Tag: elon musk
Billions Squandered: New Report Details Absurd Waste Of Musk's DOGE

Billions Squandered: New Report Details Absurd Waste Of Musk's DOGE

Since retaking the White House, President Donald Trump and his team have forced hundreds of thousands of federal workers out of their jobs. Ostensibly, they did that to save money. Realistically, it seems to have hurt the economy.

Due largely to the so-called Department of Government Efficiency, the federal workforce has shrunk by 352,000 jobs on net since January 2025, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Surely, that saved us oodles? And soon the glorious efforts of Trump and former Shadow President Elon Musk, who ran DOGE, will trickle down and bless us all, right?

Not so much. The administration’s slipshod efforts to shove out as many workers as fast as possible, using a combination of mass firings, forced resignations, and shuttering agencies, is estimated to have cost the U.S. economy at least $165.6 billion. That comes from a new report by the Partnership for Public Service, a nonpartisan nonprofit focused on civil service.

DOGE claims to have saved $215 billion through job cuts and other measures, but those numbers are heavily inflated. For instance, as of this past August, DOGE had claimed to save roughly $54 billion in canceled contracts, but Politico could verify savings of only about $1.4 billion.

“Who is getting fired matters. How they’re getting fired, will there be lawsuits?” Dominik Lett, an analyst at the libertarian Cato Institute, told the Associated Press in March, adding that “we don’t know how much DOGE has saved.”

What DOGE has cost us, though, might be easier to measure.

In its report, the Partnership for Public Service drills down on the cost of the Trump administration’s antics.

First, there was the “deferred resignation program,” a truly grim idea. To speedily shrink the federal workforce, Musk sent out a ridiculous “Fork in the Road” email, just as he did when he took over Twitter, and over 150,000 federal workers took the offer.

Deferred resignations weren’t intended to be a cost-saving measure, which becomes clear when you learn that all of those employees were paid through at least Sept. 30, 2025. Instead, the real idea was to hobble the government by starving it of workers. But as a result, the Partnership for Public Service estimates that the administration shelled out over $4.5 billion to keep workers paid but not working. It’s hard to tell exactly where this money might be coming from. The “Fork in the Road” email came via the Office of Personnel Management, but it isn’t clear what authority OPM would have to pay for deferred retirements, since employee salaries are paid by their agencies.

Approximately 10,000 employees who left in the first 12 months of Trump 2.0 were entitled to roughly $763 million in severance pay. Thousands more, though, were placed on an “extended administrative leave,” where they were paid but not allowed to work or visit their offices. This happened at agencies Trump was trying to dismantle, like the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, where leave-related costs are pegged to be about $152 million. Employees stuck in administrative limbo at the U.S. Agency for Global Media cost us all about $126 million, without any pesky government work in return. Over at the U.S. Agency for International Development, employees cooling their heels came with an estimated price tag of about $298 million.

You get the picture.

The rehiring of fired employees—arguably one of the dumbest things that happened since Trump took office—has run up about $12 million in costs. To date, the government has rehired over 25,000 workers.

But rehiring is costly. Workers need all sorts of things when they are onboarded, even at a place they have worked before. They need to get access to buildings and IT services. They need to sign fresh paperwork. They might need additional training.

The largest cost shown in the Partnership for Public Service’s estimate is for “disengaged workers”—people who remain employed but do the minimum. A Gallup report from several years ago found that disengagement costs an employer roughly 34% of every disengaged employee’s salary.

Federal workers became disengaged not because they are lazy sods who hate Trump but because they’ve been put in trauma, an explicit goal of OPM head Russell Vought. Employees watched their colleagues get fired en masse, their ability to serve the public was impeded or destroyed, and no one knew what arbitrary costs were coming next. That disengagement is estimated to cost $53 billion in lost engagement and productivity.

Funding DOGE itself cost an estimated $81 million.

DOGE was never about saving money. Eliminating over 300,000 federal jobs was never about saving money, either. All this is doing is compromising the work of government and costing us a fortune.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

Market Plunge: How Trump's Inept 'Wealth Tax' Smacks His Billionaire Buddies

Market Plunge: How Trump's Inept 'Wealth Tax' Smacks His Billionaire Buddies

There is an effort by several progressive unions and other organizations to put a five percent wealth tax for the state’s billionaires on California’s ballot this fall. It’s not clear they will succeed in getting it on the ballot or how the initiative will do (I’m in), but Donald Trump has already one-upped them. Thanks to his management of the economy and his decision to go to war in Iran, he has reduced the wealth of the country’s richest people by far more than the sponsors of this initiative could ever hope.

In 2026 to date, the S&P 500, a broad measure of the stock market, is down by almost 7.0 percent. The NASDAQ, which is where the tech companies controlled by folks like Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg live, is down by almost 10 percent. That means Trump may have cost Musk $60 billion, and that’s in just three months. Who knows where he will be by the end of the year.

If anyone thinks I’m being perverse by celebrating a decline in the stock market, try thinking again, or just thinking for the first time. The stock market is not a measure of economic well-being. It is a measure of the wealth of people who own stock.

There are three basic reasons for the stock market to rise. The first is the expectation that the economy will grow more rapidly and that corporate profits will therefore rise more rapidly along with the rest of the economy. The second is that investors expect that after-tax profits will rise at the expense of wages or due to lower taxes. The third is due to a bubble, or “irrational exuberance” to use former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan’s great term.

Only the first reason reflects good news for the economy. The other two are negatives from the standpoint of the bulk of the population. There is no reason for the rest of us to be applauding a shift from wages to profits or a larger share of the tax burden to be left to ordinary workers. Nor should we be delighted about a bubble that distorts investment decisions and gives the rich even more disproportionate ability to command economic resources while it lasts.

I’ll leave it to others to speculate on the main causes of the decline in the market this year, but I would put my money mostly on number three, a bit less irrational exuberance, but also a bit of number one, more pessimism about future growth prospects. But regardless of the cause, the rich are considerably less rich because of Trump’s actions.

I know that even many progressives will find rooting against the stock market difficult to stomach, but let me urge using your head instead of looking at your 401(k). The rich own half of all corporate stock. When the market goes up, they get richer compared to everyone else. That is definitional. For progressives to both root for a rising stock market and then complain about wealth inequality is like the old joke about the kid who kills his parents and then begs for mercy because he’s an orphan. But serious economists do this for real.

To be clear, I have long emphasized focusing on income inequality rather than wealth inequality, partly for this reason. But no one cares what I say. I’ll also mention that the complaint that we should be worried about wealth buying political power is equally off base. Elon Musk, with $300 billion rather than $600 billion, still has far too much power. (And tell me your plan to cut his wealth in half with tax policy.) If we’re going to be serious, we have to address structural issues on controlling the media. (Sorry folks, it matters more what people see between the political ads than what they see in the ads.)

Just to be clear, I know many non-rich people (like me) also have money in the stock market. They will lose too when the market tumbles. I’ll make two points on this issue.

First, if you’re looking for a policy that doesn’t hit anyone you care about, you should go into a different line of work. Such policies do not exist in this world.

I recall working with a coalition pushing for a financial transactions tax that could raise close to $150 billion a year (0.5% of GDP), overwhelmingly at the expense of the financial industry. A major concern was that this could also hit middle-income people with their 401(k)s.

That was not altogether wrong, but what we were talking about was someone with $200k in their retirement account may have to pay $40 a year due to the tax.[1] Really, this is a big problem?

The other point is that if we are primarily lowering stock prices by getting rid of irrational exuberance, then the income flows from 401(k) stock holdings will be little affected. This means that $80k in stock may still provide the same capital gains and dividends as $100k did in a bubble-inflated stock market. I know that it will be hard for the folks who just lost 20 percent of their wealth to stomach, but I am an economist, not a psychologist.

Trump’s war in Iran is abhorrent for many reasons, first and foremost the needless loss of life, but it is imposing real costs on the world economy. His tariff and immigration policies are also horrible, as are his efforts to increase greenhouse gas emissions. But insofar as these have led to a loss of wealth for the rich jerks that have been buying favors from him, I will shed no tears.

Dean Baker is a senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research and the author of the 2016 book Rigged: How Globalization and the Rules of the Modern Economy Were Structured to Make the Rich Richer. Please consider subscribing to his Substack.

Reprinted with permission from Dean Baker.

Behind Vance's Fraudulent 'Anti-Fraud' Task Force, A Racist Myth

Behind Vance's Fraudulent 'Anti-Fraud' Task Force, A Racist Myth

Fans of pet-eating migrant stories are thrilled to hear that Vice President JD Vance is heading up an anti-fraud task force operating out of the White House. As best anyone can tell, the purpose is to drum up absurd allegations of fraud against prominent Democrats, like California Governor Gavin Newsom and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker.

If the reference to pet-eating migrant stories is too obscure, let me remind everyone. During the presidential campaign, Vance admitted that he invented stories about Haitian immigrants eating people’s pets in Springfield, Ohio, to advance the Trump ticket’s anti-immigrant political agenda. This is important background when considering the sincerity of his new anti-fraud crusade.

The other important background item is that Trump just gave us an anti-fraud crusade last year. Doesn’t anyone remember Elon Musk running around with his chainsaw and his “super-high IQ” DOGE boys? He was supposed to find trillions of dollars of fraud and send us all $5k dividend checks. I still haven’t gotten my check.

What fraud is JD Vance’s team going to find that Elon Musk’s crew somehow missed? We don’t have to believe that Musk is some sort of super-genius, but surely he is not completely incompetent. He had a large team of anti-fraud crusaders that invaded one government agency after another. If there was large-scale fraud, it’s hard to believe they couldn’t produce at least some evidence.

But the Republicans all seem super-excited about this rerun. They even got Trump’s top all-purpose adviser, Steven Miller, to hype the project. Miller said:

“I believe, and I know President Trump believes, that when this theft is exposed, we will see that if all of it were stopped, it would be enough to balance the budget, ….. The extraction of wealth from American taxpayers to people who don’t belong here is the primary cause of the national debt.”

This statement tells everything there is to know about Vance’s fraud project. It is yet one more chance to yell about black and brown-skinned people ruining the country. Exploiting racism is the one thing Trump does better than anyone else.

Just to remind the number challenged, there is no remotely plausible world where fraud connected with undocumented immigrants can be anywhere in the ballpark of explaining the national debt. The national debt is roughly $39 trillion or $39,000,000 million. The economy is $31 trillion, and the federal budget is a bit over $7 trillion.

It would take some really fantastic stories to somehow get to $39 trillion in fraud from whatever portion of the budget might wrongly be paid to undocumented immigrants. This is obvious to everyone remotely familiar with the budget.

Right off the bat almost three-quarters of the budget goes to Social Security, Medicare, Veterans benefits, the military, and interest on the debt. Even Elon Musk didn’t try to claim large-scale fraud by immigrants in these areas after his team examined them. Most of the rest is Medicaid and other healthcare programs for which undocumented immigrants are not eligible. Maybe Miller thinks undocumented immigrants are getting farm subsidies.

Surely there is some amount of fraud that immigrants do commit, but we’re talking millions, maybe hundreds of millions. Taken over decades, it could get into the low billions, almost certainly less than 0.01 percent of the federal debt. And immigrants pay tens of billions of taxes, which means the net effect is almost certainly to reduce the deficits and debt.

Miller’s use of outlandish numbers to describe the size of the fraud that Vance’s gang will find makes its purpose clear. This fraud task force is yet another Trump effort to push racist lies to attack political opponents and nothing more.

While fraud is a real problem, Trump has fired most of the people who investigate it, specifically the independent Inspector Generals of individual departments and agencies. He also has sought to cut back the budget of the Government Accountability Office, an independent congressional agency. Meanwhile, Trump has been pardoning convicted fraudsters as quickly as they can shovel him the payoffs.

Everyone should be clear that Vance’s latest toy is nothing but crude racism and has nothing to do with a genuine search for fraud. When Trump started yelling crazy numbers about fraud in Minnesota, Democrats all ran for cover and threw Tim Walz, a successful and popular governor, under the bus. This may have been partly motivated by a desire to get rid of a potential contender for the 2024 presidential nomination, but it was nonetheless shameful.

Sleazy racism should not be rewarded. Serious accusations of fraud need to be investigated, but Team Trump’s cry of “Black people, fraud,” only deserves contempt.

Dean Baker is a senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research and the author of the 2016 book Rigged: How Globalization and the Rules of the Modern Economy Were Structured to Make the Rich Richer. Please consider subscribing to his Substack.

Reprinted with permission from Dean Baker.


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