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Young People Are Leaving The Republican Party In Droves, New Study Finds

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Young People Are Leaving The Republican Party In Droves, New Study Finds


Reprinted with permission from Alternet.

The Republican Party controls all three branches of government, as well as 32 state legislatures and 33 governorships. Even if Donald Trump were to be impeached for obstruction of justice—a dubious proposition as long as he has the support of the far right and the GOP holds a majority in the House—Neil Gorsuch will sit on the Supreme Court for decades, as will any number of federal judges. The White House would be inherited by the likes of Mike Pence, whose politics are arguably even more regressive and sadistic than the current president’s.

It’s bleak out there for Democrats and progressives, yet the future of the GOP may be more precarious than it appears.

According to a new analysis from the Pew Research Center, 23 percent of Republican voters ages 18-29 have switched parties since 2015, against just 9 percent of Democratic voters in the same age range. As many as half of Republicans 30 and under have abandoned the party at one point or another during that time.

Credit: Washington Post

Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight finds that Trump’s approval rating has sunk to 39.7 percent, its lowest since he assumed office—and that figure doesn’t account for the latest Comey memo revelations. The danger for Republicans is real, writes the Washington Post’s Philip Bump:

Studies have shown that partisan identity is formed early on, with partisanship tending to correlate to the popularity of the president in office. As FiveThirtyEight noted in 2014, the most fervent Republican voters are those who were 18 at the outset of the Eisenhower and Reagan presidencies; the most Democratic were those who turned 18 as George W. Bush was mired in the Iraq War.

Whether the Democrats are capable of harnessing that unrest is another question entirely. As the 2016 election made clear, demographics alone won’t save them.

H/T Washington Post

Jacob Sugarman is a managing editor at AlterNet.

This article was made possible by the readers and supporters of AlterNet.



  1. Independent1 May 19, 2017

    Most of these types of articles, focus entirely on the pure political aspects of the coming years; they fail to take into account the economic side of what’s about to befall our country. Given the disaster that is GOP governance, millions of Americans are about to experience the dumbing down of America’s economy and a sharp rise in poverty, homelessness and bankruptcies; all of these are hallmarks of virtually every state now governed by the GOP. When these realities start to take shape in what are now Democrat run states- where the vast majorities of Americans actually live, a rude awakening is about to take place which may well play into an enormous public uproar.

    So it may not be politics which drives the GOP into the grave, but rather economics – a coming reality to millions of Americans, that Republicans know nothing about governing, and are only hellbent on sucking as many taxpayer dollars as is possible into the pockets of the already wealthy. And if the majority of America goes to rack and ruin, so be it.

    Here’s just one example of how that’s going to play out (the NC Dem governor asked for over 900 million in relieve aid from the recent disasters that have befallen the state and the Trump Administration approved about 6 million of the 900 million – and NC is a red state):

    Cooper: Trump administration denied 99 percent of amount recently sought by N.C. for Hurricane Matthew help

    Gov. Roy Cooper on Wednesday expressed his “shock and disappointment” in the small amount of federal disaster money the Trump administration and Congress have authorized in the latest round of funding for Hurricane Matthew recovery in North
    Carolina — less than 1 percent of what the state requested.

    Cooper had hoped for more than $900 million in federal relief, an amount he said was a conservative request made in consultation with U.S. Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., U.S. Reps. David Price, a Democrat from Chapel Hill and David Rouzer, a Republican from Johnston County, and others in the state’s congressional delegation. Just $6.1 million in federal money was approved.


    1. queenbee May 19, 2017

      I live in North Carolina and Hurricane Matthew did tremendous damage and people are still suffering. The lost of homes, food and aftermath of flooding have left many in despair. I have asked the same question regarding the President finding time to visit these areas of disaster and citizens who have experienced temporary crisis. He only cares about himself, a poor excuse for a leader.

      1. Dapper Dan May 20, 2017

        I actually visited NC for the first time in February. A good friend had moved to Oak Island last summer and it genuinely is a much nicer state than I had pictured. I know your state legislature is problematic trying to suppress voter rights but more people from blue states are moving there. The real downside is those horrific storms like Matthew and without federal aid that just delays the cleanup hurting people’s homes and businesses. When Trump goes I’d like to think Pence will go to. In 2020 we must get a President elected who works for all the people not just the wealthy

        1. InformedVoter May 20, 2017

          Sorry dapper, but President Trump is going to be in office for many years. So obozo didn’t attend the funerals of fallen heroes yet you had no problem with that. You lefties are hypocrites. When GW visited New Orleans, you claimed it was for political purposes.
          After the 2018 elections, the Dems will lose even more than the 1000 offices they lost since obozo took office. With no policy or leaders, the Dems will cease to be a force. Bernie will pick up the pieces, but he’s too old to really mount another challenge.

          1. Independent1 May 21, 2017

            And the lies just keep rolling of your worthless fingertips: Everything you post IS A LIE!!! You are a despicable subhuman creature.

            Obama Honors Fallen Soldiers

            President Barack Obama made a midnight dash to this air base Wednesday to honor the return of fallen soldiers, absorbing the ultimate cost of war as the United States endures its deadliest month of the Afghanistan campaign.

            On a clear fall night, Mr. Obama flew by Marine One helicopter to Dover Air Force Base to greet the flag-draped cases of 18
            Americans killed in action this week.

            After landing, the president, wearing a dark topcoat, got into a motorcade to a base chapel, where he met privately with families of the fallen Americans. He had arrived on the base at 12:34 a.m. Thursday and returned to the White House before dawn.


          2. InformedVoter May 21, 2017

            Sorry ID1, obozo attending once doesn’t count. He regularly refused to attend ceremonies for fallen soldiers and often didn’t even send reps. Yet he found time to stir racial unrest by attending or sending reps to services for thugs like Martin and Grey.

          3. Independent1 May 21, 2017

            Sorry lowlife but your posts are pathological lies once again!! You are such a total dirtbag, I really don’t understand how you live with yourself. Obama honored fallen soldiers as much or more than any other president!!!

            See this dirtbag (Clinton is the only president in past 30 years to not miss a Memorial Day ceremony) !

            President Obama’s decision to spend the 2010 Memorial Day weekend in Chicago rather than attending memorial services in Arlington engendered claims (like the example cited above) that he thus became the first U.S.president to skip the Arlington wreath-laying ceremony since the inception of Memorial Day. This claim is inaccurate: On several occasions in just the last thirty years, U.S. presidents have been elsewhere on Memorial Day (either vacationing or attending to other presidential duties), while other administration officials represented them at the wreath-laying ceremony:

            In 2002, President George W. Bush was in France on Memorial Day and participated in ceremonies at Normandy (site of the D-Day landings) honoring the U.S. soldiers who fought and died in World War II. In his place, Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz laid a wreath at the Tomb of the Unknowns.

            President George H.W. Bush (himself a World War II veteran) attended no ceremonies at Arlington National Cemetery during his four years in office. In 1989 he was in Rome on Memorial Day (where he led observances at an American military cemetery south of that city), and from 1990 through 1992 he spent the Memorial Day weekend vacationing in Kennebunkport, Maine, while Vice-President Dan Quayle laid a wreath at the Tomb of the Unknowns.

            President Ronald Reagan was away from Arlington on Memorial Day on four occasions during his eight years in office: In 1981, Reagan (having been seriously wounded in an assassination attempt six weeks earlier) spent the Memorial Day weekend at his ranch in Santa Barbara, California, while Vice-President George H.W. Bush laid the wreath at Arlington. In 1983, he attended a summit meeting in Williamsburg, Virginia, while Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Thayer represented the administration at the wreath-laying ceremony. In 1987, Reagan spent Memorial Day at the Camp David presidential retreat while Navy Secretary James Webb participated in the wreath-laying ceremony. And on Memorial Day 1988, he was out of the U.S., attending a summit meeting in Moscow.

            Bill Clinton was the only U.S. President in the last 30+ years to
            have attended Memorial Day ceremonies at Arlington every year throughout his term of office.


            And see this (Obama is the only president to have honored our fallen soldiers twice at Normandy):

            The term “D-Day Monument” is non-specific and could refer to any one of a number of different sites. If the term “D-Day Monument” references any of the various monuments, memorials, or cemeteries around the sites of the 6 June 1944 Allied landings on the Normandy coast of France, then appearances by U.S. presidents at any of those sites in commemoration of D-Day have been neither a long-established tradition nor a regular occurrence: such visits are a fairly recent phenomenon, and not only is President Obama one of only four U.S. presidents to have attended D-Day anniversary ceremonies in Normandy, and he is the only president to have done so more than once.


            As usual you are nothing but a totally worthless nonhuman lying sac of crap.

          4. InformedVoter May 22, 2017

            Poor ID1, you rely way too much on FAKE MSM “news” sources.
            obozo refused to wear an American flag lapel pin. mooseshell keeps kicking sand in the eyes of Americans as she routinely drags our great country down.
            obozo cancelled the national day of prayer, yet pushed through the policy to allow muslim prayers during school hours in public schools, while banning other religions the same right.
            obozo was and is a major embarrassment to our great country.

          5. Independent1 May 22, 2017

            This is the last time I’m responding to a total dirtbag who is a worthless piece of crap.

            One last post from a right-wing journalist – summary to an article:

            This is Watergate on amphetamines

            We face the prospect, a dangerous one, of an immobilized White House. A wounded president and paralyzed government pose a great enticement for foreign aggressors to strike. The chaos Trump creates will begin to affect markets, which abhor uncertainty. In short, Congress, the Justice Department and the FBI need to work diligently and quickly. The country requires a functioning chief executive and commander in chief. We will not have one as long as Trump remains in office.


          6. InformedVoter May 22, 2017

            Poor ID1, so some so called reporter from the WP writes an article of fiction (like the fake dossier) and you take it as gospel. To date, no connection of Russia influence has been revealed. No evidence of any wrong doing by President Trump has been proven.
            The FAKE MSM almost daily publish more unproven lies about President Trump. When the lies fail to grow legs, they move on to the next fake scandal.
            Despite all the “sky is falling”, President Trump’s presidency is moving along quite smoothly. He has accomplished more in 3 months that obozo did, and that’s not counting erasing obozo’s “legacy”.
            You just keep hoping that HilLIARy will wake up and be president.

    2. InformedVoter May 20, 2017

      Poor ID1, you are so poorly informed and extremely naive. What the public is waking up to is that obozocare is falling apart and that President Trump is saving and bringing jobs back. The obozo economic years were horrible for the voters, why do you think your guys lost over 1000 seats during obozo’s 8 years!

      1. Independent1 May 20, 2017

        And the pathological lying loser just keeps on with his fairy tales!!

        The Dems have lost seats the past 8 years because right-wingers have stolen elections via gerrymandering, voter suppression and outright elections fraud!! You worthless pieces of garbage are nothing but Mafia gangsters, just like in Italy!! Worthless murdering subhumans!!

        And virtually twice as many jobs were created in Obama’s 8 years as were created in the 12 disaster years under Bush 1 and 2!!!

        47 million jobs were created in the 20 years under Carter, Clinton and Obama while only 1/2 that many, 24 mil, were created under the last three worthless GOP presidents – Reagan and the 2 Bushes!!

        You are a pathetic piece of garbage!!!

        1. kep May 21, 2017

          Try again. You haven’t left that urban hellhole yet, have you. Urbanites have a very skewed view of the world. You really should get out of your bubble.

        2. InformedVoter May 21, 2017

          Poor ID1, you just keep spewing your lies and hope that those who know the truth will believe you.
          The Dems lost seats because they are losing voters! It’s simple, and it’s been proven by even the FAKE MSM pollsters.
          And no, more jobs were not created under obozo! That is a lie that the FAKE MSM likes to shout, but only uninformed idiots are not able to see through their FAKE numbers. Oh, I forgot, you still believe their FAKE poll numbers. You know, like the poll that HilLIARy herself paid for that had them change the actual numbers that showed she was losing to show she was ahead.
          You’ve had your lies shredded by so many posters, we can actually hear the wind whistling through the space in your head.

          1. Independent1 May 21, 2017

            It was like being in a real-life horror movie: “I have always known how dangerous pesticides can be…But I never thought I would one day have to go to the emergency room because of them.” – Aylin, cabbage worker

            On March 29, Scott Pruitt, Trump’s new anti-science EPA head, preemptively abolished the regulation banning chlorpyrifos, rejecting the EPA’s own scientists’ findings.

            In the last week, he also postponed the implementation of the Worker Protection Act and another rule that the UFW and their allies spent decades fighting for. Plus, Trump’s Republican Congress is pushing 3 bills that would destroy decades of progress. And unfortunately we don’t
            expect it to stop here.

            This is what happened to 19-year old Aylin and 50+ other cabbage workers as they labored at a Bakersfield, CA farm on Cinco de Mayo when they were exposed to a pesticide from a nearby farm with no warning. Aylin tells us, an hour into her shift, something strange happened. “I noticed all of the cabbage pickers around me suddenly stopped working.” Thensome of her co-workers fainted. Others started vomiting. Aylin, too, became sick. Her lips were tingling. Her mouth was dry.

            According to news reports, emergency responders performed a mass decontamination.But many of the workers had left by the time medical help arrived. Aylin went to the ER, which did a visual check up and said she was okay.

            After Aylin got home, something alarming happened.
            “I didn’t dare come inside my house when I arrived because I was afraid I would also contaminate my brother and sister who live with me,” Aylin said. “I changed clothes outside. My mom’s boyfriend accidentally used my soiled shirt to pat his face dry in the backyard. Moments later, his eyes and face got irritated…I hope nobody brought their clothes inside or hugged their children or loved ones when they got home wearing their work clothes.”

            Chlorpyrifos, one of the pesticides sprayed nearby, may be the chemical responsible for the mass poisoning. This pesticide belongs to the same chemical family as sarin, which works by attacking the nervous system. Research has shown that chlorpyrifos slows brain development and lower IQs in children. Working in solidarity with environmental groups, we recently came very close to ridding America’s farms of it when the EPA finally moved for a ban in 2015. Then came the Trump administration.

          2. InformedVoter May 21, 2017

            How naive you are. Even your so called article says it may not have been chlorpyrifos.
            Thus, as usual, without proof, you are claiming the sky is falling! You’re a joke!

          3. Independent1 May 21, 2017

            Denial, denial, denial. That’s all you worthless pieces of crap ever do. It was chlorpyrifos dirtbag. It was the only new pesticide being used in adjacent fields!!!

          4. InformedVoter May 22, 2017

            I just love catching you in your low information lies. First, the article you pasted clearly stated it was not known if it was chlorpufiros. – first lie.
            obozo didn’t ban the pesticide – it was a proposed ban and Pruitt, after listening to scientists, made the correct decision to drop the proposal. – second lie.
            If the May 5 incident “really” did occur, then why is it that no reputable news agency reported on it? Yup third lie in just one post!
            It’s comforting to see you have not lost your lying ways.

        1. 788eddie May 20, 2017

          Reality; what a concept!

        2. InformedVoter May 21, 2017

          Poor ID1, still trying to make FAKE date reality! Even HilLIARy, when she tried to distance herself from obozo, stated that the economy under obozo was “the slowest recovery, the weakest recovery, the worst recovery, the longest recovery” in decades. Hmm, so now who’s lying, you or HilLIARy? Probably both of you!

          1. Independent1 May 21, 2017

            And even Notre Dame students wouldn’t put up with Pence – they walked out during his commencement speech!!!

            Notre Dame students walk out on Pence

            Watch the video of them leaving from the right-wing website Blabber/Buzz


          2. InformedVoter May 22, 2017

            You’re very naive and keep demonstrating in every way. College educated, having been indoctrinated by the so called learned university staff, leave college as low information liberals. A couple of years into the work force and they realize how much they have been lied to and switch.
            Millennials support President Trump with an 80% approval of his polices. Duh.
            Colleges claim they’re diverse, then why is it they don’t hire anyone that disagrees with their fake manta?

  2. Aaron_of_Portsmouth May 19, 2017

    Most older adults get set in their ways, unable or unwilling to accept new ideas and change bad habits, and usually just get too comfortable doing the same thing. Why any young person would feel comfortable in the first place with any Party that insists on a male-dominated approach to decision-making, composed mainly of stodgy and stuffy farts, and a Party that beckons a monochromatic view of humanity, defies common sense and logic. The Right Wing concept is a feature found in nations across the globe, and those most attracted to the stultifying atmosphere that suffuses Right Wing organizations are themselves devoid of a sense of joy and cheerfulness. Just take a look at Mitch McConnell, Paul Ryan, John McCain, etc. Too afraid to embrace a variety of viewpoints—just a conglomerate of morose and whining individuals who would feel OK just eating meat and potatoes non-stop. Along with the required alcoholic beverage and watching that scintillating TV offering—“FOX and Friends”, this is paradise for the average Conservative.

    Change requires confidence, flexibility, and a vision of what would be beneficial to all of human society—qualities that Conservatives sorely lack in principle(thus the term “Conservative”).

    1. Elizabethjsteven May 20, 2017

      Google is paying 97$ per hour! Work for few hours and have longer with friends & family! !mj321d:
      On tuesday I got a great new Land Rover Range Rover from having earned $8752 this last four weeks.. Its the most-financialy rewarding I’ve had.. It sounds unbelievable but you wont forgive yourself if you don’t check it
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  3. I of John May 20, 2017

    The proof is in the pudding. We will see.

    1. Independent1 May 21, 2017

      Let’s hope what the article reports comes to pass in the next elections (that more young people vote Democrat).

      This article from a few weeks back seems to substantiate younger folks abandoning a party that supports Trump:

      Most US young adults see Donald Trump presidency as illegitimate

      A majority of young adults – 57% – see Donald Trump’s presidency as illegitimate, including about three-quarters of blacks and large majorities of Latinos and Asians, a new poll has found. GenForward is a poll of adults age 18 to 30 conducted by the Black Youth Project at the University of Chicago with the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.

      GenForward poll shows 62% disapproval of Trump performance.


      Maybe there’s hope.


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