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Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Republicans who do not want to pass comprehensive immigration reform have been telling themselves a story: A Republican can win the White House in 2016 by just picking up the white voters who didn’t show up for Mitt Romney in 2012.

But even the mastermind of this theory, Real Clear Politics‘ Sean Trende, admits that just getting these “missing white voters” to reappear at levels not seen since 1984 isn’t enough.

“In fact, if the African-American share of the electorate drops back to its recent average of 11 percent of the electorate and the GOP wins 10 percent of the black vote rather than 6 percent, the next Republican would win narrowly if he or she can motivate these ‘missing whites,’ even without moving the Hispanic (or Asian) vote,” Trende writes.

The stated goal of supporting immigration reform for the GOP — at least according to Karl Rove, the evil  genius behind the “winning” 2000 and 2004 presidential campaigns and the man who helped the GOP sweep a record number of elections in 2010 — is to win at least 35 percent of the Latino vote.

Romney won around 28 percent, less than John McCain, who with 31 percent in 2008 took in a smaller share than George W. Bush’s 40 percent in 2004.

Trende’s math depends on Republicans maintaining Romney’s “success” at least with Latino voters. This probably seems easy to Republicans who recognize that Romney’s craven endorsement of “self-deportation” in the GOP primary should be the low point in the history of GOP/Latino relations.

But that was before the Democratic Senate passed an immigration reform bill that the president said he would sign. That was before that bill was sent to the House, where the Republican leadership took out their list of go-to Obama complaints and arranged them in a somewhat logical order.

The bill is too big.  It’s “rushed,” “secret and underhanded.” While admitting our “immigration system is broken,” they attacked the Senate bill for trying to fix the whole system.

This may have pleased the “missing white voter” Republicans. But it sure pissed off the “Walter Cronkite of Hispanic news.”


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  • JD Mulvey

    “Demands on corporations to pay a fairer share rarely stand up in court.”

    I’d like to hear more about this –the link you give to a Wapo article doesn’t support the claim that these ordinances “rarely” stand up in court.

    That author gives two examples where such a law was vetoed –so hadn’t actually been enacted yet. Then he asserts that in one case a Maryland law was overturned by a federal court, but doesn’t give any details.

    I’m going to need more if I’m to conclude that any such law is unconstitutional on its face.

    • jasonmemo

      “Rarely” is too strong. Thanks. Edited to “may not.”

  • charleo1

    Who doesn’t think demanding employers to pay a living wage will hold up in
    court? When every store Walmart builds costs taxpayers a million or more dollars per year, subsidizing their payrolls? Well, isn’t this how Democrats finance their
    vote buying strategy, paid for by hard working taxpayers? That supposedly addicts ever more people to government largess? Then, when the work ethic of hundreds
    of millions are hopelessly corrupted, the reign of terror on the, “Demo-Rats plantation,” begins! Or, correct me if I’m wrong. We shouldn’t ask Walmart to pay
    these hard working taxpayers a little more, and some healthcare, to foil the
    the Democrats evil plan? But, if low wages are the problem, why has the GOP for the last 50 years, worked tirelessly, and with great success, defeating unions, with Right to work Laws, opposed every increase in the minimum wage, enacted the earned income tax credit, and child tax credits, for lower middle, and low income workers? Essentially, giving them what amounted to a raise from Uncle Sam, so their employers wouldn’t need to. Supporting hugely unfavorable, and unfair, to American workers, tax and trade laws, that encouraged, and paid employer’s expenses to move jobs out of the Country, where wages are much lower. And if lower wages off shore depress wages, and they do. Then, lower wages paid to illegal immigrants here must also have depressed them. Right, or wrong? So, why is it after Reagan’s amnesty in ’84, to 2008, there have been 16 years of Republican Presidencies, 12 of which Republicans controlled both Houses of Congress, and 11 million illegal workers, came in, and remain in the Country. Presumably, happily, and still illegally employed. But, the only reform that the Right supports, is more enforcement at the border. That, and a domestic regimen of round ’em laws, combined with a joining of Local, State, Federal, and Military actions that I can guarantee, will be so ugly they are going to wish they had passed immigration reform.

  • Sick of everything

    God I hate the GOP. Useless bastards.

  • Dominick Vila

    In all fairness, WalMart is not the only employer abusing their employees. The trend since at least the 1980s has been to replace full timers with part timers and temporaries, to pay as little as possible, and to deny employees a benefit package. The goal is to maximize profits in a very competitive environment.
    This situation exists as a result of an ambivalent government and a segment of our society that does not realize we are being abused and exploited. Many fellow Americans believe what is happening is normal and that we enjoy better working conditions and a higher standard of living than the rest of the world. The latter is only true if we compare ourselves to countries like Bangladesh, it is patently false if we compare ourselves to what workers earn in Europe, Japan, Australia, Canada and other industrialized nations.

    • Allan Richardson

      It will lead to a Biblical economy: Pilate (government officials), Herod (corporate bosses), and Caiaphas (big time evangelists) in their palaces, everyone else in the street begging (but, remember how the parable of the rich man and the beggar Lazarus turned out).

  • Allan Richardson

    WalMart and its corporate ilk say “we don’t want illegal immigrants bringing down wages of American workers, THAT’S OUR JOB!”

  • owenscomp

    We are fast becoming a theocracy run by plutocrats. VOTE, Register to VOTE, VOTE.

  • Budjob

    EVERYONE that shops at the “Chinese Warehouse” AKA Wal-Mart is responsible for the demise of this economy.EVERY DAMN ONE OF YOU!!!!

  • jointerjohn

    I’m an old union man from forty years back and when Walmart came to our town we still had three union supermarkets that paid good wages and benefits. I watched from the Walmart parking lot as lifelong union workers and their family members rolled their cartloads of goods out of Walmart. Soon, the union stores were out of business. Don’t tell me there was a big difference in prices either because there wasn’t, I checked. As long as we the public are willing to spend our money on goods and services without regard to the plight of the workers who deliver them, things will only get worse. Sometimes low price is no bargain at all.