Smart. Sharp. Funny. Fearless.
Monday, October 23, 2017
nate silver
Tax, Taxes, Donald Trump, Ethical Dilemma

5 Ways Trump And The GOP Are Campaigning Like Losers

Images of Latinos lining up to vote have shaken Trump back to reality. He sees voters being allowed to vote because they arrived in line before the polls closed as “rigged.”

November 6, 2016

Why FiveThirtyEight’s Prediction Model May Be Inflating Trump’s Chances

If Trump loses Nevada, based on early voting numbers, Silver says he wins in only nine percent of scenarios. That’s a far cry from the 35 percent mark he reached in FiveThirtyEight’s latest estimate.

November 6, 2016
Nate Silver

Analysis: Why It’s So Hard To Understand 2016 With Numbers Alone

The problem with a data-driven approach is, when it comes to primaries, the fundamentals are not nearly as well understood or as predictive as they are in general elections.

September 15, 2015