judicial candidate crushed a radical rightist whose campaign got $20 million from Elon Musk. And we saw it last night across the country, where enthusiastic turnout and swinging “independent” votes drove astonishing margins across the board.
  • 2. The touted "Trump effect" on Black and Hispanic voters wasn’t a trend and probably nothing more than a blip. Tuesday’s exit polls showed 68 percent of Latino voters supporting Democratic gubernatorial nominee Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey and 67 percent voting for her counterpart (and former Congressional roommate!) Abigail Spanberger in Virginia. In California, 69 percent of Latino voters approved Proposition 50, Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom’s plan to redraw the state’s Congressional districts to answer Republican gerrymandering in Texas and elsewhere, while 90 percent of Black voters supported it.
  • 3. More surprisingly, male voters, and in particular younger male voters, moved sharply back toward the Democratic side in nearly every election. In Virginia, 88 percent of Black men and 55 percent of Latino men voted for Spanberger, while in New Jersey 92 percent of Black men and 61 percent of Latino men voted for Sherrill. She won male voters between 18 and 44 by double-digit margins. Younger voters in both states strongly supported the Democrats, as did younger voters (by overwhelming margins) in New York City.
  • 4. The political analysts who predicted close elections in New Jersey and elsewhere, based on polling averages that include dishonest Republican-skewed polls, were proved embarrassingly wrong. Don’t hold your breath waiting for those windbags --who constantly predict Democratic doom, even when Democrats are winning -- to confess error or correct course. The rest of us, however, can stop shrieking like Chicken Little every time some such clown sounds off. Please.
  • 5. Focusing on economic issues that unite Americans is the path that leads to Democratic victories, whether in ultra-blue New York or purplish New Jersey and Virginia. But Democrats will also come out in enormous numbers to defend democracy and aren’t afraid to fight back, as they proved in California. As Gov. Newsom noted in his victory remarks, Trump’s chief ICE goon Greg Bovino showed up to intimidate voters in his state – and only motivated a record-breaking turnout.

Finally, encouraging as this 2025 blowout is, next year will be very challenging for Democrats, who must reject complacency. Younger white males must still be won over. As Ilyse Hogue of Speaking With American Men (SAM) observed, Trump’s absence from the ballot may indeed have helped Democrats a bit by discouraging the most hostile young males from voting at all.

“The online machine that backed him in 2024 was disillusioned and fragmented,” Hogue told me, as key influencers turned against Trump for various reasons and showed little interest in the off-year elections. “While this is obviously great news that [young men] are gettable – and misogyny is not an overwhelming driver in their decision making -- I don’t want Democrats to get too comfortable.”

Joe Conason is founder and editor-in-chief of The National Memo. He is also editor-at-large of Type Investigations, a nonprofit investigative reporting organization formerly known as The Investigative Fund. His latest book is The Longest Con: How Grifters, Swindlers and Frauds Hijacked American Conservatism (St. Martin's Press, 2024).

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