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Friday, October 28, 2016

According to a new poll from GOP firm Harper Polling, Senator Mary Landrieu (D-LA) is very vulnerable in her 2014 re-election battle, which may ultimately decide which party controls the Senate in the 144th Congress.

The poll finds Landrieu in a statistical dead heat with her likely Republican opponent. U.S. Representative Bill Cassidy (R-LA), widely considered the Republicans’ best hope to defeat the Democratic incumbent, holds a narrow 47 to 45 percent lead over Landrieu, with 8 percent undecided; that 2 percent advantage is within the poll’s plus-or-minus 4.01 percent margin of error. Landrieu leads Rob Maness, a retired Air Force colonel who hopes to outflank Cassidy from the right, by a 47 to 41 percent margin, with 12 percent unsure. Additionally, Landrieu is tied at 44 percent with State Senator Elbert Guillory, who has thus far shown no signs of entering the race.

Despite the Republican lean of the poll — 48 percent of those sampled described their ideology as conservative (compared to 34 percent who said moderate and just 10 percent who said liberal), and respondents said they agree with the goals and objectives of the Tea Party by a 39 to 35 percent margin (with 26 percent not sure). Landrieu is relatively popular among Louisiana voters — 45 percent of respondents view her favorably while just 41 percent view her unfavorably, and voters approve of her job performance by a 44 to 37 percent margin.

Still, just 43 percent say that Landrieu deserves re-election, while 46 percent say that it’s time to elect someone new. Landrieu’s perceived closeness to President Barack Obama, who holds a dismal 32 to 60 percent approval rating in Louisiana, certainly factors into this result — 67 percent say Landrieu generally votes with President Obama’s policies, while just 8 percent say she votes against him, and 25 percent are not sure.

Landrieu is a top target of the Republican Party in the 2014 elections; the GOP almost certainly needs a win in deep-red Louisiana in order to gain the net of six seats it needs to win the Senate majority. To that end, the National Republican Senatorial Committee recently made Landrieu the target of its first ad of the midterm election cycle.

Given the conservative lean of both the poll and the state — Mitt Romney won Louisiana by 17 percent in the 2012 presidential election, and Landrieu is the only Democrat holding a statewide office — Republicans should be somewhat concerned by the Harper Polling/Conservative Intel generic ballot. When asked whether they would prefer to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate for Senate, 42 percent said Republican, 41 percent said Democrat, 12 percent said not sure, and 5 percent said someone else.

Also concerning for Republicans are the awful numbers for Governor Bobby Jindal. Jindal, who was once considered a serious contender for the Republican Party’s 2016 presidential nomination, is now barely more popular than President Obama in the Pelican State. Just 32 percent approve of Jindal’s job performance as governor, while 60 percent disapprove and 8 percent are not sure. The results echo a Southern Media & Opinion Research poll from April, which found voters fed up with Jindal’s right-wing policies.

Photo: Mary Landrieu via

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Copyright 2013 The National Memo
  • Sand_Cat

    President Obama’s approval / disapproval ratings in Louisiana are far from “dismal”; they are a badge of honor and an exposure of the willful ignorance, racism, and just plan meanness of those answering the poll.

    • Vernon Sukumu

      I agree with you I was born and raised there.

  • Dominick Vila

    The problems so many Democrats are facing in the South and the Bible Belt have little to do with their qualifications, record, or vision, and much to do with issues such as abortion, gay rights, the Affordable Care Act, equal pay for women, the Civil Rights Act, gun control, etc. Add old prejudices and ignorance to the mix and the problems that people like Landrieu are facing are not surprising. It almost seems as voices of reason, pragmatism, and focus on what is best for our society are negatives that work against us.

  • Jack Hughes

    There’s nothing more pathetic than wasted pandering.

  • charleo1

    I’m sitting here trying to figure out how, given the homogeneous nature of the GOP,
    that 60% of Louisiana voters disapprove of Jindal’s job performance as Governor.
    But, are considering sending a Republican to the Senate, that would vote 99.9%
    of the time exactly the way Bobbie Jindal would, if he were sent to Washington.
    But, that’s kind of par for the course in Republican Land these days. Someone is
    always coming along promising to be more of a hard liner. Less willing to com-
    promise on the big issues of healthcare, immigration, balancing the budget, or
    cutting the size of government. That said, some of the policies put forward by the President, and the Left, are about cutting our dependence on not only foreign oil, but fossil fuels in general. Advancing the idea of investing in alternative, renewable energy
    sources. So, the person making their living, as millions of Lousisianians do, in the
    oil business. It is as they say, are voting solely with their pocketbook. I have a theory.
    Just a theory. But, I’d be willing to bet the number of people who think climate change
    is a hoax, is directly connected to the size, and influence in their respective States
    of big oil, and big coal.

  • centerroad

    Jackass article writer lends credibility to gop propaganda poller. The headline should read, “gop poller finds gop supports Landrieu”.

    I guess you clowns didn’t learn anything from Nate Silver.

    • centerroad

      “managing editor”. I guess the cub reporter position was already taken.

      Goodby national memo.