The National  Memo Logo

Smart. Sharp. Funny. Fearless.

Monday, December 09, 2019 {{ new Date().getDay() }}

A raft of new polls in the past few days show Donald Trump remaining on track for big victories in next week’s big-state contests.

Any potential Trump victories in Florida or Ohio would absolutely force home-state candidates Marco Rubio and John Kasich out of the race, respectively — leaving Ted Cruz as the remaining anti-Trump GOPer.

Also, keep in mind that the Republican field is now shifting into winner-take-all states: if Trump were to win these by even a single vote statewide, he would get all of their delegates. And if he’s winning these states by landslides, he gets the intangible benefit of a huge boost of great publicity and an increase in his supporters’ morale — and a corresponding plummet for anyone else.

The latest polls in Florida:

  • Fox News: Trump 43 percent, Rubio 20 percent, Cruz 16 percent, and Kasich 10 percent.
  • Associated Industries of Florida is the closest one: Trump 33 percent, Rubio 27 percent, Cruz 16 percent, and Kasich 12 percent.
  • Quinnipiac University: Trump 45 percent, Rubio 22 percent, Cruz 18 percent, and Kasich 8 percent.
  • CNN: Trump 40 percent, Rubio 24 percent, Cruz 19 percent, and Kasich 5 percent.
  • University of North Florida: Trump 36 percent, Rubio 24 percent, Cruz 16 percent, and Kasich 9 percent.
  • SurveyUSA: Trump 42 percent, Rubio 22 percent, Cruz 17 percent, and Kasich 10 percent.
  • Monmouth University: Trump 38 percent, Rubio 30 percent, Cruz 17 percent, and Kasich 10 percent.

And the latest polls in Ohio:

  • The newest release from Fox News is the first outfit to have Kasich ahead in his home state: Kasich 34 percent, Trump 29 percent, Cruz 19 percent, Rubio 7 percent.
  • Quinnipiac University: Trump 38 percent, Kasich 32 percent, Cruz 16 percent, and Rubio 9 percent.
  • CNN: Trump 41 percent, Kasich 35 percent, Cruz 15 percent, and Rubio 7 percent.
  • And from Democratic-aligned firm Public Policy Polling: Trump 38 percent, Kasich 35 percent, Cruz 15 percent, and Rubio 5 percent.

And as a bonus, there is also a SurveyUSA poll in North Carolina: Trump 41 percent, Cruz 27 percent, Rubio 14 percent, and Kasich 11 percent. This state, however, is still voting proportionally.

Photo: Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks about the results of the Michigan, Mississippi and other primary elections during a news conference held at his Trump National Golf Club in Jupiter, Florida, March 8, 2016. REUTERS/Joe Skipper

Advertising

Start your day with National Memo Newsletter

Know first.

The opinions that matter. Delivered to your inbox every morning

Ivanka Trump told the House Select Committee investigating the violent January 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol that she accepted former Attorney General William P. Barr’s assertions that her father’s stolen election claims are “bullshit.”

But the New York Times revealed on Tuesday that for more than a month after the election, Trump’s fruitless legal crusade to overturn the 2020 election results had his eldest daughter’s complete and total backing. Per the Times, Ivanka told a documentary film crew in mid-December 2020 that she wanted Trump to “continue to fight until every legal remedy is exhausted” because “a lot of Americans” were supposedly questioning “the sanctity of our elections.”

Keep reading... Show less

Wandrea "Shaye" Moss

YouTube Screenshot

Georgia election worker Wandrea “Shaye” Moss was collateral damage in Fox News’ campaign to prop up Donald Trump’s false claims of election fraud following the 2020 presidential election.

In December 2020, the network’s prime-time hosts and “straight news” personnel alike baselessly suggested that Moss and her mother and fellow election worker, Ruby Freeman, had participated in a fraud scheme. The Fox personalities don’t seem to regret their actions: After Moss described the impact those conspiracy theories had on her life to the January 6 House select committee on Tuesday, the network devoted all of 14 seconds to her testimony.

Keep reading... Show less
{{ post.roar_specific_data.api_data.analytics }}