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Reprinted with permission from AlterNet. 

Very few pollsters predicted Donald Trump even clinching the nomination and it took months for some to accept his run as anything other than a publicity stunt. Still, when he did win the nomination, Trump’s chances of becoming president never hovered above 30% according to Nate Silver, until approximately 8:30pm on Election Day.

However, Washington, D.C.-based professor Allan Lichtman explained why Trump would win in September 2016.

“Based on the 13 keys, it would predict a Donald Trump victory,” he told the Washington Post.

Lichtman’s system of “keys” is detailed in his book, Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016. In short, it was the political climate surrounding President Obama’s second term that laid fertile ground for an upset from the Republican side.

While 90 percent of Republicans voted for Trump, Lichtman insisted that this marriage between establishment Republicans and Donald Trump is doomed.

“I’m going to make another prediction,” Lichtman said. “This one is not based on a system; it’s just my gut. They don’t want Trump as president, because they can’t control him. He’s unpredictable.”

Lichtman then explained what he believes the House is planning.

“They’d love to have Pence — an absolutely down-the-line, conservative, controllable Republican. And I’m quite certain Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment, either by doing something that endangers national security or because it helps his pocketbook.”

And he’s not the only one making this prediction.

 

Alexandra Rosenmann is an AlterNet associate editor. Follow her @alexpreditor.

IMAGE: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump (R) and vice presidential candidate Mike Pence speak in an overflow room at a campaign event in Roanoke, Virginia, U.S., July 25, 2016. REUTERS/Carlo Allegri

Michael Flynn

Photo by Tomi T Ahonen/ Twitter

Reprinted with permission from Alternet

President Donald Trump on Wednesday announced a "full pardon" for his former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn, a key figure from the start of Russia investigation and the appointment of Special Counsel Robert Mueller.

Flynn had pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI about his contacts with the Russian ambassador during the 2016 presidential transition. The reason for his lying was never fully explained. He also admitted to working as an unregistered foreign agent for Turkey while serving on the Trump campaign, work that included publishing a ghost-written op-ed in The Hill that argued for extraditing an American resident who is seen as an enemy of the Turkish government. After admitting to his crimes, Flynn attempted to recant and withdraw his guilty plea, an issue which had yet to be resolved by the courts.

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