Tag: gop
How Big Is The MAGA Cult, Really? Smaller Than You May Imagine

How Big Is The MAGA Cult, Really? Smaller Than You May Imagine

As we survey the wreckage of Trump's second term, it is often said that half the country voted for this, or worse, half the country is fine with this. That isn't true.

MAGA is a bit of a moving target, but a recent Economist/YouGov poll found that only 27 percent of all voters described themselves as "MAGA supporters" and a perhaps surprisingly low 54 oercent of Trump voters so identified. In other words, a minority of the voting public and only a little over half of the GOP is Trump's loyal base.

A new survey from More in Common, an international pro-democracy organization (I sit on its global board), offers a more granular look at Trump 2024 voters and provides further evidence that MAGA is definitely not half the country. They canvassed over 18,000 Americans over eight months. In looking over their findings, the group categorized the Trump voters into four clusters: MAGA Hardliners, Anti-woke Conservatives, Mainline Republicans and the Reluctant Right. Their conclusion? Trump voters were a coalition, not a cult.

The MAGA Hardliners

These are the people we usually picture sporting red hats. They are highly religious, are 91 percent white, mostly over 45 and less educated than other Trump voters — only 24 percent hold a college degree or higher compared with 29 percent of total Trump voters. They have little trust in institutions, believe that a sinister cabal runs media, business, and politics, and are not averse to their leader ignoring the Supreme Court or other constitutional checks in order to "get things done."

A lamentable majority (60 percent) of the Hardliners say their man should serve a third term. (In case you're wondering, yes, they do know the Constitution imposes a two-term limit, because it was included in the question.) Nearly three quarters think we should "use our military to round up everyone who came to the U.S. illegally, put them in mass detention camps, and deport them." Seventy-four percent say voting for Trump is part of "living out my faith," and 94 percent (75 percent strongly) believe that God intervened to save Trump's life in Butler, Pennsylvania, so that he could make America great again.

This crowd cannot be trusted with power. They are conspiratorial, cultish, dismissive of constitutional limits and punitive toward their perceived political enemies. There isn't much good to say about them except this: They represent only 29 percent of Trump 2024 voters.

The Anti-Woke Conservatives

This next group is a little different. Among Trump voters, they are the least likely to say their faith determines their votes (14 percent versus an average of 27 percent among all Trump voters), but also the most hostile to Democrats. This is an alienated bunch who believe (91 percent) that wokeness is a very serious problem plaguing America. So, while that was enough to put them in the GOP column, only 33 percent agree that Trump should punish his opponents. This group represents 21 percent of Trump's coalition.

The Mainline Republicans

Making up some 30 percent of the coalition, these are the most likely to say that they are Trump supporters and Republicans equally, the least likely to say America is in decline (39 percent versus 58 percent of all Trump voters) and somewhat cool (43 percent) to ignoring court orders. Fifty-four percent of this group, compared with 76 percent of all Trump voters, agree with the statement "The woke left has ruined American education, news, and entertainment."

The Reluctant Right

Of this final cohort, only a scant majority even identifies as Republican, and they were the most likely to say they voted for Trump because he seemed less bad than Kamala Harris. This group, which represented one in five Trump voters, was the most likely to say they were ashamed of what happened on January 6. Only 28 percent of this group favored rounding up illegal immigrants and deporting them (compared with 52 percent of all Trump voters). Twenty-five percent of the Reluctant Right say they have doubts about or regret their vote entirely. That's a start.

The Hardline MAGA group believes all of the worst things, but it's worth noting that some of the policies associated with Trump 2.0 have far less support among the rest of the coalition. Only 31 percent support deporting immigrants to third countries.

The Economist/YouGov poll found further fissures suggesting that Trump voters are not a monolith. Asked whether they supported increases or decreases in spending on Medicaid, for example, which the GOP cut by $1 trillion in last year's "Big Beautiful Bill," only 28 percent of Trump voters favored decreasing spending.

Trump's base is hate-filled and dangerous, but it is not the majority. Nor is it half of the country. As a January Pew poll found, only 27 percent of respondents say they support all or most of Trump's policies, down from 35 percent when he took the oath of office. Nearly all of that decline is attributable to Republicans. The erosion is proceeding fast, and based on the small size of the cult, there is plenty of room for more. Onward!

Mona Charen is policy editor of The Bulwark and host of the "Beg to Differ" podcast. Her new book, Hard Right: The GOP's Drift Toward Extremism, is available now.

Reprinted with permission from Creators

Michael Whatley

GOP's North Carolina Senate Pick Backed By Election Denier, Alleged Spouse Abuser

Republican Michael Whatley is turning to election deniers and alleged domestic abusers to help raise money for his U.S. Senate campaign in North Carolina.

According to an invitation posted on Instagram, Whatley will headline a September 25 fundraiser in Pinehurst, NC, co-hosted by Mike Hardin, the District Attorney of Moore and Hoke Counties who has been accused of emotionally and physically terrorizing his estranged wife.

Victoria Hardin said in May 2024 court filings that her husband pushed her to the ground and bruised her arm a few weeks after she asked him for a divorce. She also alleged that he hacked into her password-protected electronic devices, impersonated her in text messages, and withdrew $173,000 from their joint bank account without consent.

“Ms. Hardin had hoped that the parties would be able to resolve the legal matters arising from their separation privately and cooperatively,” Victoria Hardin’s attorney told the news outlet The Assembly. “Unfortunately, that was not possible. The pleadings and motions Ms. Hardin filed speak for themselves.”

Mike Hardin denies all of the allegations.

Another co-host of the fundraiser is Cleta Mitchell, an attorney who advised President Donald Trump on his efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election. Mitchell reportedly participated in a phone call in which Trump asked Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to “find” 11,780 ballots that would change the election results in that state.

In 2021, Mitchell was forced to resign from her law firm because of the call. The call was central to a criminal indictment brought against Trump in August 2023.

Whatley served as chairman of the Republican National Committee from March 2024 to August of this year. It is widely believed that Trump handpicked Whatley for that role because of his willingness to embrace election fraud conspiracies.

“Regardless of how these lawsuits come out around the country with the presidential race, we do know that there was massive fraud that took place,” Whatley said in a November 2020 radio interview. “We know that it took place in places like Milwaukee and Detroit and Philadelphia.”

The fundraiser will also feature Republican Rep. Richard Hudson, who currently serves as chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee. Both Hudson and Whatley have come under fire for supporting odious figures in the past, most notably failed gubernatorial candidate Mark Robinson, who has a long record of racist and misogynistic remarks.

Tickets for the fundraiser range in price from $250 to $14,000.

Whatley’s likely Democratic opponent is former Gov. Roy Cooper. An Emerson poll from August found Cooper leading Whatley 47 percent to 41 percent with 12 percent undecided. It is expected to be one of the most expensive U.S. Senate races ever.

Reprinted with permission from American Journal News.

Donald Trump

What Presidents Must Do When Violence Erupts -- And What Trump Did Instead

On the evening of April 4, 1968—barely two hours after Martin Luther King Jr. was assassinated on a motel balcony in Memphis—President Lyndon B. Johnson addressed the nation from the White House. His words were brief, solemn, and unmistakably presidential:

“America is shocked and saddened by the brutal slaying tonight of Dr. Martin Luther King.”

Johnson condemned the assassination in unambiguous moral terms. He called on “every citizen to reject the blind violence that has struck Dr. King, who lived by nonviolence.” And then he offered a prayer that King’s death would “strengthen the determination of all men of good will to work for understanding, and for justice, and for the rule of law.”

In the same breath, Johnson turned his remarks outward. He urged Americans to “stand against the poison of hatred which has led to this tragedy.” And he reminded a country reeling from yet another political murder that “we can achieve nothing by violence. We can achieve everything by working together.”

The Johnson who delivered those words was in profound political trouble. Just a week earlier, battered by public opposition to the Vietnam War and facing revolt from within his own party, he had stunned the country by announcing that he would not seek reelection. The very man who now appealed to nonviolence had spent much of the previous year clashing bitterly with King over the war in Southeast Asia.

By any cynical calculus, Johnson might have tried to spin the assassination into political advantage. He might have underscored the rupture between himself and King, or cast the tragedy as vindication of his own beleaguered presidency. Instead, he rose to the occasion.

And, not incidentally, the Democrats lost the bitterly divided election to Richard Nixon, who ran on a program of law and order. (Nixon too was appropriately mournful, suspending all political activity in the two weeks after the assassination.) Historians often point to this moment as marking the country’s political transition—from the broad consensus of the Great Society to the bitter polarization of the Southern strategy and its aftermath that afflicts us still. Yet Johnson, the consummate political animal, chose a higher road.

The following day, Johnson spoke again, this time in longer form. His message was consistent:

“Together, a nation united, a nation caring, a nation concerned, and a nation that thinks more of the Nation’s interests than we do of any individual self-interest or political interest—that nation can and shall and will overcome.”

Johnson passed the test of presidential leadership. It is, in truth, not a very high bar: every American president, faced with a national tragedy born of violence, has understood the duty to call for unity and reject violence.

Nearly 100 years earlier, Lincoln set the template in his second inaugural, conjuring “malice toward none” amid the carnage of civil war. Chester Arthur, elevated by Garfield’s assassination, called for calm. John F. Kennedy, after the murder of Medgar Evers, urged reconciliation.

Bill Clinton, in the wake of Oklahoma City, urged Americans: “Let us teach our children to resolve their conflicts with words, not weapons.” It was classic presidential cadence—words that sought not only to soothe the nation but to call out the better angels of our national character. These are the moments when Americans look to the president not as a partisan combatant but as a custodian of the national soul and a healer of bitter divides.

That is, until Trump.

After last week’s shooting of Charlie Kirk, Trump delivered what was likely the pettiest and most hateful presidential response to a national tragedy in American history. Instead of rising above partisanship, he canonized Kirk as a martyr for “truth and freedom.” He rattled off a list of supposed right-wing martyrs without acknowledging that political violence has touched all sides. He cast his own base as uniquely persecuted and left deliberately unmentioned the victims of hate crimes and political violence outside his camp. So in the days following the assassination of Minnesota Speaker Melissa Hortman and her husband earlier this year, Trump couldn’t even bother to offer condolences to Governor Tim Walz, saying, “I could be nice and call, but why waste time?”

Worse, Trump moved directly to assign blame: not to the shooter, not to the broader forces of hatred, but to his political adversaries. “Radical left” forces, Trump declared, had created the climate that encouraged this violence. In one press exchange he went further:

“We have radical left lunatics out there, and we just have to beat the hell out of them.”

The words, far from a call to calm and shared purpose, were an incitement to further confrontation. They came from the same place as his refusal on January 6, 2021, to condemn the insurrectionists who stormed the Capitol on his behalf. His instinct then, as now, was not to quell chaos but to feed it. Where other presidents have instinctively sought to dampen the flames, Trump reaches for gasoline.

Other presidents have stumbled at critical junctures. Nixon in the heat of Vietnam, Grant amid Reconstruction violence, Hoover during the Depression. But Trump’s embrace of hate and division is unerring and bottomless. He never fails to take the worst choice.

Trump is a dark figure, and this is a dark moment for America. Never before has a commander in chief so thoroughly conflated the nation’s needs with his own political fortunes, so reflexively exploited tragedy to sow greater discord. At a time when the country needs a call to unity, he supplies a fresh wave of division.

And he is not alone. Trump’s champions amplify his message. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, a favorite of the Trump right, echoed the line almost verbatim: “Charlie Kirk’s death is the result of the international hate campaign waged by the progressive-liberal left.” In the U.S., figures like Laura Loomer and others in Trump’s orbit repeated the script: blame the opposition, stoke grievance, sow chaos all while ignoring the political violence committed against their so-called enemies. It is a vile lie, but one that patriots are forced to fight against day after day.

The presidency has never been the province of saints. Johnson himself, brilliant and venal, lied relentlessly about Vietnam. Nixon resigned in disgrace. Grant’s administration was mired in scandal. Yet when tragedy struck, even flawed presidents understood the difference between personal ambition and national duty. Trump is the singular exception. He is simply incapable of unifying the country he proclaims to want to make great again. His compass points only toward division, hatred, and self-interest.

The question for the country is how to respond when the highest officeholder is the one modeling the worst instincts. Americans cannot rely on the president to supply the words of unity that once seemed automatic. That responsibility falls to us, and to leaders outside the Oval Office on all sides of the political spectrum who are willing to say plainly that violence is never an answer.

We already have our hands full trying to parry Trump’s weekly outrages against the Constitution.

But this is the added tragedy of the Trump presidency: in the moments when America most needs a voice of unity, it receives only the echo of its own divisions, amplified and distorted by the man charged with healing them.

And so we are left with the questions that Johnson and other presidents answered correctly without hesitation: Will America stand united against the poison of hatred? Will it reject violence as a political tool, even as it embraces diversity of thought? Will it choose the difficult path of working together? The answers, this time, must come not from the president, but despite him.

Reprinted with permission from Harrylitman.

Spencer Cox

Utah Governor's Soothing Remarks On Kirk And Radicalization Enrage Bannon

Utah Gov. Spencer Cox (R) admitted Sunday that right‑wing activist Charlie Kirk, who was fatally shot at a university in Utah on Wednesday, had “said some very inflammatory things, and some corners of the web that’s all people have heard.”

During an appearance on CNN Sunday morning, Cox told host Dana Bash, "But he also said some other things about forgiveness. He said some amazing things about when things get dark, putting down our phones, reading scriptures, going to church, talking to our neighbors. He said that we have to engage and that's what I appreciate most about Charlie Kirk."

The governor said there are elements who benefit from radicalizing the nation, and added, "I'm not one of those."

"We need to find out how this happened and we need to stop it from happening."

Cox made these remarks in response to Bash's question about MAGA commentator Steve Bannon calling the governor "a national embarrassment in a time where we need action."

Bannon and other conservative activists have also been critical of FBI Director Kash Patel's handling of the investigation into Kirk's murder.

"He tells us to sing Kumbaya and hold hands with Antifa. This is a time to declare Antifa a domestic terrorist organization and have the FBI go kick down some doors," Bannon said of Cox during his recent podcast.

Reacting to his comment, the governor said, "Well, again Mr. Bannon is angry and rightfully so. And I'm not saying we have to just sing Kumbaya and hold hands. What I'm saying is we actually should disagree. I think Charlie represented that better than anyone."

Cox has kept a notably measured tone in public remarks since the killing of Kirk, resisting the rush to assign blame even as tensions soared. From the outset he called for unity and responsibility rather than inflammatory rhetoric, urging people to think deeply about how political discourse has deteriorated.

At a news conference Friday, after authorities announced that a suspect was in custody, Cox acknowledged his own sorrow and anger, but repeatedly emphasized the need to “turn down the temperature.”

Meanwhile, conservative social media accounts are criticizing the governor for his Sunday remarks. Liberal commentators, on the other hand, pointed out that MSNBC contributor Matthew Dowd was fired for making a similar remark.

Some MAGA accounts went on to call the Utah governor a "closet liberal."

RedWave Press, a conservative digital platform, wrote on the social platform X: "PATHETIC: Utah Gov. Spencer Cox (R): 'Charlie [Kirk] said some very inflammatory things and some corners of the web that’s all people have heard.' How is preaching Biblical values 'inflammatory?' This makes my bl00d boil!"

Author Shannon Watts wrote: "Matthew Dowd was fired for saying this."

Reprinted with permission from Alternet

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