The National  Memo Logo

Smart. Sharp. Funny. Fearless.

Monday, December 09, 2019 {{ new Date().getDay() }}

Kay Hagan

Senator Kay Hagan (D-NC) still leads all the likely challengers in her 2014 re-election battle, a new Public Policy Polling survey shows.

According to the poll released Tuesday, Hagan is up double digits on every Republican polled:

At this point it doesn’t matter who the Republicans put forward though — Kay Hagan has a wide lead over all of them. She’s up 12 on Heather Grant at 48/36, 13 on Jim Cain and Lynn Wheeler at 50/37 and 48/35 respectively, 14 on Mark Harris at 50/36, 15 on Thom Tillis at 51/36, 16 on Greg Brannon at 52/36, and 17 on Phil Berger at 53/36. Hagan is up by at least 16 points with independents in every matchup.

These numbers are relatively unchanged from July, when Hagan held comfortable leads over all her potential rivals.

Hagan’s solid advantage is built largely on Republican ambivalence about the party’s prospective candidates. U.S. Representative Virginia Foxx — who had been the frontrunner, for better or worse — announced in late August that she would not run, leaving a vacuum in the polls — 43 percent of Republicans say they don’t have a preference between the candidates, and none of them register more than 13 percent support. Berger leads the way at 13 percent, followed by Tillis at 12 percent, Cain at 11 percent, Grant at 8 percent, Bannon at 6 percent, Harris at 5 percent, and Wheeler at 2 percent.

Complicating matters for Republicans, their top two candidates are closely associated with the increasingly unpopular state government. Berger is president pro tempore of the state Senate, while Tillis is Speaker of the House. Either would seem an easy target for the moderate Hagan in a statewide campaign.

Tar Heel State Republicans do have some reason for optimism. Just 43 percent approve of Hagan’s job performance, while 39 percent disapprove, and none of the Republican candidates has more than 50 percent name recognition. This suggests that Hagan could be quite vulnerable once Republicans coalesce around a single candidate. Still, given Hagan’s weak approval and North Carolina’s Republican lean, the freshman Democrat should be pleased with her strong standing in this pivotal election.

The full results of the poll can be seen here.

Photo: Third Way via Flickr.com

Advertising

Start your day with National Memo Newsletter

Know first.

The opinions that matter. Delivered to your inbox every morning

Mark Levin

Politico reported Friday that John Eastman, the disgraced ex-law professor who formulated many of former President Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 election results, was also apparently in communication with Fox News host Mark Levin. The story gets even more interesting from there, revealing the shell game that right-wing media personalities engage in while doubling as political operatives.

A legal filing by Eastman’s attorneys reveals that, among the messages Eastman is still attempting to conceal from the House January 6 committee are 12 pieces of correspondence with an individual matching Levin’s description as “a radio talk show host, is also an attorney, former long-time President (and current board chairman) of a public interest law firm, and also a former fellow at The Claremont Institute.” Other details, including a sloppy attempt to redact an email address, also connect to Levin, who did not respond to Politico’s requests for comment.

Keep reading... Show less

Sen. Wendy Rogers

Youtube Screenshot

There have been powerful indicators of the full-bore radicalization of the Republican Party in the past year: the 100-plus extremist candidates it fielded this year, the apparent takeover of the party apparatus in Oregon, the appearance of Republican officials at white nationalist gatherings. All of those are mostly rough gauges or anecdotal evidence, however; it’s been difficult to get a clear picture of just how deeply the extremism has penetrated the party.

Using social media as a kind of proxy for their real-world outreach—a reasonable approach, since there are few politicians now who don’t use social media—the Institute for Research and Education on Human Rights decided to get a clearer picture of the reach of extremist influences in official halls of power by examining how many elected officials participate in extremist Facebook groups. What it found was deeply troubling: 875 legislators in all 50 states, constituting nearly 22% of all elected GOP lawmakers, identified as participating members of extremist Facebook groups.

Keep reading... Show less
{{ post.roar_specific_data.api_data.analytics }}