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Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, a Tea Party favorite and rising star in the Republican presidential race, released her first TV ad in Iowa today:

In addition to continuing to play the Iowa roots card–one that is a true asset, as they like their own in this state, Democratic Senator Tom Harkin having cruised to victory in the Democratic caucus there in 1992 before Bill Clinton won the nomination–Bachmann comes out definitively against raising the debt ceiling, no matter what.

This could prove to be a litmus test much like universal healthcare was in 2007 for Democrats. Indeed, despite his candidacy ultimately proving disastrous for himself and his family, Edwards successfully pushed the candidates to the left on the issue, and we should look for Bachmann to do the same in the other direction on the debt ceiling.

Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour

Three states that narrowly swung from Barack Obama in 2012 to Donald Trump in 2016 seem likely to swing back in 2020. Polling currently gives a consistent and solid lead to Democrat Joe Biden in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Should Biden carry all three of these swing states and keep all of the states Hillary Clinton won in 2016, he will win an Electoral College majority and the presidency.

According to RealClear Politics' polling average, Biden currently enjoys a 4-point lead in Pennsylvania, a 6.4-point lead in Michigan, and a 6.7-point lead in Wisconsin.

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