Tag: john cornyn
Ken Paxton

Polling Memo Warns Paxton Nomination Could Sink Texas GOP In November

Texas Republicans are once again sounding alarm bells about the state’s U.S. Senate seat, saying that if Republicans nominate state Attorney General Ken Paxton in the May 26 primary runoff, it will create a drag on the entire Texas GOP ticket.

A polling memo commissioned by a super PAC backing Republican Sen. John Cornyn in the runoff said that nominating Paxton would be catastrophic, potentially costing Republicans the Senate seat, multiple House races, and possibly even control of the state House.

“A Paxton nomination creates measurable risk across every tier of the Texas ballot,” said the memo, which was obtained by Texas Tribune reporter Gabby Birenbaum. “The Senate race tightens significantly. Congressional pickup opportunities close. Republican-held seats that should be safe require active defense. And the Texas House majority—which took years to build—faces exposure it would not face with Cornyn at the top of the ticket.”

Among the poll’s findings is that the gerrymander Trump forced Republicans to undertake—which was supposed to net the GOP five U.S. House seats—could collapse if Paxton were the nominee.

The memo highlights four prospective GOP flips, saying, “With Paxton at the top of the ticket, all four opportunities effectively disappear. The drag is consistent across every key voter group—independents, suburban women, soft Republicans—and large enough to turn each district from a competitive opportunity into a likely Democratic hold.”

What’s more, the memo says that Paxton would jeopardize otherwise safe GOP House seats, including that of now-former Rep. Tony Gonzales and GOP Rep. Beth Van Duyne. The survey finds that suburban, independent, and Hispanic voters would likely turn away from the party in droves.

“The damage does not stop at lost opportunities. Redistricting produced several Republican-held congressional districts that should be safe holds under any normal electoral environment. With Cornyn at the top of the ticket, they are—comfortable margins, no defensive spending required, resources free for offensive races. Under a Paxton nomination, many of these seats become a problem,” the memo said, though it overstates Cornyn’s benefit to those seats, many of which are still competitive even if he is the nominee.

The Cornyn-supporting super PAC released the memo a little more than two weeks before the May 26 runoff in a desperate attempt to build support for Cornyn’s flailing candidacy.

The most recent public poll, commissioned by the University of Houston’s Hobby School of Public Affairs, found Paxton leading Cornyn, 48 percent to 45 percent.

However, the same survey found that electability arguments don’t seem to be working. When asked which Republican would be the strongest opponent to Democratic nominee James Talarico, GOP primary voters were split, with 43% saying Cornyn and 43% saying Paxton.

Cornyn, for his part, had been frantically trying to secure Trump’s endorsement, changing long-held positions and heaping embarrassing amounts of praise on Trump. And right after the initial primary, it seemed Trump was finally going to get off the sidelines and endorse Cornyn, according to reports at the time. But Trump has so far reneged on his pledge to make an endorsement.

It’s possible Cornyn’s supporters hope this memo scares Trump into backing Cornyn

In the process, though, they released a memo that shows Texas is competitive even if Cornyn is the nominee.

The poll showed Cornyn up only two points over a “generic Democrat” in the race, while Paxton trailed by four points. (Of course, Talarico is far from generic.) It also showed Democrats holding onto two of the gerrymandered U.S. House seats even with Cornyn atop the ticket.

Ultimately, the midterms will prove brutal for Trump and Republicans—whether or not Paxton is the Texas Senate nominee.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

Trump Hardliners Raging Over His  Expected Endorsement Of John Cornyn

Trump Hardliners Raging Over His  Expected Endorsement Of John Cornyn

Some of President Donald Trump's biggest cheerleaders are irate at reports that he will soon endorse Sen. John Cornyn over MAGA acolyte and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in Texas' GOP Senate primary. They say that Cornyn is a wolf in sheep's clothing who won't advance Trump's agenda.

Multiple right-wing podcasters and MAGA influencers begged Trump not to bow to the pleas from establishment GOP lawmakers to intervene in the May 26 Texas runoff, which both Cornyn and Paxton advanced to Tuesday night after neither received 50 percent in the primary.

"President Trump says he will soon endorse in the Texas Senate GOP race, & whoever he doesn’t endorse must drop out. Hopefully he endorses @KenPaxtonTX, because @JohnCornyn has a long record of being anti-Trump, pro-Islam, weak on illegal immigration, and anti 2A," right-wing agitator Laura Loomer—who has successfully gotten Trump to fire government employees for insufficient loyalty—wrote in a post on X.Loomer later posted a 2023 article in which Cornyn said Trump shouldn't run for president again. "John Cornyn has never been a Trump loyalist,” she added, in a clear attempt to try to stop Trump from backing Cornyn in the race.

Sara Gonzales, a host on the right-wing BlazeTV network, also urged Trump not to back Cornyn.

“I am one of your biggest supporters and I am urging you as someone who is in the Texas grassroots: do NOT endorse Cornyn,” Gonzales wrote in an X post addressed to Trump. “It will be one of your biggest mistakes. The majority of Texas voters voted AGAINST Cornyn last night. We don’t want him!”

Far-right conspiracy theorist Mike Cernovich said in a post on X, “Endorsing Cornyn will be more gutting to the base than the Iran air strikes”—a nod to the “America first” crowd that felt betrayed by Trump starting yet another open-ended war in the Middle East."We finally have a real opportunity to remove a swamp rat GOP senator for his betrayals. If Trump screws that up with yet another disastrous endorsement, it will be a total scumbag move," right-wing radio host Jesse Kelly wrote in a post on X.

Even former Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, a MAGA supporter who has recently distanced herself from Trump, also slammed the president for trying to shut down the runoff.

"This is wrong and the people of Texas should be able to vote for WHOEVER THEY WANT!!! NOT the candidate Trump demands," Greene wrote in a post on X. "People are furious over this and if Trump does this, it could actually be the real reason Texas Senate seat flips blue. Stealing people’s opportunity to elect their leaders by force will definitely piss off voters and will lead to even more sitting it out."

Ultimately, it's unclear when Trump will make his endorsement—and if Paxton will even agree to drop out of the race.

In Texas, James Talarico's Primary Victory Sets Up A Real Senate Race

In Texas, James Talarico's Primary Victory Sets Up A Real Senate Race

There is something afoot in Texas.

In what is likely the most-watched and most-contentious Senate primary of the cycle, for both parties, Democrats nominated state House Rep. James Talarico, while the top two Republicans are headed to a runoff after both failed to hit 50%. That race pits Sen. John Cornyn against crooked Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. Cornyn’s crime is being a relatively normal conservative Republican at a time when MAGA demands the worst of the worst.

On the Democratic side, Rep. Jasmine Crockett entered the Senate race after she was drawn out of her district by the GOP’s mid-decade redistricting gambit. She has built a strong base of support with her wildly entertaining trolling of President Donald Trump and his lackeys in the Republican Party.

Yet it was that very public and acerbic persona that made her a risk for Democrats in a general election. At a time when Republicans are facing a demoralized and tepid base electorate, Crockett—an outspoken Black woman—threatened to give them new motivation to vote. Talarico looks like a generic white guy and speaks like a preacher (because he’s a Presbyterian seminarian), and that has advantages in a conservative state like Texas.

Yeah, it’s icky to go there, but it’s a political reality. In our discussion this past weekend on the 2028 Democratic presidential field, many of you advocated for white men precisely because it’s the safer bet in our f’d up country. It’s the reason South Carolina’s Black electorate overwhelmingly chose Joe Biden in their 2020 presidential primary: that community knows better than anyone the challenges our country still faces in electing women and candidates of color. In Texas, Latinos, feeling particularly burned by Trump and hungry for blood, went heavily for Talarico.

Crockett was never able to fully neutralize the electability argument, even though polling showed little difference between the two candidates (with Talarico polling only a sliver better). And given the stakes to Texas and our nation, there is real reluctance among Democratic voters to take risks.

Ironically—and despite the efforts of angry stans online—this wasn’t a simple progressive vs. conservadem fight, with race and gender serving as shorthand for ideology. Yes, Crockett is a member of the House Progressive Caucus, but she also had strong detractors on the progressive left who pointed to her donor history, including PAC money from BlackRock and Lockheed Martin. “To call her in any way the progressive or leftist candidate is a misnomer,” Adam Green of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee told NOTUS. “She’s a somewhat effective anti-Trump troll and resistance liberal, but is not one of us when it comes to a progressive populist or anti-corporate warrior.”

That’s a harsh assessment, and probably too simplistic, but it does highlight how messy the ideological lines in this race really were. But given electability concerns, ideology was at best a sideshow.

For his part, Talarico has become a genuine political sensation over the past few years, thanks largely to a style of messaging that Democrats rarely deploy anymore. A former public school teacher and now a seminary student (with a year remaining in his studies), he speaks openly about faith while making an unapologetically progressive case on issues like abortion rights, LGBTQ equality, and economic fairness.

Instead of avoiding religion, he leans into it—quoting scripture while arguing that Christian nationalism has corrupted the faith and that progressive values are closer to the teachings of Jesus than the politics of the religious right. This is stuff you and me both understand intrinsically, but Democrats have failed to effectively message.

That combination—progressive politics delivered in the language of morality and faith—is unusual enough in modern Democratic politics that it’s helped propel Talarico far beyond Texas. It also comes wrapped in a cultural authenticity that resonates in Texas, where he needs actual votes. He’s a teacher, a preacher-in-training, and a guy who can talk about faith, community, and public service in a way that feels natural rather than focus-grouped.

Clips of his speeches and legislative moments have gone viral online, building a national following long before this Senate race took off. The Trump administration sees him as enough of a threat that they are now investigating The View for hosting him, while CBS spiked a Stephen Colbert episode featuring him out of fear of governmental reprisal.

Crockett has it too, but in a different way. Her viral moments come from her willingness to verbally body-slam Republican nonsense, which Democratic voters understandably love after years of watching Democrats bring a spork to a gun fight.

But when it came time for Democratic primary voters to choose between two charismatic candidates, electability loomed large. Both resonate nationally, but all that matters here is what Texans think.

Lone Star Democrats want to win, and they want to win badly. With Paxton a very real possibility on the Republican side, that urgency has only grown.

So when Texas Democrats made their choice, they went with the candidate they believed best fit their state.

In this political climate, Crockett might very well have won.

Talarico certainly can.

Meanwhile, the two noxious Republicans get to blow their cash and beat the crap out of each other for the next three months. Perfect.

Markos Moulitsas is founder and editor of the blogging website Daily Kos and author of three books.

Reprinted with permission from Daily KosReprinted with permission from Daily Kos

GOP Senators Stammer And Cower Over Trump's $230 Million Taxpayer Shakedown

GOP Senators Stammer And Cower Over Trump's $230 Million Taxpayer Shakedown

Three GOP senators were caught off guard Wednesday when asked about President Donald Trump’s outrageous demand that the Department of Justice pay him $230 million in restitution for legal fees related to his many criminal prosecutions.

“Well, it seems odd,” said Thom Tillis of North Carolina—who is retiring from the Senate—when approached by CNN’s Manu Raju in the Senate halls. “I think he's in the difficult position where he's asking for something that he would approve. I think it's terrible optics.”

Sen. John Cornyn, meanwhile, opted for a tried-and-true among Trump apologists: pleading ignorance.

“I want to find out more about it,” the Texas lawmaker said. “Because I'm—I don't know what these details are.”

Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy appeared particularly off balance, stammering, “Can I? You're telling me this right now—I mean, who—can I kind of track it down? So let me do—before I comment—let me, let me, let me read that on my own.”

This Republican trio joins House Speaker Mike Johnson in claiming they have only just heard the news, seemingly waiting to see how the convicted felon in the Oval Office responds to the predictable backlash before offering any substantive position on the matter.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

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